Thursday, November 15, 2012

ADVFN III Morning Euro Markets Bulletin -November 15th, 2012-.

ADVFN III Morning Euro Markets Bulletin  
Daily world financial news

Thursday, 15 November 2012


London Market Report
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London open: Footsie drops to 10-week low on US and Eurozone fears
    Market Movers
    techMARK 2,044.26 -0.22%
    FTSE 100 5,703.36 -0.33%
    FTSE 250 11,693.84 -0.21%
The FTSE 100 sunk to a 10-week low in intraday trade on Thursday morning as worries about the US budget and uncertainty in the Eurozone continues to dampen stocks.

The last time the Footsie closed lower was on September 5th when it finished at 5,658.

Market chatter still abounds on the danger of the 'fiscal cliff' as the country's politicians prepare for talks scheduled for Friday to come to an agreement on how to deal with the budget deficit. President Barack Obama's administration and Republican lawmakers must come to an agreement in order to avoid $607bn in spending cuts and tax increases that, if not changed, will take effect on January 1st.

On this side of the Atlantic, stocks sank yesterday after Olli Rehn, the European Commissioner for Economic and Monetary Affairs, said that Spain has taken "effective action" to reduce its deficit in 2012 and 2013, disappointing some who were expecting the government to request a bailout soon. However, Rehn did say that Spain could fall short of making its 2014 deficit.

Meanwhile, Belgium's central bank governor and ECB governing council member Luc Coene has said that Greece will eventually need another haircut on its "towering debt".

Economic data this morning is expected to see the Eurozone region slip back into its second recession since the third quarter of 2009. GDP for the single-currency area is forecast to fall 0.2% in the third quarter.

In addition to the US 'fiscal cliff' and Eurozone concerns that continue to plague the markets, "the ongoing conflict between Israel and Hamas seems to be in danger of escalating causing additional uncertainty with investors fleeing out of stocks as a result," according to Markus Huber, head of German HNW trading at ETX Capital.

In other news, Fitch Ratings last night raised its outlook for the Republic of Ireland from 'negative' to 'stable' to reflect its "continued progress with its fiscal consolidation, external adjustment and economic recovery, as well as the sovereign's improved financing options."
FTSE 100: Resolution slumps on international concerns and IT costs
Life insurer Resolution tanked after a somewhat mixed update, saying that new business profitability is continuing to improve, but that its international business is "below par" and it will incur higher costs from IT updates.

Oil giant BP fell after announcing that it is close to resolving claims with US regulators relating to the Gulf of Mexico oil spill in 2010. The resolutions are expected to represent the largest criminal penalty in history.

Rexam, the consumer packaging giant, dropped after revealing weakness in its Healthcare division, despite a broadly 'in line' performance in the third quarter across the group.

British Gas owner Centrica fell after saying that average UK residential gas consumption for the first ten months of 2012 was 9% higher than for the same period of 2011, while average electricity consumption was 1% lower.

Sector peer National Grid was also lower despite saying that underlying pre-tax profit of £1,154m for the six months to the end of September was up 21% from £953m the year before.

Copper miner Antofagasta was also down after a decline in copper and molybdenum prices partially offset the benefits of increased volumes in the first nine months of 2012.

UK Event Calendar
Thursday November 15

INTERIMS
3i Group, Atkins (WS), Invensys, Investec, National Grid, Opsec Security Group

INTERIM DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
Cenkos Securities, Sagicor Financial Corp., Tullett Prebon

QUARTERLY PAYMENT DATE
Abbott Laboratories, Marsh & Mclennan Cos Inc.

INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS
Bloomberg Consumer Confidence (US) (14:45)
Consumer Price Index (EU) (10:00)
Consumer Price Index (US) (13:30)
Continuing Claims (US) (13:30)
Crude Oil Inventories (US) (15:30)
ECB Report (EU) (09:00)
GDP (Flash Estimate) (EU) (10:00)
Gross Domestic Product (GER) (07:00)
Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (EU) (10:00)
Initial Jobless Claims (US) (13:30)
Philadelphia Fed Index (US) (15:00)
Wholesale Price Index (GER) (07:00)

Q3
Caledonia Mining Corp., MHP SA GDR (Reg S)

GMS
Hellenic Telecom Industries SA ADS, Rugby Estates, Verdes Management

FINALS
Euromoney Institutional Investor

IMSS
Alpha UK Multi Property Trust, Amlin, BBA Aviation, Centrica, Derwent London, Hill & Smith Holdings, Keller Group, Premier Oil, Resolution Ltd., Rexam, Ted Baker, Unite Group, UTV Media

AGMS
Armor Designs Inc. (DI), El Oro Ltd, Kier Group, Medusa Mining Ltd. (DI), Red Emperor Resources NL (DI), Ricardo, Swallowfield

UK ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS
Internet Retail Sales (09:30)
Retail Sales (09:30)

FINAL DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
Quayle Munro Holdings

Europe Market Report
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European stocks are set to open lower on Thursday, extending the previous session's losses, on concerns that the U.K. may lose its triple-A rating after Moody's Investors Service said it would revisit the nation's government debt rating and the current 'negative' outlook next year in the face of gloomier economic prospects and rising risks from the euro area.
Releasing its annual credit report on the country, Moody's cautioned that the government's efforts to achieve fiscal consolidation and reduce debt are being hampered by weaker economic prospects as well as by the risks posed by the ongoing euro area sovereign debt crisis.
Asian markets are broadly lower, weighed down by the ongoing concerns about the U.S. fiscal cliff and worries about renewed tensions and social angst against unpopular austerity measures in peripheral Eurozone countries.
Japanese shares are bucking the downward trend, with the Nikkei average gaining nearly 2 percent, as the yen's weakness lifted export-linked shares. Japan's Prime Minister announced a general election for next month, increasing speculation that a change of government would result in more action to stimulate the economy.
Brent crude prices are firming up slightly, extending overnight gains on supply concerns after Israel launched its most intense air offensive against militants in the Gaza Strip since 2008. Copper and gold are narrowly mixed, as the euro steadied following successful bond auctions in Greece and Italy.
In economic releases, the French economy expanded 0.2 percent from the previous three months in the third quarter, with domestic demand and foreign trade contributing positively to the gross domestic product, the latest figures from the statistical office Insee revealed. Economists expected the economy to stagnate during the period.
Quarterly national accounts from the euro area and other major Eurozone economies are due later in the European session. Across the Atlantic, traders will keep an eye on data concerning weekly jobless claims, consumer price inflation and manufacturing activity in the New York and Philadelphia areas.
In domestic corporate news, Bouygues SA raised its 2012 sales outlook slightly after reporting higher sales of 9.09 billion euros for the third quarter. The company's net profit attributable to the Group, however, declined to 286 million euros from 403 million euros in the prior year quarter.
Ablynx reported that its nine-month period net loss narrowed to 22.3 million euros from 33.1 million euros in the year ago period.
Air Berlin reported third-quarter net income of 66.6 million euros, up from 30.2 million euros in the same quarter last year.
Buyout firm Apollo Global Management LLC, run by Leon Black, is in the lead to buy U.K. insurer Aviva Plc's U.S. life insurance and annuities business, the Bloomberg reported, quoting people with knowledge of the matter.
Koninklijke Ahold NV posted third-quarter net income attributable to common shareholders of 139 million euros or 0.13 euros per share, lower than 257 million euros or 0.23 euros per share reported a year ago.
European stocks drifted lower on Wednesday as violent protests and coordinated walkouts organized by labor unions in Greece, Spain, Portugal and Italy stoked concerns that Europe is failing to contain the debt crisis. Some weak economic data, including separate reports showing a larger than expected decline in Eurozone industrial output and the unexpected jump in British jobless claims also eroded investors' appetite for riskier assets. Key benchmark indexes in Switzerland, France, Germany and the U.K. fell between 0.7 percent and 1.1 percent.
U.S. stocks fell sharply overnight, extending a recent downtrend since last week's elections, as investors fretted about U.S. budget negotiations, widespread protests against austerity measures in Europe and a flare-up of violence in the Middle East. Further denting sentiment, data showed that U.S. retail sales fell in October for the first time in three months following an upwardly revised 1.3 percent increase in September.
The Dow and the tech-heavy Nasdaq fell 1.5 percent and 1.3 percent, respectively, to end at their lowest closing levels in over four months, while the S&P 500 lost 1.4 percent to hit a three-month low.

US Market Report
US close: Israeli air strike adds to investors' worries
    Market movers
    Dow Jones: -185 at 12,571
    S&P 500: -19 at 1,355
    NASDAQ Composite: -37 at 2,847
Disappointing economic data, worries about the impending 'fiscal cliff' and the prospect of heightened tensions in the Middle East after Israeli air stikes on the Gaza Strip killed the head of the military wing of the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas all combined to send equity prices tumbling.

Retail sales fell by 0.3% in October (+3.8% year-on-year) to $411.6bn. The market consensus was expecting a 0.2% decline. Retail sales for September were revised higher to 1.3% (5.4% year-on-year) from the previously reported 1.1%.

Market chatter still abounds on the danger of the 'fiscal cliff' as the country's politicians prepare for talks scheduled for Friday to come to an agreement on how to deal with the budget deficit.

President Barack Obama's administration and Republican lawmakers must come to an agreement in order to avoid $607bn in spending cuts and tax increases that, if not changed, will take effect on January 1st.

Investors were also fretting about US dividend taxes: these have been at 15% for nearly a decade but could automatically increase when the 2003 deal expires in 2013.

The mood was upbeat to start the session with doveish comments from Federal Reserve Vice Chair Janet Yellen providing a lift. Yellen, who is widely expected to be Chairman Ben Bernanke's successor if he leaves, said that the Fed should change its stance and tie the interest rate outlook to unemployment and inflation.

"The Committee might eliminate the calendar date entirely and replace it with guidance on the economic conditions that would need to prevail before lift-off of the federal funds rate might be judged appropriate," she said. Company movers
Networking equipment firm Cisco gave a boost to the whole sector with better-than-expected fiscal first-quarter figures. Juniper Networks and F5 Networks were both being pulled along on Cisco's coat-tails.

Elsewhere in the tech sector, computer chip maker Advanced Micro Devices gave up all of yesterday's gains as it poured cold water on reports that it has hired JPMorgan to explore the possibility of selling some or all of the company.

Trendy retail group Abercrombie & Fitch soared after raising profit guidance for the year on back of better than expected third quarter figures.

Banking groups Bank of America and JPMorgan Chase & Co were heavy fallers.
Other markets
US Treasuries closed the day little changed, with the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasuries unchanged at 1.59%.

On the futures market, West Texas sweet light crude for December rose 94 cents to $86.32 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

S&P 500 - Risers
Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (ANF) $41.92 +34.45%
Cisco Systems Inc. (CSCO) $17.66 +4.81%
NetApp Inc. (NTAP) $27.12 +3.01%
Staples Inc. (SPLS) $11.55 +2.62%
Dell Inc. (DELL) $9.58 +1.91%
JDS Uniphase Corp. (JDSU) $11.13 +1.64%
Xilinx Inc. (XLNX) $33.68 +1.50%
General Mills Inc. (GIS) $39.86 +1.30%
Lexmark International Inc. (LXK) $22.12 +1.28%
Jabil Circuit Inc. (JBL) $17.17 +1.18%

S&P 500 - Fallers
Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD) $1.93 -7.66%
Pitney Bowes Inc. (PBI) $10.85 -7.03%
PulteGroup Inc. (PHM) $15.23 -5.78%
Federated Investors Inc. (FII) $18.43 -4.71%
D. R. Horton Inc. (DHI) $18.39 -4.47%
United States Steel Corp. (X) $20.37 -4.41%
NYSE Euronext Inc. (NYX) $22.28 -4.30%
Cablevision Systems Corp. (CVC) $13.65 -4.14%
Seagate Technology Plc (STX) $26.78 -4.12%
Alpha Natural Res (ANR) $7.27 -4.09%

Dow Jones I.A - Risers
Cisco Systems Inc. (CSCO) $17.66 +4.81%

Dow Jones I.A - Fallers
Bank of America Corp. (BAC) $8.99 -3.64%
General Electric Co. (GE) $20.01 -3.24%
United Technologies Corp. (UTX) $74.65 -3.05%
Home Depot Inc. (HD) $61.47 -3.01%
Boeing Co. (BA) $71.29 -2.82%
Chevron Corp. (CVX) $102.50 -2.64%
Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) $81.10 -2.59%
Mondelez International Inc. (MDLZ) $25.15 -2.31%
Alcoa Inc. (AA) $8.13 -2.17%
American Express Co. (AXP) $53.65 -1.99%

Nasdaq 100 - Risers
Cisco Systems Inc. (CSCO) $17.66 +4.81%
NetApp Inc. (NTAP) $27.12 +3.01%
Staples Inc. (SPLS) $11.55 +2.62%
Dell Inc. (DELL) $9.58 +1.91%
Xilinx Inc. (XLNX) $33.68 +1.50%
F5 Networks Inc. (FFIV) $87.50 +1.11%
Research in Motion Ltd. (RIMM) $8.49 +1.07%
Apollo Group Inc. (APOL) $19.17 +0.84%
Broadcom Corp. (BRCM) $30.67 +0.76%
Altera Corp. (ALTR) $30.77 +0.49%

Nasdaq 100 - Fallers
Randgold Resources Ltd. Ads (GOLD) $100.94 -6.69%
Baidu Inc. (BIDU) $93.57 -5.10%
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc. (VRTX) $42.16 -4.40%
Seagate Technology Plc (STX) $26.78 -4.12%
Monster Beverage Corp (MNST) $44.74 -3.56%
Flextronics International Ltd. (FLEX) $5.60 -3.28%
Sirius Satellite Radio Inc. (SIRI) $2.70 -3.23%
Micron Technology Inc. (MU) $5.55 -3.22%
Expedia Inc. (EXPE) $55.47 -3.01%
Starbucks Corp. (SBUX) $48.84 -2.92%

FX and Commodities round-up
FX round-up: Euro snaps five day losing streak
The euro ended its weak run against the dollar on Wednesday as worries about Eurozone debt were eclipsed by a speech from President Barack Obama about the looming 'fiscal cliff'.

Obama's administration and Republican lawmakers must strike an agreement to avoid $607bn in spending cuts and tax increases that take effect on January 1st.

Focus also turned to US officials who are preparing for talks this Friday for an agreement on how to deal with the budget deficit.

In economic news, US retail sales fell in October, as producer prices unexpectedly fell last month. The dollar came under further pressure after the latest minutes from the Federal Reserve's policy meeting last month indicated that officials had discussed the need for more bond buying.

The euro changed hands at $1.2739 from $1.2706 on Tuesday following positive comments from European Union Economic and Monetary Affairs Commissioner Olli Rehn. He said Spain has taken effective steps to remedy its budget deficits for this year and 2013.

The ICE dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of six major currencies, traded at 81.112 from 81.096 on Tuesday.

The yen remained under pressure after Prime Minister Yoshihiko Noda pledged to hold an election next month. It is widely expected that he will lose.

The pound fell 0.2% at $1.5841 after the Bank of England's latest quarterly forecasts indicated inflation is expected to remain above the central bank's 2% target until mid 2014.
Commodities: Middle East tensions fuel modest crude gains
Crude oil futures rose on Wednesday, in lighter than usual trading, as tensions in the Middle East flared up in an otherwise quiet day for major headlines.

Crude for December delivery gained 94 cents to settle at $86.32 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

Reports of an Israeli air strike in Gazza sent jitters through the market and sent oil prices to an intra-day high of $86.65. Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu says the operation against Palestine's Hamas could be extended.

However oil prices traded at a low of $84.93 a barrel on persistent concern about weak global demand.

On the ICE futures exchange Brent oil futures settled $1.35 higher at $109.61.

Among precious metals gold prices settled higher on Wednesday as escalating tensions in the Mid East spurred mild safe haven flows.

Gold for December delivery advanced $5.30 to settle at $1,730.10 an ounce on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange.

Elsewhere January platinum climbed $5.20 to $1.591.60 an ounce following reports that said recent strikes in South Africa have crimped supplies of the metal.

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