Monday, November 5, 2012

ADVFN III Evening Euro Markets Bulletin -November 5th, 2012-.

ADVFN III Evening Euro Markets Bulletin
Daily world financial news

Monday, 05 November 2012

London Market Report
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London close: Stocks taken down by global uncertainty
Market Movers
  • techMARK 2,095.70 -0.42%
  • FTSE 100 5,839.06 -0.50%
  • FTSE 250 12,030.46 -0.75%
- All eyes turn to the US elections
- Greece attempts to agree on austerity
- UK and US services PMI disappoint

After a sharp fall early on, the FTSE 100 traded broadly sideways for the remainder of Monday's session as investors refrained from building positions ahead of a busy week for the global economy, with the US presidential elections firmly at the front of everyone's minds.

Nevertheless, market analyst Michael Hewson from CMC Markets highlighted a number of reasons why markets were on the back foot today: "increasing uncertainty against a backdrop of concerns about Greece getting its budget through parliament later this week; another sharp increase in Spanish unemployment; while the outcome of tomorrow's US presidential poll promises to be as close as everyone expected it would be."

What's more, economic data from home and away failed to lift sentiment today in London: the UK services purchasing managers' index (PMI) fell from 52.2 to 50.6 in October, well below the consensus esteem of 52.0 and the long-run average of 54.9. In the US, the ISM services PMI for the month of October came in at 54.2, compared with 55.1 for the month before and the consensus estimate of 54.5.

Meanwhile, monthly policy meetings scheduled for later this week also kept investors on their toes today, with decisions due from the Bank of England, European Central bank and Reserve Bank of Australia.

In Spain, unemployment rose by 2.7% month-on-month to 4,833,521 in October, as 128,242 more Spanish residents were without a job during the month.

Nerves over Greece remain on edge as the coalition government brings the austerity package before the Athenian Parliament today. The smallest party in the coalition government - Democratic Left- has already pledged to vote against the €13.5bn in cuts due to its opposition to labour reforms. Even some members of the leading New Democracy party have announced plans to vote against the package.
FTSE 100: Miners provide a drag
Mining stocks were providing a drag as investors digested the economic figures out in China overnight. The HSBC China services PMI fell from a four-month high of 54.3 to 53.5 in October, contrasting with the official services PMI from the National Bureau of Statistics this weekend which rose from 53.7 to 55.5. ENRC, Vedanta, Kazakhmys, Rio Tinto and Antofagasta were heavy fallers throughout Monday's session.

Banking giant HSBC was under the weather after reported pre-tax profit fell from $3.7bn to $3.5bn in the third quarter, which came in below consensus forecasts. As well as further provisions for PPI redress, third-quarter results included an additional provision of $800m in relation to the ongoing anti-money laundering investigation in the US. Lloyds and RBS were also unwanted.

Meanwhile, leading the upside was engineering group Weir after saying that it is set to deliver double-digit profit growth this year despite weak order inputs and a slowdown in growth in the third quarter.

Shares of British American Tobacco were being boosted by news that the company, along with RJ Reynolds Tobacco Company, are today requesting that Ontario's highest court throw out the $40bn lawsuit that was launched against the two companies by a provincial government, claiming the lawsuit has a false theory as its basis.

Supermarket giant Morrisons was also making gains ahead of its third-quarter trading update on Thursday. Speaking last week, Seymour Pierce analyst Kate Calvert said: "Recent market share data points to continued deterioration in sales trends and so a weak number is expected by the market." As well, the company is expected to confirm this week that it will launch a family clothing brand called Nutmeg next Easter, The Sunday Telegraph reported.
FTSE 250: Centamin gives investors a big thumbs up
Investors in Egypt-focused gold miner Centamin showed their relief on Monday after the company announced that the Egyptian administrative court has decided that its Sukari mining licence is valid, eliminating the risk of losing its primary source of revenue. Centamin lost nearly 40% of its market capitalisation last week after media reports claimed on Tuesday that it could lose its concession agreement to mine Sukari.

SDL shareholders welcomed the news that the CEO of the translation and communications software group is leaving the company with immediate effect to "pursue other business interests". John Hunter only stepped up from being Chief Financial Officer in February 2011. Mark Lancaster, currently Chairman of SDL will assume the role of CEO, while the company looks for a replacement.

LED lighting group Dialight gained after securing a "major order" for 1,224 LED fixtures from an unnamed, Texas-based rig owner and operator.

Data centre operator Telecity dropped despite saying that full-year earnings will be in line with market forecasts. Consensus estimates for the full year ending December 31st are for pre-tax profits of £81.66m on revenues of £284.35m.

Shares in Dixons pulled back after a strong week for the company which came following news that its main High Street rival, Comet, is likely to go into administration.

FTSE 100 - Risers
Weir Group (WEIR) 1,831.00p +4.57%
GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) 1,384.00p +1.65%
British American Tobacco (BATS) 3,128.00p +0.98%
International Consolidated Airlines Group SA (CDI) (IAG) 170.70p +0.95%
Morrison (Wm) Supermarkets (MRW) 265.70p +0.72%
Sage Group (SGE) 313.60p +0.61%
Bunzl (BNZL) 1,021.00p +0.59%
Serco Group (SRP) 569.50p +0.53%
Tesco (TSCO) 326.45p +0.52%
Croda International (CRDA) 2,175.00p +0.51%

FTSE 100 - Fallers
Eurasian Natural Resources Corp. (ENRC) 321.30p -3.66%
Vedanta Resources (VED) 1,118.00p -3.62%
ITV (ITV) 87.35p -2.40%
Kazakhmys (KAZ) 717.50p -2.38%
Rio Tinto (RIO) 3,145.00p -2.15%
Amec (AMEC) 1,062.00p -1.85%
Petrofac Ltd. (PFC) 1,570.00p -1.81%
Experian (EXPN) 1,060.00p -1.76%
Royal Bank of Scotland Group (RBS) 276.50p -1.71%
Polymetal International (POLY) 1,110.00p -1.68%

FTSE 250 - Risers
Centamin (DI) (CEY) 74.55p +23.22%
Stobart Group Ltd. (STOB) 113.60p +5.19%
Dialight (DIA) 1,175.00p +3.71%
SDL (SDL) 539.00p +3.65%
Paragon Group Of Companies (PAG) 253.40p +2.63%
RPS Group (RPS) 242.50p +2.15%
Redrow (RDW) 161.60p +1.89%
Ashtead Group (AHT) 384.30p +1.34%
KCOM Group (KCOM) 76.45p +1.26%
Investec (INVP) 374.00p +1.11%

FTSE 250 - Fallers
Telecity Group (TCY) 835.00p -8.54%
Ferrexpo (FXPO) 215.80p -4.89%
Talvivaara Mining Company (TALV) 129.70p -4.21%
Bwin.party Digital Entertainment (BPTY) 119.50p -3.86%
New World Resources A Shares (NWR) 257.70p -3.63%
Dixons Retail (DXNS) 24.91p -3.60%
William Hill (WMH) 331.20p -3.50%
Imagination Technologies Group (IMG) 465.00p -3.47%
Homeserve (HSV) 227.20p -3.40%
Computacenter (CCC) 349.90p -3.37%
Europe Market Report
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Europe midday: Equities hit new lows ahead of US open
-USD index hits 2 month high on haven flows
-Banks deposit 261.4bn euros overnight at ECB

FTSE-100: -0.58%
Dax-30: -0.66%
Cac-40: -0.99%
FTSE Mibtel 30: -1.50%
Ibex 35: -1.72%
Stoxx 600: -0.67%

Investors are watching events in Greece -the country faces two critical votes this week- and the change of leadership in the United States and China with both also expected for this week. Furthermore, the latest Chinese service sector PMI data out over the weekend has led some to expect fewer new easing measures in the Asian giant.

As regards events in Greece, eKathimerini says that the ruling coalition will manage to muster sufficient support for the approval of the necessary new austerity measures, although only just. Furthermore, the Financial Times reports that the country´s creditors may have already agreed on a new schedule of debt repayments to allow the country to return to debt sustainability by 2022.

However, investors´ worries seem to persist.

Of interest in this regard, German daily Handelsblatt writes that the European Central Bank´s (ECB) so-called Shadow Council does not believe that Greece will be able to pay back its debts.

From a sector stand-point the wortt performance is now to be seen in shares of the following industrial groups: Banks (-1.22%), Oil&Gas (-1.13%) and Automobiles (-1.13%).
Spanish unemployment rises again


Spanish unemployment increased by 128,200 in October, versus a consensus expectation for 110,000.

The Eurozone Sentix survey of investor confidence fell to 18.8 points in November, after -22.2 in the month before (Consensus: -18.8).

Irish service sector purchasing managers´ index for the month of October has come in at 56.1, versus 53.9 for the previous month. Haven flows weaken single currency


The euro/dollar is now falling by 0.37% to the 1.278 dollar level.

Front month Brent crude futures are currently off by -0.142 dollars to the 105.51 dollar mark on the ICE.
US Market Report
Stocks continue to turn in a lackluster performance in mid-day trading on Monday, with traders reluctant to make any significant moves ahead of tomorrow's elections. The choppy trading comes after the markets ended last week's trading roughly flat.
The major averages are currently turning in a mixed performance, although they are all nearly unchanged. While the Nasdaq is up 5.34 points or 0.2 percent at 2,987.47, the Dow is down 13.98 points or 0.1 percent at 13,079.18 and the S&P 500 is down 1.66 points or 0.1 percent at 1,412.54.
Many traders seem to be staying on the sidelines amid uncertainty about the outcome of Tuesday's presidential race between President Barack Obama and Republican challenger Mitt Romney.
In the short-term, investors will be looking for a definitive outcome from the election, as a race that is still too close to call or requires a recount will add to insecurity on Wall Street.
Looking further ahead, a win for Obama is expected to be good news for the alternative energy, telecom, and housing sectors, while a win for Romney could benefit the defense, resource, and financial sectors.
Along with the outcome of the presidential race, traders are also likely to keep an eye on which party controls the House and the Senate following the elections.
On the economic front, the Institute for Supply Management released a report showing a modest slowdown in the pace of growth by the U.S. service sector.
The ISM said its non-manufacturing index dipped to 54.2 in October from 55.1 in September, although a reading above 50 indicates continued growth in the service sector. Economists had expected the index to edge down to a reading of 54.9.
Peter Boockvar, managing director at Miller Tabak, said, "For reasons we all know, American business is dealing with a lack of visibility on a variety of issues both here and abroad, one of which of course will be resolved tomorrow."
"From a market perspective, the emotional response from the election results will be the main driver into year end, with the practical results being dealt with in 2013," he added.
Among individual stocks, KBW, Inc. (KBW) is posting a notable gain after the financial services provider agreed to be acquired by Stifel Financial (SF) in a transaction valued in excess of $575 million. KBW is currently up by 7 percent.
Auto giant Toyota (TM) is also moving to the upside after reporting a quarterly profit that rose sharply year-over-year and raising its profit forecast for the full year.
Meanwhile, shares of Time Warner Cable (TWC) have come under pressure after the cable-television operator reported weaker than expected third quarter earnings amid the loss of video customers. Time Warner Cable is currently down by 6.7 percent.
Sector News
While many of the major sectors continue to show only modest moves, considerable strength has emerged among biotechnology stocks. The NYSE Arca Biotechnology Index has surged up by 2.6 percent, climbing further off last Wednesday's four-month closing low.
InterMune (ITMN) and Sequenom (SQNM) are turning in two of the biotech sector's best performances, jumping 10.7 percent and 5.8 percent, respectively.
Oil service stock are also seeing considerable strength, driving the Philadelphia Oil Service Index up by 1.4 percent. Transocean (RIG) has helped to lead the sector higher, advancing by 5 percent after reporting better than expected adjusted third quarter earnings.
Electronic storage and networking stocks are also posting notable gains, helping to keep the tech-heavy Nasdaq in positive territory.
On the other hand, utilities stocks have come under significant selling pressure, dragging the Dow Jones Utilities Average down by 1.5 percent. With the loss, the average has fallen to a four-month low.
Southern Co. (SO) has helped to lead the utilities sector lower, sliding 2.5 percent after reporting disappointing third quarter results.
Other Markets
In overseas trading, stock markets across the Asia-Pacific region moved mostly lower during trading on Monday. Japan's Nikkei 225 Index and Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index both ended the day down by 0.5 percent, while China's Shanghai Composite Index edged down by 0.1 percent.
The major European markets also moved to the downside on the day. While the French CAC 40 Index tumbled by 1.3 percent, the German DAX Index and the U.K.'s FTSE 100 Index both fell by 0.5 percent.
In the bond market, treasuries have moved higher amid the uncertainty about the election results. As a result, the yield on the benchmark ten-year note, which moves opposite of its price, is down by 4.5 basis points at 1.681 percent.

Broker Tips
Broker tips: Weir, William Hill, Millennium & Copthorne
Investec has put upgraded its forecasts for engineering group Weir after the firm's well-received third-quarter update on Monday.

Investec has raised its 2012 adjusted PBT estimate by around 2% from £437m to £445, implying an earnings per share of around 151p. As such, target 1,850p target is put under review.

The broker has maintained its 'buy' rating on the stock, saying that the shares trace at 12 times earnings.

UBS has lowered its recommendation for High Street betting chain William Hill from 'buy' to 'neutral' following the stock's impressive outperformance this year.

William Hill's shares have risen 70% in 2012 so far and have outperformed the All-Share index by around 60%, against a 15% increase in consensus EPS.

Credit Suisse has downgraded hotel group Millennium & Copthorne (M&C) from 'outperform' to 'neutral' given only 7% upside to its 546p target.

The company's third-quarter results announced last week may have been in line with expectations but Credit Suisse said there is "evidence of slowing Asian RevPAR and a lack of near-term positive earnings catalysts with refurb spend only benefitting from late 2014."

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