Thursday, November 8, 2012

ADVFN II Morning Euro Markets Bulletin -November 8, 2012-.


ADVFN III Morning Euro Markets Bulletin  
Daily world financial news

Thursday, 08 November 2012

London Market Report
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Stocks edge higher after Greece votes on austerity

Market Movers
techMARK 2,096.66 +0.41%
FTSE 100 5,813.04 +0.37%
FTSE 250 11,974.85 +0.11%
Stocks rebounded on Thursday morning, albeit only slightly, following steep falls the day before, after Greece voted in favour of its strict austerity measures.

Wednesday's session started strongly after Barack Obama was re-elected as the US President, sparking speculation that easing measures would continue under his leadership.

However, stocks sank in afternoon trade after the European Commission cut its forecasts for gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the Eurozone this year to 0.1% from 1% before. The FTSE 100 lost 1.58% of its value by the end of trade last night.

"European headline shares opened firmly this morning as opportunistic buyers exploited yesterday’s sharp sell-off in equities owing to the completion of the US elections which led to investors focusing their attention back on the dire state of the global economy resulting in investor’s sentiment being brought down from cloud nine," said financial trade Shavaz Dhalla from Spreadex.

As for Greece, 153 policymakers last night voted in favour of the country's proposed austerity measures, just above the 151 votes needed. "The vote came at a political cost, with the vote taking place against a backdrop of tear gas and unrest in the capital and prompted 18 policymakers to abstain from voting," explains market analyst Michael Hewson from CMC Markets.

Next on Athens's agenda will be the parliamentary vote on next year's budget on Sunday, which will unlock the next round of the EU bailout if passed.

Investors had a flood of corporate results to digest this morning, as dozens of FTSE 350 heavy hitters updated the market. However, the focus of today's session will likely be on the Bank of England and European Central Bank policy decisions scheduled for this afternoon.
FTSE 100: IAG falls on Vueling takeover speculation
IAG was lower after saying that is thinking about making an offer to take over Spanish airline Vueling, buying up the remaining stake that it does not already own.

Publishing and exhibitions firm Reed Elsevier gained after reporting that it remains on track to perform in line with full-year expectations after it posted underlying revenue growth 4% for the first nine months. 
 

Sweeteners firm Tate & Lyle declined despite beating consensus estimates in the first half on the group level. Jefferies highlighted that Speciality Food Ingredients profits were slightly below its forecasts "but underlying trends remain robust which support a strong H2 performance".



Mining group ENRC fell after saying that revenue declined in the first nine months of 2012 due to lower selling prices for its principal commodities.

Supermarket group Morrisons was off the shopping list after lower-than-anticipated sales in the third quarter, though it did say that its full-year performance will be in line with expectations.

Insurance group Aviva was wanted after saying that it nearing the sale of its US life and annuities business, as it reported a slight rise in net asset value.

Experian fell despite hiking its dividend and reporting strong revenue grout in the first half. The company also announced an efficiency programme designed to save the firm $75m a year.

Asset manager Schroders rose after reporting a slight gain in assets under management in the third quarter to £202.8bn, up from £194.6bn at the end of June.

Real estate investment trust Land Securities was lower after earnings per share fell 10.2% in the first half.

AIM/Small Cap Report
FTSE 100 - Risers
Tesco (TSCO) 328.30p +1.86%
Compass Group (CPG) 701.00p +1.67%
Aviva (AV.) 333.60p +1.55%
Burberry Group (BRBY) 1,214.00p +1.25%
Smiths Group (SMIN) 1,084.00p +1.21%
Schroders (SDR) 1,582.00p +1.09%
Randgold Resources Ltd. (RRS) 7,025.00p +1.08%
Tullow Oil (TLW) 1,407.00p +1.00%
Reed Elsevier (REL) 621.00p +0.98%
BHP Billiton (BLT) 1,975.50p +0.97%

FTSE 100 - Fallers
Tate & Lyle (TATE) 714.00p -2.72%
Eurasian Natural Resources Corp. (ENRC) 301.10p -1.28%
Kazakhmys (KAZ) 694.00p -1.21%
Land Securities Group (LAND) 801.50p -1.17%
Lloyds Banking Group (LLOY) 44.26p -0.49%
Morrison (Wm) Supermarkets (MRW) 266.40p -0.41%
WPP (WPP) 812.50p -0.37%
Severn Trent (SVT) 1,532.00p -0.33%
Sage Group (SGE) 314.00p -0.29%
GKN (GKN) 210.70p -0.19%

FTSE 250 - Risers
Ruspetro (RPO) 108.40p +8.40%
Yule Catto & Co (YULC) 164.70p +6.40%
BTG (BTG) 346.60p +5.80%
Imagination Technologies Group (IMG) 497.00p +3.76%
Supergroup (SGP) 680.50p +3.18%
Bumi (BUMI) 286.90p +3.05%
Cable & Wireless Communications (CWC) 36.99p +2.95%
Micro Focus International (MCRO) 589.50p +2.70%
Petra Diamonds Ltd.(DI) (PDL) 102.00p +1.69%
Rightmove (RMV) 1,616.00p +1.64%

FTSE 250 - Fallers
Balfour Beatty (BBY) 271.50p -11.27%
Chemring Group (CHG) 240.00p -6.98%
Dialight (DIA) 1,104.00p -6.60%
Carillion (CLLN) 299.10p -3.52%
New World Resources A Shares (NWR) 263.20p -3.34%
Interserve (IRV) 381.50p -2.13%
Spirent Communications (SPT) 136.40p -2.01%
Genus (GNS) 1,423.00p -1.86%
Kier Group (KIE) 1,210.00p -1.79%
ITE Group (ITE) 182.60p -1.67%


European broker round-up
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ArcelorMittal: UBS downgrades to SELL from neutral and lowers price target to $3.42 from $6.01.

L'Oréal: Nomura reiterates UNDERWEIGHT rating and raises price target by 1% to €85.

Thales: UBS reiterates NEUTRAL rating and raises price target to €27 from €25.

UK Event Calendar
INTERIMS
3i Infrastructure, BTG, Cable & Wireless Communications, Charles Stanley Group, Dairy Crest Group, Electrocomponents, Experian, Flybe Group, Shanks Group, Tate & Lyle

INTERIM DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
British American Inv Trust, Petropavlovsk, Yule Catto & Co

INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS
Balance of Trade (GER) (07:00)
Balance of Trade (US) (13:30)
Bloomberg Consumer Confidence (US) (14:45)
Continuing Claims (US) (13:30)
Current Account (GER) (07:00)
ECB Interest Rate (EU) (12:45)
Initial Jobless Claims (US) (13:30)
Retail Price Index (GER) (07:00)

Q3
Coca-Cola HBC S.A., Corio NV, Lancashire Holdings, Talvivaara Mining Company

ANNUAL REPORT
Associated British Foods

IMSS
Aviva, Balfour Beatty, Bumi, Eurasian Natural Resources Corp., Hammerson, Hardy Oil & Gas, Howden Joinery Group, Morrison (Wm) Supermarkets, Reed Elsevier, Rightmove, RSA Insurance Group, Schroders, Schroders (Non-Voting), Spirent Communications, Supergroup, Trinity Mirror, Wetherspoon (J.D.), Yule Catto & Co

EGMS
Palmaris Capital

AGMS
Craneware, Genus, IndigoVision Group, Macau Property Opportunities Fund Ltd., New Star Investment Trust, Wetherspoon (J.D.)

UK ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS
Balance of Trade (09:30)
BoE Interest Rate Decision (12:00)

FINAL DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
Edge Performance VCT 'D' Shares, Edge Performance VCT 'E' Shares, Edge Performance VCT 'F' Shares, Edge Performance VCT G Shares, Penna Consulting

US Market Report
Stocks battered as fiscal cliff fears loom

Market movers
Dow Jones Industrials: -313 at 12,933
NASDAQ Composite: -75 at 2,937
S&P 500: -34 at 1,395
There were no risers to be found among the constituents of the Dow Jones industrial average as the benchmark index endured its worst day of 2012.

Most market commentary is attributing this to fears regarding the looming ‘fiscal cliff’ and the crisis in the Eurozone, with the emphasis on the former.

Ratings agency Fitch added fuel to the fire, warning that President Obama will have to move swiftly if he wishes to avoid a ratings downgrade, from AAA, next year.
Coal and life assurance sectors pummelled
From a sector stand-point, it was precisely those stocks which stood to gain most had Mitt Romney won yesterday's presidential election that got hammered hardest: Coal, Life assurance, Investment services & banks and Defence.

Renewable products company Amyris defied the weaker trend after announcing a third quarter loss that was not as bad as feared.

Media giant Time Warner was also in favour after third quarter results came in ahead of expectations. Earnings per share of 86 cents were four cents higher than the market had been expecting.

Canned cheese maker Kraft Foods, which carried off confectionery company Cadbury in 2009 in a smash-and-grab raid, has released its first set of results since spinning off its Mondelez International business. Earnings per share of 79 cents were well up on the 40 cents racked up in the third quarter of last year.

Department store Macy's topped market expectations with its third quarter earnings per share (EPS) of 36 cents; analysts covering the stock had pencilled in a figure of 29 cents.

Canadian lager brewer Molson Coors also beat expectations with underlying EPS of $1.37 versus expectations of $1.34.

S&P 500 - Risers
Tenet Healthcare Corp. (THC) $27.34 +9.58%
JDS Uniphase Corp. (JDSU) $11.15 +4.89%
Time Warner Inc. (TWX) $44.91 +4.18%
Best Buy Co. Inc. (BBY) $15.47 +3.48%
Hospira Inc. (HSP) $31.37 +2.65%
American Tower Corp (Reit) (AMT) $75.24 +1.99%
Netflix Inc. (NFLX) $77.68 +1.72%
Public Storage (PSA) $143.34 +1.64%
News Corp. Class A (NWSA) $24.67 +1.61%
Juniper Networks Inc. (JNPR) $17.77 +1.31%

S&P 500 - Fallers
Alpha Natural Res (ANR) $8.45 -12.16%
Peabody Energy Corp. (BTU) $26.24 -9.64%
Morgan Stanley (MS) $16.63 -8.58%
Humana Inc. (HUM) $70.16 -7.88%
Lincoln National Corp. (LNC) $23.79 -7.83%
Bank of America Corp. (BAC) $9.23 -7.14%
Devon Energy Corp. (DVN) $55.41 -7.06%
MetLife Inc. (MET) $32.59 -6.97%
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS) $117.98 -6.55%
CONSOL Energy Inc. (CNX) $33.28 -6.44%

Dow Jones I.A - Risers
None

Dow Jones I.A - Fallers
Bank of America Corp. (BAC) $9.23 -7.14%
JP Morgan Chase & Co. (JPM) $40.48 -5.60%
Hewlett-Packard Co. (HPQ) $13.69 -4.93%
Intel Corp. (INTC) $20.91 -3.77%
Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM) $88.18 -3.74%
Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) $85.02 -3.47%
AT&T Inc. (T) $33.64 -3.34%
Merck & Co. Inc. (MRK) $44.46 -3.18%
Alcoa Inc. (AA) $8.48 -2.97%
United Technologies Corp. (UTX) $77.68 -2.86%

Nasdaq 100 - Risers
Netflix Inc. (NFLX) $77.68 +1.72%
News Corp. Class A (NWSA) $24.67 +1.61%
Henry Schein Inc. (HSIC) $78.30 +1.42%
Warner Chilcott Plc (WCRX) $11.44 +0.79%
F5 Networks Inc. (FFIV) $88.35 +0.78%
Starbucks Corp. (SBUX) $51.81 +0.19%

Nasdaq 100 - Fallers
Research in Motion Ltd. (RIMM) $8.24 -9.05%
Apollo Group Inc. (APOL) $19.89 -6.18%
Randgold Resources Ltd. Ads (GOLD) $114.39 -5.82%
Perrigo Company (PRGO) $109.65 -4.96%
Applied Materials Inc. (AMAT) $10.95 -4.45%
Nuance Communications Inc. (NUAN) $21.74 -4.27%
Apple Inc. (AAPL) $558.00 -4.26%
KLA-Tencor Corp. (KLAC) $46.92 -4.05%
Lam Research Corp. (LRCX) $36.17 -4.03%
Altera Corp. (ALTR) $30.57 -3.98%

Wednesday newspaper round-up
Republicans, IAG, Xstrata, BAE
American financial markets plunged as a re-elected President Obama returned to the White House to face a looming crisis over the nation’s finances, and a Congress still divided over how to fix them. Hours after Mr Obama’s decisive win, markets in New York began to slide at the prospect of a return to gridlock in Washington and a severe cut in the forecast for European growth. Republicans smarting from their defeat said that they were “ready to work with” Mr Obama on tax reform and deficit reduction, but billions had already been wiped off the value of big US defence companies as the Dow Jones fell by 312 points in the worst day’s trading this year. In London the FTSE 100 closed down 93.27 points, or 1.6 per cent. The sell-off came after a terse initial statement from John Boehner, the Republican House Speaker, who said that his party’s continued control of the House of Representatives meant that Mr Obama had “no mandate for raising tax rates,” according to The Times.

International Airlines Group, owner of British Airways and Iberia, is looking at mounting a full takeover of Vueling, Spain's second biggest domestic airline. In a statement released after the close of markets on Wednesday, IAG said its board would discuss at a meeting on Thursday making an offer for 100% of the share capital of the Barcelona-based low cost carrier. IAG’s Spanish business, Iberia, already owns a 45.85% stake in Vueling, acquired in 2009. The airlines group said “no decision to make an offer has yet been reached nor, accordingly, on any of its potential terms, including in particular the price”. "Further announcements will be made in due course when a decision is made," IAG added. Vueling, which has a market cap of €171m, carries about 12m passengers a year and made a pre-tax profit of €14.8m (£11.m) in 2011, The Telegraph says.

Andrew Sentance, PricewaterhouseCoopers’ senior economic adviser and a member of the MPC until earlier this year, set out his opposition to another round of quantitative easing and said rates needed to rise to 3 per cent by 2015 to reduce the risk of “distorting” the economy. His comments came as the European Commission warned that the Chancellor is likely to miss his debt reduction target when the Office for Budget Responsibility updates its forecasts next month. “It appears that the Government may miss its target of having debt fall as a share of GDP by 2015-16 if no new measures are introduced in the Autumn Statement on December 5th,” the EC said in its economic update. While acknowledging the role quantitative easing (QE) played “in stabilising the UK economy in 2009 and helping bring about a return to growth”, Mr Sentance said the MPC should vote against money printing at today’s meeting, The Telegraph explains.

One of Britain's leading shareholder advisory groups has urged Xstrata investors to reject the commodities trader Glencore's $33bn (£21bn) takeover offer. Pirc said it was concerned over the level of due diligence carried out on Glencore and insufficient independent board representation at Xstrata. It is also concerned about the "rather lucrative package" for executives should the deal go through. Xstrata investors will be able to vote on the merger and associated pay deals on 20 November, The Independent writes.

BAE Systems is on the cusp of sealing a deal to sell 60 Typhoon fighter jets to the United Arab Emirates. Reports on Wednesday said Prime Minister David Cameron, who is on an trip to boost British exports across the Middle East, had secured ‘political agreement’ to make the multi-billion pound sale. Both countries said earlier this week they planned to strike up a partnership over the Typhoon jet, which was used in combat operations by the RAF over Libya and secured Britain's airspace during the London Olympics, The Daily Mail reports.

UK pension funds are holding more bonds than equities for the first time since the so-called cult of equity in the 1950s, say leading City fund managers. The switch into bonds, which began in about 2002, is the most significant shift in market allocation since the late George Ross Goobey made a landmark speech praising equities as a way of generating inflation-linked growth in 1956. Alasdair MacDonald, head of investment strategy at consultants Towers Watson, said: “This is a watershed moment for UK pensions.” Alan Wilde, head of fixed income and currency at Barings, added: “The cult of equity is dead or has at least been on life support since 2002/3 following the dotcom crash and corporate problems in the US with the likes of Enron,” The Financial Times says.

Living more than a century will soon be "the norm" and make ageing the greatest threat to the UK's economic future, warned Otto Thoresen, director general of the Association of British Insurers (ABI). "We are living longer, of which I know you are all very aware. I know of several insurers, and you may be among them, who are now modelling pensions and retirement savings products on the assumption that customers could live to be 120 or 125 – and with very different patterns of retirement," he said in a speech at an actuarial conference last night, The Telegraph reports.

Conservative and socialist lawmakers from Greece's three-party coalition government voted to adopt the €18.5bn budget cuts by 2016 despite protests earlier in the day by more than 70.000 people who massed outside the parliament. Violent protesters threw fire bombs and rocks at police, who responded with stun grenades, tear gas and the first use of water cannon in Greece in years. Inside the building, lawmakers interrupted the debate as Parliament employees went on strike to protest wage cuts. According to Athanassios Nakos, second deputy speaker of the parliament, 153 out of 299 lawmakers voted in favour of the bill that includes spending cuts and reforms to be implemented by 2016, while 128 voted against, The Telegraph writes

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