Thursday, August 16, 2012

ADVFN III Evening Euro Markets Bulletin For Thursday, August 16 2012.

ADVFN III Evening Euro Markets Bulletin  
Daily world financial news
Thursday, 16 August 2012

London Market Report
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Stocks rally on hopes for Spain

Market Movers
techMARK 2,119.80 -0.21%
FTSE 100 5,834.51 +0.03%
FTSE 250 11,502.29 +0.04%
Spanish aid hopes drive stocks late on
Global economic data comes in mixed
Miners, banks rise in afternoon trade

The Footsie rallied in afternoon trade, tracking European markets higher on the back of increased speculation that Spain could be close to requesting some sort of aid to help its ailing banks.

“It is believed though that there has been no formal request for the aid, however more details are likely to emerge over the coming days. For now though, there has been a very positive reaction in the markets,” said analyst Craig Erlam from Alpari.

Nevertheless, UK equity markets were seeking direction for most of today’s session as investors digested a barrage of uneven economic data from across the globe. In domestic news, retail sales volumes rose 0.3% during July, compared with analysts’ forecasts of a 0.1% decline.

“Markets continue to tread water in the vacuum of no new developments in the Eurozone debt crisis, while the ability of the US to post continued mixed economic data reports just about keeps the wheels on the QE train.”

US housing starts fell in July but building permits reached their highest level since August 2008. Initial jobless claims inched higher but the four-week moving average dropped close to “post-crisis lows”, according to Barclays. Meanwhile, the Philly Fed manufacturing index improved in August but still remains in negative territory.

Asian stocks finished higher on Thursday after Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao said that he sees "growing room for monetary policy operation" as inflation slows down. The news of slowing inward investment in China in July added to concerns about the world’s second-largest economy. Foreign direct investment in China fell 8.7% to a two-year low of $7.58bn last month.
FTSE 100: Miners and banks provide a lift
The mining sector was broadly higher on Thursday on hopes that potential stimulus measures in China would boost the demand for commodities. Kazakhmys, Evraz, Vedanta Resources and Anglo American were making decent gains. One producer to buck the trend however was ENRC which extended losses after its poorly-received interim results yesterday; Deutsche Bank, Societe Generale and UBS all trimmed their target prices on the stock today.

Banking peers Lloyds and RBS were among the best performers of the day, despite news that they, along with a number of other financial companies have been called in for questioning in the US over the alleged rigging of inter-bank lending rates.

Publishing group Reed Elsevier was rising after it announced the appointment of Duncan Palmer as its Chief Financial Officer (CFO), having lured him away from US company Owens Corning. Palmer will take over from Mark Armour, who is retiring at the end of the year.
FTSE 250: Lonmin and African Barrick head opposite directions
Lonmin’s shares plunged into the bottom spot after admitting it will miss its full-year targets following a “serious outbreak of violence” at its West Marikana mine operations in South Africa. The firm also said its Chief Executive Officer was suffering from a serious illness and is currently in hospital.

Meanwhile, African Barrick Gold (ABG) surged after announcing that its holding company, Barrick Gold, is in talks with China National Gold Group about the possibility of selling its stake in the miner to China's largest gold producer. Should China Gold buy up more than 30% of the voting interest in ABG from Barrick Gold, it would then be required to make an offer for the whole of ABG's issued ordinary share capital.

Mining peer Talvivaara slipped after lowered its production target for the year and posting an operating loss for the first half.

FTSE 100 - Risers
IMI (IMI) 918.50p +3.84%
Lloyds Banking Group (LLOY) 32.98p +3.22%
Kazakhmys (KAZ) 735.00p +2.80%
Evraz (EVR) 269.60p +2.74%
Royal Bank of Scotland Group (RBS) 227.30p +2.57%
Vedanta Resources (VED) 937.50p +1.96%
Anglo American (AAL) 1,974.50p +1.80%
Wolseley (WOS) 2,520.00p +1.78%
Tesco (TSCO) 338.30p +1.71%
Barclays (BARC) 186.20p +1.69%

FTSE 100 - Fallers
Pennon Group (PNN) 749.50p -1.90%
Eurasian Natural Resources Corp. (ENRC) 372.40p -1.90%
Vodafone Group (VOD) 185.55p -1.70%
Admiral Group (ADM) 1,162.00p -1.69%
Carnival (CCL) 2,156.00p -1.60%
ARM Holdings (ARM) 575.50p -1.46%
Experian (EXPN) 989.50p -1.25%
Prudential (PRU) 813.00p -1.22%
Bunzl (BNZL) 1,097.00p -1.17%
British American Tobacco (BATS) 3,345.00p -1.04%

FTSE 250 - Risers
African Barrick Gold (ABG) 425.00p +7.98%
Petropavlovsk (POG) 459.30p +6.12%
Avocet Mining (AVM) 92.75p +4.98%
Spectris (SXS) 1,730.00p +4.34%
Yule Catto & Co (YULC) 153.90p +4.13%
Home Retail Group (HOME) 93.00p +4.09%
Spirent Communications (SPT) 153.00p +4.08%
Rank Group (RNK) 125.70p +3.88%
Heritage Oil (HOIL) 172.80p +3.54%
Bwin.party Digital Entertainment (BPTY) 98.25p +3.42%

FTSE 250 - Fallers
Lonmin (LMI) 648.00p -6.76%
IP Group (IPO) 130.00p -4.83%
Kenmare Resources (KMR) 38.96p -2.58%
Talvivaara Mining Company (TALV) 137.00p -2.35%
Devro (DVO) 304.00p -2.31%
Bumi (BUMI) 353.00p -2.19%
Redrow (RDW) 135.30p -2.17%
Ted Baker (TED) 970.00p -2.02%
Balfour Beatty (BBY) 290.20p -1.99%
Rotork (ROR) 2,251.00p -1.87%

FX round-up
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European Markets Largely Finished Thursday's Uneventful Session Higher

The majority of the European markets ended Thursday's session in positive territory. Trading volume was rather thin, due to a lack of any major news that would drive the markets in any particular direction. The mixed economic results reported yesterday by the U.S. continued to have an impact on the markets. Investors are now of the opinion that the U.S. is unlikely to proceed with further economic stimulus, at least in the near term.

China's Premier Wen Jiabao has said that the economy is still under pressure, despite some positive signs in some sectors, the official Xinhua News Agency reported Wednesday.

During a two-day inspection tour to Zhejiang Province, he said the foundation for stable economic growth is still fragile and the economic hardships may continue for some more time.

Unemployment in the U.K. will likely rise further later this year and in 2013 due mainly to prolonged weakness in the economy and subdued business confidence, IHS Global Insight Chief UK and European Economist Howard Archer said Wednesday.

Unemployment is headed higher later this year and will rise further in 2013 as a consequence of extended soft economic activity, heightened business caution, and public-sector jobs being pared substantially, the economist added.

The Euro Stoxx 50 index of eurozone bluechip stocks increased by 1.01 percent, while the Stoxx Europe 50 index, which includes some major U.K. companies, added 0.09 percent.

The DAX of Germany climbed by 0.71 percent and the CAC 40 of France gained 0.91 percent. The SMI of Switzerland finished up by 0.10 percent, but the FTSE 100 of the U.K. declined by 0.11 percent.

In Frankfurt, Merck rose by 3.44 percent. JP Morgan upgraded its rating on the stock to "Neutral" from "Underweight."
Brenntag fell by 0.60 percent, after Berenberg reduced its rating on the stock. Barclays initiated KWS Saat with "Underweight" rating. The stock declined by 3.42 percent.

Barclays initiated K+S with "Overweight" rating. The stock closed higher by 0.76 percent. In London, CRH increased by 0.18 percent. JPMorgan downgraded its rating on the stock. BG Group fell by 0.26 percent, after Morgan Stanley downgraded the stock to "Equal weight" from "Overweight."

Miners were among the best performers during Thursday's session. Kazakhmys climbed by 2.73 percent and Vedanta Resources gained 1.96 percent. Fresnillo rose by 1.54 percent and Anglo American increased by 1.83 percent. BHP Billiton finished the day higher by 1.47 percent.

Zurich Insurance gained 1.24 percent in Zurich. The company reported a 19 percent drop in its second-quarter profit, but the decline was not as bad as analysts had expected.

Eurozone annual inflation remained stable at 2.4 percent in July, final data from Eurostat showed Thursday. The rate also matched flash estimate. On a monthly basis, consumer prices were down 0.5 percent in July.

Employment in Germany increased further in the second quarter, though at a slower pace compared to the preceding quarter, preliminary data from the Federal Statistical Office showed Thursday. The number of persons in employment, whose place of employment is in Germany, increased 1.3 percent on an annual basis to 41.587 million in the second quarter, slightly slower than the 1.4 percent gain recorded in the first quarter.

U.K. retail sales expanded unexpectedly in July driven by promotions and discounting, the Office for National Statistics revealed Thursday. Further, the upward revision to June's retail sales boosted hopes that the economy contracted less than initially estimated in the second quarter.

Retail sales grew 0.3 percent in July from a month ago, confounding expectations for a 0.1 percent fall. In June, sales climbed a solid 0.8 percent, which was revised up from 0.1 percent.

US Market Report
Stocks Seeing Further Upside In Mid-Day Trading

Stocks have moved mostly higher over the course of the trading day on Thursday after initially showing a lack of direction. The markets have benefited from strength that has emerged among technology stocks amid a positive reaction to quarterly results from Cisco Systems (CSCO:Quote).

The major averages have seen some further upside in recent trading, reaching new highs for the session. The Dow is up 57.38 points or 0.4 percent at 13,222.16, the Nasdaq is up 23.73 points or 0.8 percent at 3,054.66 and the S&P 500 is up 7.32 points or 0.5 percent at 1,412.85.

Tech bellwether Cisco has helped to lead the way higher on Wall Street, with the networking giant surging up by 8.3 percent. Earlier in the session, Cisco reached its best intraday level in over three months.

The gain by Cisco comes after the company reported better than expected fourth quarter adjusted earnings. The company also announced a 75 percent increase in its quarterly dividend to $0.14 per share.

Cisco CFO Frank Calderoni said, "Cisco has the financial strength and flexibility to effectively invest in our business, pursue strategic opportunities, such as acquisitions, as well as return a minimum of 50% of our free cash flow annually through dividends and share repurchases to our shareholders."

Meanwhile, traders are also digesting another mixed batch of U.S. economic data, including a report from the Commerce Department showing a drop in housing starts but a substantial increase in building permits.

The report showed that housing starts fell 1.1 percent to an annual rate of 746,000 in July from the revised June estimate of 754,000. Economists had expected housing starts to dip to 750,000 from the 760,000 originally reported for the previous month.

At the same time, the Commerce Department said building permits surged up by 6.8 percent to an annual rate of 812,000 in July from the revised June rate of 760,000. Building permits are seen as an indicator of future housing activity.

A separate report from the Labor Department showed that initial jobless claims came in slightly higher than anticipated in the week ended August 11th, although the less volatile four-week moving average fell to its lowest level in over four months.

The Philadelphia Federal Reserve also released a report showing that its index of regional manufacturing increased in August compared to the previous month but remained in negative territory for the fourth consecutive month. A negative reading indicates a contraction in regional manufacturing activity.

Broker tips: ENRC, Hikma, Micro Focus
UBS has cut its target price for mining group Eurasian Natural Resources Corp (ENRC) from 585p to 565p after first-quarter figures came in below expectations.

UBS has reduced its 2012 and 2013 EPS estimates by 4% and 7%, respectively, mainly on the back of a higher tax rate (which moderates from 2014 onwards).

Nevertheless, the broker has maintained its 'buy' recommendation on the stock, highlighting the board's options to best unlock value, including demurring its international assets.

Jefferies has maintained its 'buy' rating and 860p target price for pharmaceuticals group Hikma after the firm's first-half results came in above forecasts, driven by a better-than-expected performance from the Injectables division.

Hikma reiterated its full-year guidance and said that the Injectables performance will be maintained in the second half. Jefferies said: "We expect the market to focus on 'sustained 2H' injectables performance in 2H rather than lower US generics guidance given we estimate this division is only 4% of adjusted earnings before interest and tax.

Micro Focus is a 'core cash-backed value opportunity' in the software and computer services sector, according to Investec which has reiterated its 'buy' ratting and 600p target price on the stock.

The big news on Thursday was that the company would be undergoing a 50p-a-share cash return, equal to $130m, and a share consolidation.

"We have already modelled this level of return in our forecasts, but assumed it would occur mid-way through the year, so the timing could lead to a 1-3% earnings per share (EPS) uplift to our forecasts," Investec said.


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