Friday, August 31, 2012

ADVFN III Evening Euro Markets Bulletin for August, 31st 2012

ADVFN III Evening Euro Markets Bulletin - August 31, 2012 -.

ADVFN III Evening Euro Markets Bulletin  
Daily world financial news

Friday, 31 August 2012

London Market Report
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London close: Bernanke comments send stocks lower
Market Movers
  • techMARK 2,096.09 +0.26%
  • FTSE 100 5,711.48 -0.14%
  • FTSE 250 11,410.19 +0.74%
- Footsie swings into negative territory after Bernanke speech
- ECB to be given power to grant banking licences
- Miners lead risers by the close

Ben Bernanke's keenly watched speech at Jackson Hole sparked some volatility on equity markets in late afternoon trade, sending London's blue-chip index into the red by the close.

The Federal Reserve Chairman said that more quantitative easing (QE) would be necessary at some point, as he harboured some serious concerns about the US economy. He said that the Fed "will provide additional policy accommodation as needed to promote a stronger economic recovery and sustained improvement in labour market conditions."

However, as CMC Markets analyst Michael Hewson explains, the Chairman gave no new information regarding the extent and timing of further QE. "And so we now move onto the next piece of US data, and next week's jobs data, and a continuation of the 'will they, won't they' QE dance," he said.

In other news, the European Central Bank (ECB) will be given the sole power to grant banking licences under a Eurozone banking union plan, according to an EU official cited by Reuters.

Meanwhile, the Eurozone unemployment rate for July remained at a record high of 11.3%, according to Eurostat, in line with the consensus expectations.

FTSE 100: Miners rebound after recent sell-off

Mining stocks were rebounding after bearing the brunt of 'risk-off' trade over the past few days. Glencore, Xstrata, Randgold and Rio Tinto making decent gains by the close.

Potential merger partners Glencore and Xstrata were performing well in spite of Qatar Holdings' announcement yesterday that it would vote against the proposed tie-up at the shareholder meeting on September 7th. The Xstrata shareholder supports the tie-up but said that "it will not support the proposed merger terms of 2.8 new Glencore shares for every one existing Xstrata share." The Qataris are wanting Glencore to raise the exchange ratio to 3.2.

However, Eurasian Natural Resource Corp (ENRC) and Anglo American finished the day in the red after Nomura said that they were its least preferred stocks in the iron ore sector.

Airline IAG was also suffering after Credit Suisse reduced its target for the stock from 160p to 140p "as valuation support dissipates for the stock". The broker reiterated its 'neutral' rating for the company, saying that the stock will "remain weak in the short - term as the market more fully factors in recent jet fuel price appreciation."

Media giant WPP was extending its losses after having to scale back its full-year like-for-like revenue target yesterday. Societe Generale and Berenberg both reduced their targets for the stock this morning.


FTSE 250: bwin.party slumps after first-half results

Online gaming titan bwin.party after saying that revenues in the first half of 2012 grew at its casino and gaming offerings but poker has been hit by strong competitors and difficulties in southern Europe.

House-builder Redrow was in demand after saying that three investment firms are interested in a takeover, one of which is controlled by the company's Chairman and well-known businessman, Steve Morgan. While the offer of 152p a share represents a 23.8% premium to the 90-day average share price, the stock has risen strongly in recent weeks on speculation, closing yesterday at 151p. 



FTSE 100 - Risers
Glencore International (GLEN) 385.05p +7.72%
Xstrata (XTA) 952.20p +5.68%
Petrofac Ltd. (PFC) 1,502.00p +2.81%
Intertek Group (ITRK) 2,815.00p +2.55%
Babcock International Group (BAB) 937.00p +2.46%
Aggreko (AGK) 2,360.00p +2.39%
Randgold Resources Ltd. (RRS) 6,320.00p +2.27%
IMI (IMI) 860.00p +2.14%
Admiral Group (ADM) 1,186.00p +2.07%
Weir Group (WEIR) 1,633.00p +2.00%

FTSE 100 - Fallers
Eurasian Natural Resources Corp. (ENRC) 301.90p -1.50%
Sainsbury (J) (SBRY) 327.60p -1.47%
Centrica (CNA) 326.70p -1.45%
Severn Trent (SVT) 1,731.00p -1.42%
National Grid (NG.) 683.50p -1.37%
Next (NXT) 3,575.00p -1.19%
Carnival (CCL) 2,159.00p -1.19%
ITV (ITV) 83.30p -1.19%
GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) 1,425.00p -1.04%
Reckitt Benckiser Group (RB.) 3,560.00p -1.03%

FTSE 250 - Risers
Bumi (BUMI) 318.00p +8.98%
Regus (RGU) 104.10p +6.77%
Cape (CIU) 242.40p +5.39%
Laird (LRD) 234.20p +5.02%
Centamin (DI) (CEY) 79.50p +4.88%
Cairn Energy (CNE) 287.00p +4.74%
Avocet Mining (AVM) 90.80p +4.67%
Aveva Group (AVV) 1,853.00p +3.98%
Michael Page International (MPI) 362.40p +3.51%
AZ Electronic Materials SA (DI) (AZEM) 310.80p +3.39%

FTSE 250 - Fallers
Bwin.party Digital Entertainment (BPTY) 94.10p -4.95%
Gem Diamonds Ltd. (DI) (GEMD) 165.70p -4.28%
JD Sports Fashion (JD.) 658.00p -4.01%
Wetherspoon (J.D.) (JDW) 447.90p -2.59%
Bank of Georgia Holdings (BGEO) 1,101.00p -2.57%
Dechra Pharmaceuticals (DPH) 492.30p -2.51%
Lonmin (LMI) 573.00p -1.97%
Ocado Group (OCDO) 60.50p -1.87%
Rank Group (RNK) 132.00p -1.86%
Dunelm Group (DNLM) 590.00p -1.75%

Europe Market Report
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European Markets Higher Ahead Of Bernanke Comments
8/31/2012 7:25 AM ET
The European markets are moderate to notably higher in afternoon trading Friday, ahead of a policy address by Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke at the Jackson Hole meet later in the day. The Asian markets fell while the U.S. index futures are higher.
Moody's Investor Service said late Thursday its review of Spain's government rating for a possible downgrade would continue through the end of September because of pending information.
The review is dependent on the scope of the bank recapitalization, support available under the European Stability Mechanism and potential changes to the existing crisis-management framework, the rating agency said.
German retail sales unexpectedly dropped for the first time in three months in July amid a continued rise in unemployment. Retail sales fell a calendar-and-seasonally adjusted 0.9 percent, while economists expected sales to grow 0.2 percent, the Federal Statistical Office said.
Meanwhile, Eurozone inflation accelerated to 2.6 percent in August from 2.4 percent in July, flash estimate issued by Eurostat showed. The rate was forecast to rise to 2.5 percent. The seasonally adjusted jobless rate remained unchanged at a record 11.3 percent in July.
Residential property prices in the U.K. rebounded strongly in August after falling for two months in a row, results of a survey revealed.
The euro Stoxx 50 index of eurozone bluechip stocks is advancing 1.40 percent, while the Stoxx Europe 50 index, which includes some major U.K. companies, is adding 0.65 percent.
The German DAX is gaining 1.31 percent and the French CAC 40 is advancing 1.36 percent. The FTSE 100 of the UK is adding 0.54 percent and Switzerland's SMI is rising 0.68 percent.
In Frankfurt, Deutsche Bank is gaining 2.1 percent and Commerzbank is rising 0.7 percent.
Lufthansa is advancing 1.7 percent and insurer Allianz is adding 1.4 percent.
HSBC started Fresenius with an "Overweight" rating. The stock is moderately higher.
Deutsche EuroShop is climbing 1.1 percent after a broker upgrade.
Societe Generale started Fresenius Medical Care with a "Buy" rating. The stock is falling 0.7 percent.
K+S is losing around 1 percent.
In Paris, Credit Agricole is surging 5.1 percent. Societe Generale is up 2.3 percent and BNP Paribas is gaining 1.5 percent.
Peugeot is advancing 2 percent. Renault is up 1 percent.
GDF Suez is gaining 0.6 percent. UBS removed the stock from its "Most Preferred List."
Luxury retailer Hermes reported higher profits for the first half but sounded cautious about the full year. The stock is up 1.3 percent.
8/31/2012 7:25 AM ET
Iliad is climbing 4.7 percent after announcing results for the first six months of the year.
Aeroports de Paris is losing 2.9 percent. The firm reported first-half results.
Essilor is falling 1.6 percent. The lens maker reported first-half results.
Carrefour is down 0.4 percent even after Barclays upgraded the stock.
HSBC cut Eurofins Scientific to "Neutral" from "Overweight." The stock is losing 3 percent.
In London, miners Anglo American, Rio Tinto, Antofagasta and Kazakhmys are gaining between 1.7 percent and 2.8 percent. Commodities trader Glencore is climbing 2.7 percent.
Barclays is up 0.9 percent and Royal Bank of Scotland is gaining 1.4 percent.
Outside the main index, Redrow is gaining 2.8 percent. The company has received an initial approach from Bridgemere Securities Limited, Toscafund Asset Management LLP and Penta Capital LLP in connection with a possible cash offer of approximately 152 pence per share.
Restaurant Group is gaining 2.8 percent after reporting higher profit in the first half of the year.
WPP is falling 1 percent after a broker downgrade.
Bankia is adding 3.3 percent in Madrid on reports of recapitalization.
Across Asia/Pacific, Japan's Nikkei 225 retreated 1.6 percent and Hong Kong's Hang Seng fell 0.4 percent. China's Shanghai Composite index lost 0.25 percent and Australia's All Ordinaries slid 0.03 percent.
In the U.S., futures point to a higher open on Wall Street. In the previous session, uncertainty ahead of the speech by Bernanke hurt stocks. The S&P 500 and the Dow fell 0.8 percent each while the Nasdaq dropped 1.1 percent.
In the commodity space, Crude for October delivery is adding $0.42 to $95.04 per barrel and December gold is climbing $3.5 to $1660.6 a troy ounce.
US Market Report
US midday: Bernanke keeps the ball rolling
    Market movers
    Dow Jones: +122 at 13,123
    S&P 500: +11 at 1,401
    NASDAQ Composite: +24 at 3,072
US stocks enjoyed a Bernanke-bounce after the Federal Reserve Chairman kept the door open to more quantitative easing in his keynote speech at the Jackson Hole symposium today.

There were few surprises from Ben Bernanke, but his comments did cement rises in already buoyant equity markets and laid to rest fears that the run-up to his speech had been so elongated - Bernanke took longer to take to the stage than James Brown used to take getting off it - that the speech itself would be a let-down.

Nevertheless, after the dust had settled, global stock markets maintained their upwards momentum as the Federal Reserve Chairman hinted that more quantitative easing (QE) would be necessary at some point, as he harboured some serious concerns about the US economy.

Financial trader Shavaz Dhalla said: "Bulls were able to claw back gains and once again prove that the hope for QE, even without concrete policy announcements, is enough to catalyse optimism within the markets."

Bernanke said that the Federal Reserve "will provide additional policy accommodation as needed to promote a stronger economic recovery and sustained improvement in labour market conditions."

He said that the economic situation in America is "far from satisfactory" with the "painfully slow" recovery in the labour market: "unless the economy begins to grow more quickly than it has recently, the unemployment rate is likely to remain far above levels consistent with maximum employment for some time," he said.

However, Michael Derks, the chief strategist at spread betting firm FxPro, said that Bernanke's comments were simply a reiteration of what everyone has heard before: "For his part, the Fed Chairman failed to really add in any material way to the last set of FOMC [Federal Open Market Committee] Minutes, other than to voice 'grave concern' over the state of the labour market and to assert that high unemployment might 'wreak structural damage' onto the economy."

Companies

Banking giant JPMorgan Chase gained after The Wall Street Journal reported that the company is looking to scale back its dealing with brokerages in an attempt to reduce risk.

Molybdenum producer Thompson Creek Metals was higher after Dahlman Rose & Co lifted its rating on the stock from 'hold' to 'buy'.

Facebook dropping to a new low is hardly an event worth tweeting about these days, but the social networking giant was on the slide again after Daniel Salmon, an analyst at BMO Capital Markets, cast doubts on the firm's ability to grow sales in the current environment. Salmon is bearish on the stock and reduced his price target from $25 to $15, a far-cry from the $38 a pop so many people were anxious to pay/sell at on the morning of the stock's flotation.

US Airways gained altitude on news it is in merger talks with American Airlines owner AMR.


Economic data

US factory orders rose 2.8% in July, the biggest monthly gain in a year. Consensus forecasts were for a 1.2% increase month-month in July, compared with the 0.5% fall registered in June.

The University of Michigan's index of consumer sentiment rose to 74.3 in the final August report, compared with the preliminary August estimate of both 73.6. he market had been expecting the final reading to confirm the preliminary estimate.

Perceptions of labour market conditions were unchanged from July as 21% of respondents expected lower unemployment in the coming year, but perceptions of current financial situations improved a tad, as 30% of consumers reported being better off than a year ago, up from 28% previously.

S&P 500 - Risers
First Solar Inc. (FSLR) $20.59 +4.67%
SAIC Inc. (SAI) $12.35 +4.57%
Corning Inc. (GLW) $12.12 +4.30%
Newmont Mining Corp. (NEM) $50.21 +3.42%
Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co. (GT) $12.17 +3.31%
Southwestern Energy Co. (SWN) $31.57 +3.14%
National Oilwell Varco Inc. (NOV) $78.56 +3.10%
Newfield Exploration Co (NFX) $32.61 +3.07%
Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc. (FCX) $35.74 +3.01%
Cabot Oil & Gas Corp. (COG) $41.74 +2.96%

S&P 500 - Fallers
Frontier Communications Co. (FTR) $4.64 -2.00%
Spectra Energy Corp. (SE) $28.16 -1.28%
Adobe Systems Inc. (ADBE) $31.18 -0.89%
GameStop Corp. (GME) $19.02 -0.73%
Netflix Inc. (NFLX) $60.06 -0.69%
Harley-Davidson Inc. (HOG) $42.14 -0.66%
Tenet Healthcare Corp. (THC) $5.25 -0.57%
Ameren Corp. (AEE) $32.82 -0.55%
Urban Outfitters Inc. (URBN) $37.66 -0.50%
Forest Laboratories Inc. (FRX) $34.88 -0.46%

Dow Jones I.A - Risers
Intel Corp. (INTC) $24.90 +2.60%
Chevron Corp. (CVX) $112.73 +1.62%
Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) $30.81 +1.62%
Cisco Systems Inc. (CSCO) $19.20 +1.59%
Hewlett-Packard Co. (HPQ) $17.04 +1.55%

Dow Jones I.A - Fallers
None

Nasdaq 100 - Risers
Autodesk Inc. (ADSK) $31.22 +2.66%
Intel Corp. (INTC) $24.90 +2.60%
Apollo Group Inc. (APOL) $27.13 +2.53%
Randgold Resources Ltd. Ads (GOLD) $100.42 +2.51%
Applied Materials Inc. (AMAT) $11.75 +2.44%
Lam Research Corp. (LRCX) $34.20 +2.43%
eBay Inc. (EBAY) $47.57 +2.19%
Broadcom Corp. (BRCM) $35.69 +2.00%

Nasdaq 100 - Fallers
Adobe Systems Inc. (ADBE) $31.18 -0.89%
Research in Motion Ltd. (RIMM) $6.66 -0.76%
Netflix Inc. (NFLX) $60.06 -0.69%
Sirius Satellite Radio Inc. (SIRI) $2.53 -0.59%
Vodafone Group Plc ADS (VOD) $28.90 -0.52%
Broker Tips
Broker tips: IAG, SSE, BHP Billiton
Credit Suisse has reduced its target for British Airways and Iberia owner International Consolidated Airlines Group, otherwise known as IAG, saying that consensus forecasts for 2013 look 'very vulnerable'.

"We reduce our target from 160p to 140p as valuation support dissipates for the stock, and remain 'neutral', however we expect the stock to remain weak in the short - term as the market more fully factors in recent jet fuel price appreciation."

Utilities giant SSE is enjoying 'better growth at lower risks', according to UBS which upgraded its recommendation for the stock from 'neutral' to 'buy' on Friday morning.

"Thanks to a well balanced asset mix and its UK location, SSE is well positioned to benefit from the UK's renewable generation growth," the broker said.

The broker has raised its target for the stock from 1,340p to 1,515p, saying that its strong 6.4% dividend yield should help to "put a floor under the company's share price".

Nomura reduced its targets for a group of iron ore producing stocks on Friday on the back of falling prices but has highlighted BHP Billiton as its sector preference.

While all diversified miners are exposed to bulk commodities, Nomura reckons that BHP will likely outperform its peers in the current market due to its "more diversified/defensive portfolio".

As for the others, the broker said that: Rio Tinto may be the lowest cost iron ore producer but near-term earnings are leveraged and "not without risk"; higher costs/leverage assets leave Anglo American and ENRC as the least preferred stocks.

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