Wednesday, August 22, 2012

ADVFN Evening Euro Markets Bulletin for August 22, 2012


ADVFN III Evening Euro Markets Bulletin  
Daily world financial news
Wednesday, 22 August 2012

London Market Report
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Stocks sink ahead of Fed minutes

Market Movers
techMARK 2,097.49 -1.44%
FTSE 100 5,774.20 -1.42%
FTSE 250 11,494.35 -1.25%

Concerns about Japan and Greece pressure stocks
FOMC minutes eyed
CBO warns about ‘fiscal cliff’

Following steep falls from the off, losses on the Footsie were cemented today after a poor start on Wall Street as global equity markets reacted poorly to economic data from Japan and ongoing issues in Greece, while awaiting for the minutes of the latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting in the US.

“The attention now turns to the Fed’s meeting minutes, due after the European close – the minutes will be under scrutiny given that US economic data over the past few weeks has improved, leading to a scale back in expectations of QE. Markets are looking for some insight over the Fed’s stance for upcoming policy meetings,” said market strategist Ishaq Siddiqi from ETX Capital.

Meanwhile, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) warned today that the US economy could shrink in 2013 if the Bush-era tax cuts expire and automatic spending cuts take effect in January.

Back in London, mining stocks were among the worst performers as they were weighed down by the news that Japan swung to a trade deficit of 517.4bn yen (£4.14bn) in July, from a surplus of 60.3bn yen in July, on the back of slowing demand in Asia and the Eurozone crisis. Analysts were expecting a deficit of 270bn yen.

Markets were concerned today about the upcoming meetings between Greek Prime Minister Antonis Samaras and Eurozone leaders this week as he attempts to renegotiate the terms of the country’s bailout. He is widely expected to outline a plan aimed at cutting €13.5bn in expenditures over the next two years after coming to the conclusion that the original €11.5bn demanded by the Troika would lead to a €2bn shortfall. However, it is predicted that he will ask for a two-year extension to comply with the deficit target.

“All we want is a bit of 'air to breathe' to get the economy running and to increase state income. More time does not automatically mean more money," Samaras has said.

FTSE 100: BHP leads miners lower

Metals and mining stocks dropped today after Japanese trade data disappointed, weighed on the outlook for demand. BHP Billiton fell after saying that weakness in commodity markets and industry-wide cost pressures resulted in earnings declining in the first half. The group also decided against spending up to $30bn on a uranium and copper mine extension in South Australia.

Evraz, Fresnillo, Kazakhmys and Rio Tinto were also heavy fallers, while ENRC was lower after being downgraded by both UBS and Citigroup to 'neutral'. However, it should be noted that ENRC, along with FTSE 100 counterparts CRH, InterContinental Hotels, Prudential and Standard Life, all went ex-dividend today.

B&Q owner Kingfisher was a heavy faller after Deutsche Bank lowered its recommendation for the stock to 'hold' and cut its target price from 340p to 315p.

Drinks giant Diageo finished the day flat ahead of its full-year results on Thursday. Charles Stanley is expecting the firm to deliver a good set of full year results. "Asia, Africa and Latin America are expected to have been the drivers of growth, with more subdued performances in North America and Europe," notes Charles Stanley analyst Sam Hart.

Meanwhile, engineering group IMI sank before its interim results announcement tomorrow.

FTSE 250: Spirax-Sarco falls as first-half profits decline

Steam trap and pump maker company Spirax-Sarco was out of favour after reporting a decline in first-half pre-tax profits following higher material costs, the impact of lower volumes in its main European factories and the economic downturn in Latin America. Jefferies said this morning to expect consensus downgrades after a "somewhat disappointing" set of results.

Bus and rail group Stagecoach fell after revealing a decline in like-for-like revenue at its UK bus operations as all of its other divisions grew in the twelve weeks ended July 22nd.

Heading the other way was waste management firm Shanks after saying that the Silverburn Shopping Centre in Glasgow is no longer sending any of its waste to landfill since appointing Shanks to handle its recycling. Shanks won the recycling contract just six weeks ago, and has been instrumental in ramping up the shopping centre's recycling rate from 9% to 97%.

FTSE 100 - Risers
SSE (SSE) 1,354.00p +1.20%
Gemfields (GEM) 37.00p +0.68%
Tullow Oil (TLW) 1,379.00p +0.29%

FTSE 100 - Fallers
Kazakhmys (KAZ) 704.50p -4.15%
Evraz (EVR) 255.50p -3.88%
Eurasian Natural Resources Corp. (ENRC) 356.00p -3.84%
Anglo American (AAL) 1,910.00p -3.68%
Vedanta Resources (VED) 931.50p -3.62%
Fresnillo (FRES) 1,526.00p -3.48%
IMI (IMI) 883.50p -3.12%
Kingfisher (KGF) 285.10p -3.03%
CRH (CRH) 1,129.00p -3.01%
Prudential (PRU) 790.50p -2.83%

FTSE 250 - Risers
Shanks Group (SKS) 88.00p +3.47%
NMC Health (NMC) 196.40p +3.37%
Kentz Corporation Ltd. (KENZ) 360.00p +2.86%
Heritage Oil (HOIL) 208.00p +1.46%
Savills (SVS) 399.20p +1.45%
PayPoint (PAY) 712.00p +1.28%
Petra Diamonds Ltd.(DI) (PDL) 107.30p +1.23%
Afren (AFR) 131.00p +1.08%
Redrow (RDW) 143.20p +0.99%
Dixons Retail (DXNS) 17.56p +0.92%

FTSE 250 - Fallers
Yule Catto & Co (YULC) 149.70p -7.19%
Homeserve (HSV) 218.00p -5.75%
Soco International (SIA) 336.00p -5.27%
Brewin Dolphin Holdings (BRW) 147.90p -4.58%
Man Group (EMG) 76.80p -4.42%
Bodycote (BOY) 352.40p -4.21%
Spirax-Sarco Engineering (SPX) 1,977.00p -4.03%
Ocado Group (OCDO) 67.05p -3.59%
Premier Oil (PMO) 376.00p -3.04%
Mondi (MNDI) 552.50p -2.99%

FX round-up
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Japan and Greece batter European markets
Japanese trade figures disappoint markets
Negotiations ongoing over revised Greek bailout
Heineken struggling with rising costs

FTSE 100: -1.42%
Dax 30: -1.01%
Stoxx 600: -1.16%
Cac 40: -1.47
Ibex 35: -2.7%
FTSE MIB: -1.1%

A widening Japanese trade deficit and concerns over the viability of Greece’s bailout saw most major European markets retreat on Wednesday.

Figures released by the Japanese Finance Ministry showed the country’s trade deficit running at 517.4bn yen in July (£4.14bn), market expectations had been for around 270bn yen (£2.16bn). For a country which has historically relied on exports for economic growth the figures are startling and give a sense of the scale of the global economic slowdown.

In Europe the focus has been on Greece, where Prime Minister Antonis Samaras is meeting the head of the “Eurogroup” of finance ministers, Jean-Claude Juncker of Luxembourg. Samaras is asking for a two-year extension to implement the reforms that Greece’s lenders have demanded.

It’s thought the Eurozone may be willing to make concessions if Samaras commits to the main points of the reform-for-aid plan.

COMPANIES

The world’s third largest brewer, Heineken, dropped 1.1% after saying production costs will rise 8% over 2012, against an initial prediction of 6%. The firm also just missed analysts’ predictions for half-year earnings, which came in at €1.27bn against a consensus forecast of €1.31bn.

Danish wind-turbine maker Vestas Wind Systems fell back 6.4% after announcing plans to cut 1,400 jobs.

OTHER MARKETS

The euro had dropped 0.09% against the dollar by 16:48 to stand at $1.2462.  Front month futures contracts on a barrel of Brent crude had gained 0.17% by 16:35 to stand at $114.84.

US Market Report
Stocks Mostly Lower But Selling Pressure Relatively Subdued

Stocks have moved mostly lower over the course of the trading day on Wednesday, extending the downward move seen over the course of the previous session. Selling pressure has remained relatively subdued, however, limiting the downside for the markets.

The major averages have regained some ground in recent trading but currently remain in the red. The Dow is down 55.60 points or 0.4 percent at 13,147.98, the Nasdaq is down 3.50 points or 0.1 percent at 3,063.76 and the S&P 500 is down 3.56 points or 0.3 percent at 1,409.61.

Troubling economic news from overseas has contributed to the weakness on Wall Street, with a report from Japan showing that the country swung to a trade deficit in July.

The report from the Japanese Finance Ministry showed a trade deficit of 517.4 billion yen in July compared to a trade surplus of 60.3 billion yen in June. Japanese exports fell 8.1 percent year-over-year, while imports rose 2.1 percent.

A negative reaction to quarterly results from Dell has also weighed on the markets, with the PC giant falling by 6.4 percent.

After the close of trading on Tuesday, Dell reported second quarter adjusted earnings that exceeded analyst estimates but on weaker than expected sales.

The company also lowered its full year earnings outlook and forecast a 2 to 5 percent sequential drop in third quarter revenues.

Nonetheless, selling pressure has remained subdued, with traders reluctant to make any significant moves ahead of the release of the minutes of the Federal Reserve's latest monetary policy meeting later in the afternoon.

Traders are likely to closely scrutinize the minutes, looking for indications regarding to the outlook for further monetary stimulus from the central bank.

Meanwhile, shares of Sunrise Senior Living have moved sharply higher after the senior living services provider agreed to be acquired by Health Care REIT for about $845 million in cash.

The deal values Sunrise Senior Living at $14.50 per share, representing a 62.4 percent premium to its closing price on Tuesday. Shares of Sunrise have jumped nearly 60 percent on the news.

Sector News

With Dell leading the way lower, computer hardware stocks have come under considerable pressure on the day. Reflecting the weakness in the hardware sector, the NYSE Arca Computer Hardware Index is down by 1.1 percent, pulling back further off Monday's nearly three-month closing high.

Lexmark and Hewlett-Packard are posting notable losses along with Dell, falling by 2.9 percent and 2.7 percent, respectively. HP is due to release its quarterly results after the close of trading.

Semiconductor stocks have also shown a notable move to the downside on the day, dragging the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index down by 1 percent. NXP Semiconductors (NXPI:Quote) and Veeco Instruments are turning in two of the sector's worst performances.

Tobacco, steel, airline, and telecom stocks are also seeing significant weakness, moving lower along with most of the major sectors.

On the other hand, housing stocks have moved sharply higher, driving the Philadelphia Housing Sector Index up by 2.3 percent. Toll Brothers is posting a strong gain after reporting fiscal third quarter earnings and revenues that exceeded analyst estimates.

US Market Report
Stocks Mostly Lower But Selling Pressure Relatively Subdued

Stocks have moved mostly lower over the course of the trading day on Wednesday, extending the downward move seen over the course of the previous session. Selling pressure has remained relatively subdued, however, limiting the downside for the markets.

The major averages have regained some ground in recent trading but currently remain in the red. The Dow is down 55.60 points or 0.4 percent at 13,147.98, the Nasdaq is down 3.50 points or 0.1 percent at 3,063.76 and the S&P 500 is down 3.56 points or 0.3 percent at 1,409.61.

Troubling economic news from overseas has contributed to the weakness on Wall Street, with a report from Japan showing that the country swung to a trade deficit in July.

The report from the Japanese Finance Ministry showed a trade deficit of 517.4 billion yen in July compared to a trade surplus of 60.3 billion yen in June. Japanese exports fell 8.1 percent year-over-year, while imports rose 2.1 percent.

A negative reaction to quarterly results from Dell has also weighed on the markets, with the PC giant falling by 6.4 percent.

After the close of trading on Tuesday, Dell reported second quarter adjusted earnings that exceeded analyst estimates but on weaker than expected sales.

The company also lowered its full year earnings outlook and forecast a 2 to 5 percent sequential drop in third quarter revenues.

Nonetheless, selling pressure has remained subdued, with traders reluctant to make any significant moves ahead of the release of the minutes of the Federal Reserve's latest monetary policy meeting later in the afternoon.

Traders are likely to closely scrutinize the minutes, looking for indications regarding to the outlook for further monetary stimulus from the central bank.

Meanwhile, shares of Sunrise Senior Living have moved sharply higher after the senior living services provider agreed to be acquired by Health Care REIT for about $845 million in cash.

The deal values Sunrise Senior Living at $14.50 per share, representing a 62.4 percent premium to its closing price on Tuesday. Shares of Sunrise have jumped nearly 60 percent on the news.

Sector News

With Dell leading the way lower, computer hardware stocks have come under considerable pressure on the day. Reflecting the weakness in the hardware sector, the NYSE Arca Computer Hardware Index is down by 1.1 percent, pulling back further off Monday's nearly three-month closing high.

Lexmark and Hewlett-Packard are posting notable losses along with Dell, falling by 2.9 percent and 2.7 percent, respectively. HP is due to release its quarterly results after the close of trading.

Semiconductor stocks have also shown a notable move to the downside on the day, dragging the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index down by 1 percent. NXP Semiconductors (NXPI:Quote) and Veeco Instruments are turning in two of the sector's worst performances.

Tobacco, steel, airline, and telecom stocks are also seeing significant weakness, moving lower along with most of the major sectors.

On the other hand, housing stocks have moved sharply higher, driving the Philadelphia Housing Sector Index up by 2.3 percent. Toll Brothers is posting a strong gain after reporting fiscal third quarter earnings and revenues that exceeded analyst estimates.

Wednesday newspaper round-up
Fresnillo, Lonmin, Spirax-Sarco

Gold and silver miner Fresnillo is 'well-placed for recovery', that's according to Galvan Research and Trading, which has labelled the stock as a 'buy'.

"Fresnillo's bumper production levels look to have been sufficient to ride out the post September decline in precious metals prices, placing the miner a strong position to take advantage of any central bank stimulus-based rebound," said Andrew Gibson, Galvan's head of research.

Credit Suisse has trimmed its target for troubled platinum miner Lonmin and reiterated its 'underperform' rating on the stock, following the recent violent protests at its Marikana project in South Africa which left more than 30 of its workers dead.

"The company needs to raise cash given the likely trajectory of earnings over the next six months," the broker said.

"Under our normalised framework, a $1bn rights issue is valuation neutral at current levels for Lonmin shareholders. A smaller $500m rights issue would be value positive at current levels. However given uncertainty over achieving the ‘normal’ 950koz target and valuation uncertainty (high cost) we believe investors should seek theoretical 10-15%+ upside. For this to happen the price of Lonmin shares would need to fall another c10%-20% at least depending on size of issue."

Jefferies has reiterated its 'hold' rating and 2,090p target for steam trap and pump maker Spirax-Sarco after its interim results were 'somewhat disappointing'.

The broker said in a research report on Wednesday morning: "We typically take a more pragmatic view than most on 'misses'; however Spirax's interim results are sharply lower than we had expected. As expected, Europe, LatAm and currency headwinds impacted the 1H12 results; however profitability was impacted by a number of additional 'issues'."



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