Wednesday, October 24, 2012

ADVFN III Morning Euro Markets Bulletin -October 24, 2012-.

ADVFN III Morning Euro Markets Bulletin
Daily world financial news

Wednesday, 24 October 2012

London Market Report
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Markets flat despite Chinese data
Market Movers
  • techMARK 2,086.89 +0.17%
  • FTSE 100 5,787.30 -0.18%
  • FTSE 250 11,868.15 -0.19%

UK stocks failed to rebound from yesterday's steep sell-off despite some upbeat economic data out from China overnight, as investors continued to digest some disappointing corporate earnings the world over.

"Continuing weak US corporate data with several top-tier companies projecting very challenging conditions in the months ahead and news out of Spain where Moody's downgraded several key regions to junk resulting in higher periphery yields has many investors worried that things might be taken a turn for the worse again, especially with no visible progress in the past few days what an aid package for Spain is concerned," said Markus Huber, the head of German HNW Trading at ETX Capital.

HSBC's China purchasing managers' index (PMI) for October ticked higher to 49.1 points from 47.9 in September, the best reading for three months. "October's flash PMI reading continues to recover for the second month, thanks in part to a gradual improvement in the new orders index, which picked up to a six-month high," said Qu Hongbin, chief economist for HSBC Holdings PLC's China arm.

Markets will also be keeping an eye on the two-day Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting in the US which comes to a close this evening. However, with no change neither in rates nor in the wording of the FOMC statement expected, "most are expecting it to be a non-event", according to ETX Capital's Huber.

"Overall short-term sentiment remains negative, further losses today would be considered especially damaging as many indices are near the lower band of the most recent trading range, if these major supports are being broken more losses in the next few days are likely with a change in the overall positive trend possible," Huber said.
FTSE 100: BATS and IHG disappoint after Q3 updates
Cigarette and tobacco giant British American Tobacco (BATS) was under pressure after organic revenue growth and volumes were worse than expected in the third quarter. On a reported basis, sales fell 1% on the back of adverse exchange rate movements. Sector peer Imperial was in demand after Goldman Sachs upgraded the shares to 'neutral'.

Holiday Inn and Crown Plaza owner InterContinental Hotels Group (IHG) saw growth in US revenue per available room (RevPAR) moderate in the third quarter as a result of a seasonal impacts.

Information services provider Experian was pulling back following yesterday's strong rise after it said it was increasing its stake in Brazilian credit bureau Serasa from 70% to 99.6% for $1.5bn in cash. Jefferies labelled the stock as a "core support services holding" but downgraded its rating on the shares from 'buy' to 'hold' on valuation grounds.

Meanwhile, media giant WPP was being weighed down after UBS cut its recommendation on the shares to 'neutral', saying that a "macro slowdown poses a risk to expectations".

Chip designer ARM Holdings continued to make gains after its impressive third-quarter results yesterday. Meanwhile, the miners were also performing well on the back of the decent Chinese data: Kazakhmys, EVRAZ, ENRC and Vedanta were among the best performers.
FTSE 250: Home Retail gains on Argos plans
Argos and Homebase owner Home Retail jumped after announcing its decision to close 75 Argos stores over the next five years. "We have concluded a comprehensive business review of Argos which highlighted a clear opportunity to transform the business through increased investment in digital technologies," the group said.

Sportswear and accessories retailer Sports Direct slipped after saying that revenue growth had slowed from 25.3% in the first quarter to 18.0% in the second.

Bus and train group National Express gained despite saying that third-quarter trading remained resilient, despite increasing austerity measures, with profit on target for the year.
AIM/Small Cap Report
FTSE 100 - Risers
ARM Holdings (ARM) 653.50p +2.11%
Petrofac Ltd. (PFC) 1,554.00p +1.04%
Shire Plc (SHP) 1,780.00p +0.79%
Compass Group (CPG) 676.00p +0.67%
Serco Group (SRP) 569.50p +0.62%
Croda International (CRDA) 2,273.00p +0.58%
Sage Group (SGE) 302.70p +0.56%
BP (BP.) 435.30p +0.47%
Associated British Foods (ABF) 1,351.00p +0.45%
Burberry Group (BRBY) 1,139.00p +0.44%

FTSE 100 - Fallers
Weir Group (WEIR) 1,658.00p -2.76%
Smiths Group (SMIN) 1,030.00p -2.55%
Lloyds Banking Group (LLOY) 39.57p -1.79%
British Sky Broadcasting Group (BSY) 708.00p -1.73%
Barclays (BARC) 228.95p -1.59%
Old Mutual (OML) 170.30p -1.45%
Experian (EXPN) 1,072.00p -1.38%
ITV (ITV) 85.60p -1.33%
Royal Bank of Scotland Group (RBS) 274.30p -1.22%
Rolls-Royce Holdings (RR.) 844.50p -1.11%

FTSE 250 - Risers
Home Retail Group (HOME) 109.00p +4.71%
Daejan Holdings (DJAN) 2,952.00p +4.46%
Grainger (GRI) 108.80p +3.52%
Lonmin (LMI) 496.90p +2.22%
Cranswick (CWK) 790.00p +2.20%
COLT Group SA (COLT) 120.90p +1.77%
Ocado Group (OCDO) 65.50p +1.31%
Interserve (IRV) 366.50p +1.13%
F&C Commercial Property Trust Ltd. (FCPT) 103.00p +1.08%
Essar Energy (ESSR) 134.10p +1.05%

FTSE 250 - Fallers
Ophir Energy (OPHR) 547.50p -5.77%
Salamander Energy (SMDR) 192.40p -5.17%
Savills (SVS) 396.30p -3.34%
Fenner (FENR) 349.40p -2.46%
Hansteen Holdings (HSTN) 75.90p -2.44%
Diploma (DPLM) 446.00p -2.43%
Wetherspoon (J.D.) (JDW) 492.00p -2.19%
Jupiter Fund Management (JUP) 261.40p -2.10%
National Express Group (NEX) 202.30p -2.03%
Perform Group (PER) 430.00p -1.71%
FX round-up
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Gloomy earnings lift dollar

A string of disappointing big name earnings fuelled interest in the safe haven qualities of the dollar on Tuesday while the euro was hit by persistent growth fears.

Uninspiring earnings reports from companies such as Caterpillar and DuPont sparked interest in the dollar and the yen.

The dollar index, which measures the US currency against a basket of six others, rose to 79.942 from 79.654 on Monday.

Meanwhile the tumbled to a one week low against the dollar and fell against the yen as risk appetite faded on jitters about a global economic slowdown. Traders also took fright at a sharp rise in Spain's borrowing costs on Tuesday following a ratings downgrade on the nation's five regions.

The euro traded at $1.2982 from $1.3046 the previous session. Against the yen, the euro fell 0.7% to buy around ¥103.52.

The greenback traded strongly against the yen in early trading before later losing grip on momentum to trade at ¥79.84, off 0.1% on Tuesday.

However the yen is expected to come under pressure ahead of the Bank of Japan's monetary policy meeting at the end of the month when it is widely expected the central bank will ease monetary policy.

Sterling fell against the dollar as focus turned to third quarter UK growth data on Thursday and whether the Bank of England will announce further QE. The UK currency tracked a weak euro as rising Spanish bond yields wiped out demand for riskier currencies.
UK Event Calendar
INTERIMS
Home Retail Group, Lombard Risk Management, Volkswagen AG

INTERIM DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
Interserve, Invesco Perpetual UK Small Companies Inv Trust

INTERIM EX-DIVIDEND DATE
Capital Lease Aviation, Goals Soccer Centres, Hansteen Holdings, Harvey Nash Group, Hunting, Marshalls, Menzies(John), Octopus VCT , Old Mutual, Rolls-Royce Holdings, Senior, Tullett Prebon, Walker Greenbank, William Hill

QUARTERLY PAYMENT DATE
Assura Group Ltd.

QUARTERLY EX-DIVIDEND DATE
City of London Inv Trust

INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS
Crude Oil Inventories (US) (15:30)
FOMC Interest Rate (US) (17:15)
House Price Index (US) (15:00)
IFO Business Climate (GER) (09:00)
IFO Current Assessment (GER) (09:00)
IFO Expectations (GER) (09:00)
MBA Mortgage Applications (US) (12:00)
New Homes Sales (US) (15:00)

Q3
Lilly (Eli) & Co, Reckitt Benckiser Group, Torchmark Corp.

ANNUAL REPORT
Hargreaves Lansdown, K3 Business Technology Group

IMSS
British American Tobacco

SPECIAL EX-DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
Bailey (C.H.)

EGMS
3D Diagnostic Imaging

AGMS
Avingtrans, Haynes Publishing Group, Impala Platinum Holdings Ltd.

TRADING ANNOUNCEMENTS
Sportingbet

UK ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS
CBI Industrial Trends Surveys (11:00)

FINAL DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
Brooks Macdonald Group

FINAL EX-DIVIDEND DATE
BlackRock Greater Europe Inv Trust, British Sky Broadcasting Group, Edge Performance VCT 'D' Shares, Edge Performance VCT 'E' Shares, Edge Performance VCT 'F' Shares, Edge Performance VCT G Shares, Goldplat, Impax Asian Environmental Markets, Interior Services Group, JPMorgan Emerging Markets Inv Trust, Mcbride, Plexus Holdings, Smiths Group, Thorpe (F.W.), Wetherspoon (J.D.)
US Market Report
Stocks Close Sharply Lower On Disappointing Earnings News

After ending the previous session slightly higher, stocks showed a substantial move back to the downside during trading on Tuesday. The sharp pullback by the markets reflected a negative reaction to the latest batch of earnings news.

The major averages all ended the day firmly in negative territory, more than offsetting Monday's modest gains. The Dow plummeted 243.36 points or 1.8 percent to 13,102.53, the Nasdaq slid 26.50 points or 0.9 percent to 2,990.46 and the S&P 500 plunged 20.71 points or 1.4 percent to 1,413.11.

The sell-off on Wall Street came on the heels of disappointing earnings news from some big-name companies, including Dow components DuPont (DD) and 3M (MMM).

Shares of DuPont tumbled by 9.1 percent after the chemical giant reported weaker than expected third quarter results. The company also unveiled plans to cut about 1,500 jobs and issued a downbeat forecast for the full year.

3M fell by 4.1 percent after reporting third quarter earnings that matched analyst estimates but on weaker than expected revenues. The diversified manufacturer also lowered its full-year earnings outlook.

Peter Boockvar, managing director at Miller Tabak, said, "Central bank money printing can only suspend reality for so long as we've seen time and again that economic growth is not driven by ever cheaper money when deleveraging and policy incompetence rule the day."

"At least until the November election, the earnings story will continue to drive markets as it has since the Monday after the FOMC EQE (endless QE) news," he added.

Not all of the earnings news was bad, however, with online media giant Yahoo (YHOO) moving notably higher after reporting better than expected third quarter results.

Continued uncertainty about the financial situation in Europe also weighed on stocks, with traders digesting news of a 0.4 percent contraction in Spanish GDP in the third quarter.

On an annual basis, the Spanish economy is estimated to have contracted by 1.7 percent in the third quarter compared to the 1.3 percent contraction in the second quarter, the Bank of Spain said.

The release of the data comes amid recent indications that Spain is close to requesting an international bailout, with uncertainty about the timing of the request adding to the uncertainty.

Sector News

With DuPont helping to lead the way lower, considerable weakness was visible in the chemical sector. The Dow Jones Chemicals Index fell by 3.1 percent to its lowest closing level since early August.

Dow Chemical (DOW) and Eastman Chemical (EMN) posted notable losses along with DuPont, sliding by 4 percent and 3.4 percent, respectively.

Gold stocks also came under significant selling pressure on the day, moving lower along with the price of the precious metal. With gold for December delivery falling $16.90 to $1,709.40 an ounce, the NYSE Arca Gold Bugs Index dropped by 2.8 percent.

Similarly, energy stocks posted steep losses amid a sharp drop by the price of crude oil. In its first day as the front-month contract, crude for December delivery tumbled $1.98 to $86.67 a barrel.

Most of the other major sectors also moved to the downside on the day, reflecting broad based weakness. Steel, biotechnology, and computer hardware stocks posted notable losses.

On the other hand, trucking stocks managed to buck the downtrend, resulting in a 1.7 percent gain by the Dow Jones Trucking Index. Ryder (R) posted a standout gain after reporting better than expected third quarter earnings and raising its full-year guidance.

Other Markets

In overseas trading, stock markets across the Asia-Pacific region turned in a mixed performance on Tuesday. While Japan's Nikkei 225 Index and Australia's All Ordinaries Index both closed just above the unchanged line, China's Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.9 percent.

In the bond market, treasuries moved moderately higher amid the weakness on Wall Street. Subsequently, the yield on the benchmark ten-year note, which moves opposite of its price, fell by 3.4 basis points to 1.764 percent.

Looking Ahead

Trading on Wednesday could be impacted by reaction to earnings news from Facebook (FB), Netflix (NFLX), Juniper Networks (JNPR), and Broadcom (BRCM), which are among the companies releasing their quarterly results after the close of today's trading.

Additionally, AT&T (T), Boeing (BA), and Delta Air Lines (DAL) are among the companies due to release their quarterly results before the start of trading on Wednesday.

On the economic front, the Commerce Department is scheduled to release its monthly report on new home sales. Economists expect new home sales to climb to an annual rate of 385,000 in September from 373,000 in the previous month.

The Federal Reserve is also due to release its latest monetary policy statement, although the central bank is not expected to make any major announcements following last month's decision to launch a third round of quantitative easing.
Wednesday newspaper round-up
King, FTT, Spain
The Bank of England’s unorthodox actions to turn around the UK’s flagging economy were reaching the limits of their effectiveness, Sir Mervyn King has warned that Britain faces a prolonged economic adjustment. In a bleak assessment of the economy and the ability of monetary policy to generate a strong recovery, the Bank governor urged Britain to be “patient” in the face of a difficult global economic adjustment, which may force younger generations to “live under its shadow for a long time to come”. Sir Mervyn urged banks, in particular, to recognise the need to accept many of their pre-crisis loans would ultimately go sour. “I am not sure that advanced economies in general will find it easy to get out of their current predicament without creditors acknowledging further likely losses, a significant writing down of asset values and recapitalisation of their financial systems,” he said. Sir Mervyn warned there were limits to the Bank’s policy of quantitative easing, under which it prints money and injects it into the economy by purchasing bonds: “Printing money is not .... simply manna from heaven. There are no short cuts to the necessary adjustment in our economy,” The Financial Times explains.

The European Commission has backed plans for 10 countries to impose a financial transaction tax (FTT), claiming the controversial levy will “raise billions of euros of much-needed revenue”. Jose Manuel Barroso, president of the commission, rebuffed complaints made by other member states – most vocally Britain – and said he was “delighted” that the group was pushing ahead with the plan. Mr Barroso said the legal requirements and conditions had been met and he did not believe the tax would undermine the single market if it were imposed across limited parts of the European Union. “I am delighted to see that 10 member states have indicated their willingness to participate in a common financial transaction tax,” he said. “This tax can raise billions of euros of much-needed revenue for member states in these difficult times,” The Telegraph writes.

BNM Mare Nostrum, and other mid-tier "Group 2" banks such as Popular, Caja 3, and Liberbank, have little chance of tapping the markets to cover most of their capital deficits, according to Troika officials. They are also losing patience with the glacial pace of cuts at Bankia and other nationalised lenders such as Catalunya-Caixa and Banco Valencia, according to the Spanish newspaper El Confidencial. Brussels fears a repeat of the fiasco at Bankia, which had to be rescued just weeks after its recapitalisation plans had been approved. "We have had too many bad experiences with financial restructuring in Spain to be sure the plans will work this time," said one official, The Telegraph reports.

BAE Systems has pledged to stand by chairman Dick Olver and ignore attempts by its biggest shareholder Invesco Perpetual to oust senior management following the failure of the defence company’s merger talks with EADS. The company claimed in a statement that Invesco’s views “differ widely” from the majority of the company’s principal shareholders and that the board remains “fully supportive” of the directors, The Telegraph explains.

Royal Bank of Scotland has come under further pressure to sell its Citizens division in the US and make more cuts to its investment banking business. The future of Citizens was re-ignited yesterday after it emerged there had been talks between RBS and the agency in charge of the taxpayers’ stake. Jim O’Neil, chief executive of UK 
Financial Investments (UKFI), told MPs: “I would confirm that among the strategic issues we have discussed with management are the US operations and the investment bank. “The investment bank shape and size ultimately should be smaller than it is today.” O’Neil said that all investment banks were dealing with the capital requirements of Basel III and he felt that most of them would consequently be smaller over time, The Scotsman reports.

A Chinese sovereign wealth fund is set to become a landlord in the UK’s most important office market: the City of London. China Investment Corporation (CIC), the country’s $410bn fund, is in talks to buy Deutsche Bank’s UK headquarters for £250m. According to people close to the situation, Invesco, the asset manager, will buy the 312,000 sq ft office block on behalf of CIC. Invesco declined to comment. The building, which produces an annual rent of £14.3m, is being sold by Kanam, the German open-ended real estate fund, which was left with the property when Malaysian fund manager Permodalan Nasional Berhad (PNB) chose not to include it in a portfolio it acquired from Kanam earlier this year, The Financial Times says.

At a moment when many of its crisis-hit Eurozone partners are left counting their pennies, Germany is seeking to count its gold bars. The German Federal Court of Auditors have called on for the country’s central bank to carry out a physical inspection of the gold reserves it stores at foreign central banks because the precious metal holdings have never been fully checked. Germany's Bundesbank owns nearly 3,400 tonnes of gold. Like many central banks, it stores part of its reserves in vaults at foreign central banks, including the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, the Banque de France and the Bank of England, The Daily Mail reports. Yesterday, Germany’s federal auditors said in a report to the Bundestag lower house of parliament's budget committee that the Bundesbank should, in accordance with commercial law, negotiate the right to physically inspect its reserves with the three foreign central banks. That leads the newspaper to ask if Germany knows something that we do not.

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