Tuesday, October 16, 2012

ADVFN III Evening Euro Markets Bulletin -October 16th, 2012.

ADVFN III Evening Euro Markets Bulletin
Daily world financial news

Tuesday, 16 October 2012

London Market Report
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London close: US earnings spark surge in UK stocks
Market Movers
  • techMARK 2,113.19 +0.97%
  • FTSE 100 5,870.54 +1.12%
  • FTSE 250 11,985.30 +1.09%
- US earnings lift sentiment
- Spain nearing a bailout request
- German ZEW index beats forecasts

Better-than-expected earnings from Goldman and Johnson & Johnson and signs of progress in the Eurozone saw the FTSE 100 surge 1.2 per cent on Tuesday afternoon.

"Global markets roared with optimism today as investors adopted a risk-on attitude thanks to strong US corporate results," said financial trade Shavaz Dhalla from Spreadex. According to Thomson Reuters Starmine data, over two-thirds of US companies that have reported earnings so far have either met or beaten expectations.

Dhalla said: "Thus, in the context of tightening regulations, banking scandals and countries nearing the end of their financial tether, investors can at least take comfort in the fact that many US companies are still managing to ride the current slowdown in global growth surprisingly well."

Bonds in Spain advanced today after the Treasury saw solid demand at a short-term bond auction this morning admits expectations that the country is ready to request a bailout. The Treasury raised €4.86bn, topping the high-end of its €3.5-4.5bn target. Demand totalled €13.654bn overall, while yields edged lower.

The German ZEW survey which measures economic sentiment improved to -11.5 in October, from -18.2 the month before and better than the -14.9 estimate.

UK CPI inflation fell from 2.5% to 2.2% in September, in line with market expectations, taking the rate to its lowest level since November 2009 and close to the 2% target set by the Bank of England. Bank of America Merrill Lynch strategist John Wraith told Reuters: "Inflation numbers were in line with expectations, which on one level doesn't mean very much but on another level probably hardened more expectations of more QE being announced in November."
FTSE 100: Financials & miners jump on increased risk appetite
Financial and resource stocks were performing well on Tuesday afternoon as investors adopted a 'risk-on' attitude on the back of improved newsflow from the Eurozone and better-than-expected corporate results in the US. Lloyds, Admiral, Royal Bank of Scotland and Barclays were leading financials higher, while mining peers Evraz, Polymetal and Kazakhmys were also in demand.

Diversified mining group Rio Tinto rose after hailing a strong set of production results in the third quarter, while Anglo American gained after saying that the illegal occupation of its Sishen Mine has been brought to an end by police.

Heading the other way was global engineering firm GKN after warning that macroeconomic conditions have deteriorated in recent weeks and it was seeing evidence of softening in order books. Investec this morning cut its price target on the stock and retained a 'hold' rating.

Telecoms titan BT Group was higher after Nomura reiterated its 'buy' rating on the stock, saying it prefers it to Vodafone on "structural growth drivers and dividend outlook". Meanwhile, airline group IAG was a heavy faller after Liberum Capital downgraded its recommendation for the shares to 'sell'.
FTSE 250: N Brown jumps after first-half beat
Internet and catalogue home shopping firm N Brown topped the risers list on Tuesday afternoon, gaining 12% after beating forecasts in the first half. The company reported that revenue in the 26 weeks to September 1st came in at £379.3m, up 4.3% on the year and ahead of the consensus estimate of £371.7m.

Chip group Imagination Technologies was also a high riser after both Liberum Capital and Numis upgraded their ratings on the stock.

Oil group Ophir Energy was the worst performer of the day after Deutsche Bank downgraded the stock to 'sell' and cut its price target from 565p to 505p.

High Street betting firm William Hill gained after agreeing on a revised and increased possible offer with GVC for Sportingbet.

Thermal processing services provider Bodycote was in demand after buying US-based Carolina Commercial Heat Treating from Bluewater Thermal Solutions for $68m. The company also said it was trading line with expectations in the most recent quarter.

UK housebuilder Bellway was also a high riser after delivering a solid increase in full-year pre-tax profit, helped by a strong performance in London, and said reservations since July 31st have remained in line with expectations.

FTSE 100 - Risers
Evraz (EVR) 243.70p +6.33%
Lloyds Banking Group (LLOY) 42.76p +6.05%
Admiral Group (ADM) 1,175.00p +5.00%
Royal Bank of Scotland Group (RBS) 280.00p +4.44%
Barclays (BARC) 246.10p +3.91%
Shire Plc (SHP) 1,856.00p +3.46%
ARM Holdings (ARM) 596.00p +3.20%
Polymetal International (POLY) 1,160.00p +3.02%
Weir Group (WEIR) 1,771.00p +2.97%
Rio Tinto (RIO) 3,061.00p +2.94%

FTSE 100 - Fallers
GKN (GKN) 204.80p -3.35%
International Consolidated Airlines Group SA (CDI) (IAG) 155.60p -1.52%
Capita (CPI) 733.00p -0.81%
InterContinental Hotels Group (IHG) 1,593.00p -0.69%
Tesco (TSCO) 307.90p -0.68%
Pennon Group (PNN) 717.00p -0.62%
Sainsbury (J) (SBRY) 356.40p -0.39%
WPP (WPP) 854.50p -0.18%
Vodafone Group (VOD) 173.00p -0.17%
Meggitt (MGGT) 402.00p -0.12%

FTSE 250 - Risers
Brown (N.) Group (BWNG) 306.90p +13.79%
Imagination Technologies Group (IMG) 478.90p +7.86%
Perform Group (PER) 430.00p +7.50%
Kenmare Resources (KMR) 40.10p +6.56%
Paragon Group Of Companies (PAG) 237.10p +6.32%
Persimmon (PSN) 786.00p +5.29%
William Hill (WMH) 342.00p +4.91%
Berkeley Group Holdings (The) (BKG) 1,491.00p +4.41%
Bodycote (BOY) 359.40p +4.14%
Cranswick (CWK) 765.50p +3.45%

FTSE 250 - Fallers
Ophir Energy (OPHR) 579.50p -3.34%
Diploma (DPLM) 447.30p -1.65%
ITE Group (ITE) 198.90p -1.63%
Stobart Group Ltd. (STOB) 116.80p -1.52%
Talvivaara Mining Company (TALV) 133.80p -1.18%
Invensys (ISYS) 224.00p -1.02%
Greggs (GRG) 486.10p -0.96%
Carpetright (CPR) 693.00p -0.93%
Dignity (DTY) 927.50p -0.91%
TalkTalk Telecom Group (TALK) 178.40p -0.89%

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Europe midday: Germany may be open to a precautionary credit line for Spain
-Germany may be open to granting Spain a precautionary credit line -Reports
-Contradictory reports on whether Spain will ask for a bail-out
-Some Euro zone banks regaining access to unsecured funding-Barclays
-Spanish 10 year bond yields down 5bp to 5.77 per cent

FTSE-100: 0.99%
Dax-30: 1.29%
Cac-40: 1.02%
FTSE-Mibtel 30: 1.24%
Ibex 35: 2.34%
Stoxx 600: 0.83%

The major European equity benchmarks are now registering large gains. That following reports that Germany may be open to granting Spain a precautionary credit line.
Also adding to the favourable sentiment, The Financial Times wrote this morning that Spain may be close to asking for a bail-out. However, it added that it is being delayed by considerations put forth by Germany and by worries over what the repercussions of that could be for Italy.

Bloomberg is also casting a spotlight on Spain today. However, it was earlier reporting that Spain's PM believes that holding out for longer will win the country better terms, similar to what other reports seem to be pointing to yesterday.

Meantime, S&P has further cuts its long term credit ratings on 11 Spanish banks and short - term rates on four. This is normal as financial institutions' credit ratings are usually linked to the sovereign's by means of the so-called zero coupon curve.

The Spanish Treasury has sold 4.86bn euros in 12 and 18 month bills this morning, more than the 4.5bn which had been expected and at lower rates than the last time around.
Car sales off
Luxury group LVMH has today unveiled a further slowdown in comparable sales growth in the third quarter, to 6%.

Roche Holdings gained 0.5% after reporting third- quarter sales that exceeded analyst estimates.

Registrations plummeted 11% to 1.13m vehicles last month from 1.27m a year earlier, according to data out from the Brussels-based European Automobile Manufacturers' Association (ACEA). It was the 12th consecutive monthly drop and the biggest decline since October 2010.

As an aside, The Telegraph was reporting this morning that French business leaders are in a state of near panic over the seriousness of the current financial crisis.

From a sector stand-point the best performance is now to be seen in shares of the following industrial groups: Banks (2.05%), Technology (1.93%) and Insurance (1.69%).
Better than forecast economic numbers


Eurozone consumer prices for the month of September have come in at a 2.6% year-on-year rate of change (Consensus: 2.7%).

The German ZEW Institute's investor sentiment index for the month of September increased to -11.5 points, after -18.2 points in the month before (Consensus: -14.9). Slight gains in other asset classes


The euro/dollar is now up by 0.84% to the 1.3056 dollar mark.

Front month Brent crude futures are falling by 0.294 dollars to the 115.46 dollar mark on the ICE.

US Market Report
US mid-morning: Stocks at day's best levels
-Citi board ousts Pandit over poor execution-Bbg
-Two German lawmakers support precautionary credit line for Spain

Dow Jones Industrial: 0.87%
Nasdaq Comp.: 0.97%
S&P 500: 0.89%

The main US equity benchmarks are trading comfortably higher, apparently benefitting from reports and hopes that Spanish authorities may be making progress towards asking for a full rescue programme from their European partners.

Also helping stocks, undoubtedly, is the release of several better than expected quarterly earnings reports today from the likes of Johnson&Johnson, United Health, and Goldman Sachs as well as generally better than expected macroeconomic data.

As regards Goldman Sachs, the Wall Street giant has announced third-quarter net income of $1.51bn, or $2.85 per share (Consensus: $2.28), compared with a loss of $393m, or 84 cents, versus a year earlier.

Results from Coca Cola and State Street, on the other hand, came in 'mixed.'

HCA and Murphy Oil have both announced special dividend payments today. The latter has also unveiled a $1bn share buy-back programme.

Not to be lost sight of, IBM and Intel will publish their latest quarterly results after tonight's close.

Citigroup has turned around and is now moving higher despite the surprise resignation of its Chief Executive, Vikram Pandit. Worth pointing out in this regard, Bloomberg is now reporting that he was in fact ousted over his performance.
Slightly better than expected data-points


US core consumer prices rose at a 2.0% year-on-year clip in September, as expected.

Meantime, US industrial production rose by 0.4% month-on-month in September (Consensus: 0.2%). Compensating the above, in part, previous months' data for manufacturing sector output was revised down.

Long-term capital inflows increased to $90b in August (Consensus: $45.3bn), after $67.2bn.

The NAHB home-builder sentiment index gained 1 point, to 41 points, in September, its highest level since June 2006.

Front month West Texas crude futures are now up by 0.02% to the 91.86 dollar mark on the NYMEX.

10 year US Treasuries are also moving lower, by 14/32 dollars, with yields at 1.71%.

S&P 500 - Risers
First Solar Inc. (FSLR) $24.05 +8.09%
Fossil Inc. (FOSL) $91.94 +8.05%
Murphy Oil Corp. (MUR) $63.65 +7.89%
Cliffs Natural Resources Inc. (CLF) $43.81 +6.50%
Kroger Co. (KR) $24.55 +4.78%
State Street Corp. (STT) $43.46 +4.52%
Juniper Networks Inc. (JNPR) $17.51 +4.29%
Gannett Co. Inc. (GCI) $18.57 +4.03%
MetLife Inc. (MET) $36.35 +4.01%
Williams Companies Inc. (WMB) $37.25 +3.91%

S&P 500 - Fallers
W.W. Grainger Inc. (GWW) $203.22 -5.86%
PNC Financial Services Group (PNC) $60.67 -3.60%
Omnicom Group Inc. (OMC) $50.95 -2.88%
Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD) $2.67 -2.73%
Forest Laboratories Inc. (FRX) $35.74 -2.35%
Republic Services Inc. (RSG) $27.68 -1.25%
Alpha Natural Res (ANR) $8.38 -1.17%
Cablevision Systems Corp. (CVC) $17.52 -1.16%
Quest Diagnostics (DGX) $63.23 -1.13%
Avon Products Inc. (AVP) $17.08 -1.10%

Dow Jones I.A - Risers
Intel Corp. (INTC) $22.23 +2.28%
Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) $84.53 +2.08%
United Technologies Corp. (UTX) $77.50 +1.77%
Boeing Co. (BA) $73.44 +1.65%
Travelers Company Inc. (TRV) $70.92 +1.62%
Alcoa Inc. (AA) $8.94 +1.56%
3M Co. (MMM) $94.16 +1.48%
Cisco Systems Inc. (CSCO) $18.82 +1.46%
American Express Co. (AXP) $58.37 +1.35%
Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) $69.50 +1.31%

Dow Jones I.A - Fallers
Mondelez International Inc. (MDLZ) $27.03 -0.70%
Coca-Cola Co. (KO) $37.91 -0.57%
Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (WMT) $76.79 -0.47%

Nasdaq 100 - Risers
Fossil Inc. (FOSL) $91.94 +8.05%
Mattel Inc. (MAT) $36.70 +3.61%
Avago Technologies Ltd. (AVGO) $34.38 +3.57%
Sears Holdings Corp. (SHLD) $62.15 +3.04%
Autodesk Inc. (ADSK) $32.84 +2.95%
Nvidia Corp. (NVDA) $13.14 +2.74%
Liberty Interactive Corp (LINTA) $20.27 +2.71%
Adobe Systems Inc. (ADBE) $33.18 +2.63%
Broadcom Corp. (BRCM) $33.94 +2.48%
Sandisk Corp. (SNDK) $44.74 +2.31%

Nasdaq 100 - Fallers
Fastenal Co. (FAST) $45.10 -0.99%
Infosys Technologies Ltd. (INFY) $44.22 -0.79%
Activision Blizzard Inc. (ATVI) $11.23 -0.71%
Mondelez International Inc. (MDLZ) $27.03 -0.70%
Warner Chilcott Plc (WCRX) $12.89 -0.46%
Vodafone Group Plc ADS (VOD) $27.90 -0.43%
Micron Technology Inc. (MU) $5.70 -0.35%
Garmin Ltd. (GRMN) $39.97 -0.35%
Expedia Inc. (EXPE) $54.32 -0.31%
O'Reilly Automotive Inc. (ORLY) $82.38 -0.16%

Broker Tips
Broker tips: Hargreaves Lansdown, BT, GKN
Credit Suisse analysts have downgraded Hargreaves Lansdown to 'underperform' from 'neutral' but have raised their price target for the stock from 480p to 655p.

The Swiss bank believes that the shares, trading at an all-time high (up 70% year-to-date), and on a calendar year price earnings ratio of 23 are up with events.

Moreover, the regulatory uncertainty from the retail distribution review has the potential to disrupt the current pricing model, consume management time and raise operational costs.

Nomura kept its 'buy' rating for telecoms giant BT Group on Tuesday saying that, while first-half results are likely to be hit by the economic downturn, it still prefers the business over sector peer Vodafone (rated 'neutral').

The broker said: "BT has not re-rated against VOD on price-to-earnings grounds in the last two years despite superior EBITDA growth and guidance that implies more of the same.

"Unless VOD can secure an increased US dividend, we expect investors to focus on consolidated operations in the near term, and we support a tighter valuation discount for BT."

Investec has trimmed its target for engineering group GKN after its Driveline division suffered from a worse-than-expected weakening in automotive demand and associated operational issues.

Investec has maintained its 'hold' rating for GKN and reduced its target from 240p to 224p.

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