| ADVFN III | Morning Euro Markets Bulletin | ||
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Tuesday, 04 September 2012
| ADVFN III | Morning Euro Markets Bulletin | ||
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| ADVFN III | Evening Euro Markets Bulletin | ||
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| London Market Report | ||||||||||||||||||||
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| London close: Miners jump on hopes of central bank action Market Movers
- Central banks in China, US and Europe expected to act - UK manufacturing beats expectations - Fresnillo leads miners higher Stocks markets in the States may have been closed for Labour Day but that didn't stop bourses in Europe from registering decent gains on Monday, with London's Footsie starting the week strongly, up 0.82 per cent on the day. "Despite continued poor economic data from China, as well as Europe, investors appear to be taking comfort from the fact that this is likely to make further monetary easing more likely in the near term, thus supporting asset prices," said market analyst Michael Hewson from CMC Markets. According to a monthly survey by HSBC, the China manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) dropped from 49.3 in July to 47.6 in August, its lowest reading since March 2009. The news follows the official PMI data from last week which fell to a nine-month low of 49.2. Any figure below 50 indicates a contraction. "However, the data does suggest that Chinese policymakers have plenty of room to promote easing tools to spur growth and have previously this year re-armed the country by cutting rates. As such, hopes that China will soon have no choice but to stimulate growth have been the main driver of today's gains," said market strategist Ishaq Siddiqi from ETX Capital. The UK's own manufacturing data beat expectations last in August, though it still posted its fourth straight month of contraction. The manufacturing PMI rose to 49.5, from 45.2 in July, a four-month high and better than the 46 reading expected by analysts. Nevertheless, the focus of the markets this week will undoubtedly be on the European Central Bank (ECB) monetary policy meeting on Thursday at which President Mario Draghi is widely expected to unveil plans for buying sovereign debt in order to bring down bond yields in peripheral nations. Following on from last week's climax of the Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke's closely watched speech at the Jackson Hole symposium, markets widely believe that further quantitative easing (QE) is now on the cards for the central bank's next meeting on September 13th and 14th. A close eye will be keep on the upcoming payrolls and manufacturing figures due out this week in the US, which will likely be the deciding factor in whether the Fed pulls the trigger or not. FTSE 100: Miners gain on stimulus hopes A strong showing by the miners assured that the Footsie was firmly in the red on Monday afternoon in spite of some steep falls for some heavyweight stocks, such as Glencore, Admiral and ARM Holdings. Disappointing Chinese economic figures, which usually results in a sell-off in the mining sector, had the adverse effect today as speculation mounted that Chinese policy-makers would act to stimulate the world's second-largest economy, one of the biggest sources of demand for the miners. | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Europe Market Report | ||||||||
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| Europe close: All eyes on ECB bond plan European stocks up - Draghi hints at three year bond purchases - Nokia comeback continues FTSE 100:+0.82% Dax 30:+0.63% Stoxx 600: +0.84% Cac 40: +1.19% Ibex 35: +0.18% FTSE MIB: +1.10% European markets climbed on Monday as hopes for central bank stimulus rose on both sides of the Atlantic. European Central Bank President Mario Draghi is expected to unveil a bond buying programme after the bank's policy meeting on September 6th. On monday he was quoted as telling lawmakers at the European Parliament that the ECB is considering purchasing bonds with maturities of up to three years. Last week Draghi's US counterpart, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke indicated he too was open to "non-conventional" measures which most observers have interpreted as opening the door to further bond purchases. The UK based research firm Markit Economics says the European manufacturing sector contracted by more than initially estimated in August. Its manufacturing Purchasing Manager's Index for the euro area was revised downward to 45.1 from an initial estimate of 45.3. Anything below 50 implies the sector is shrinking. COMPANIES Food and beverage stocks were the strongest on the Stoxx 600, rising 1.38%. The weakest segment was automobiles & parts, which fell 0.93%. Italian drinks maker Campari will buy Jamaican rum maker Lascelles DeMercado for $414.8m in a bid to hasten its push into overseas markets. It rose around 7%. Nokia continued its recent comeback, rising 4.7% as investors wonder, post Apple's court victory over Samsung, whether the ailing Finnish firm may yet yield more value. The Spanish government is expected to inject up to €5bn into failed lender Bankia, which has just reported a €4.45bn first half loss. The group gained 8% on the news. Fresenius Medical (+0.76%) has abandoned its takeover offer for Rhone Klinikum. OTHER MARKETS The euro was up 0.14% against the dollar at $1.2596 at 17:02. Futures contracts on a barrel of brent crude had risen 0.81% by 16:53. CAC 40 - Risers Pernod Ricard (RI) € 88.67 +3.50% Cap Gemini (CAP) € 30.00 +2.65% Sanofi (SAN) € 66.51 +2.24% L'Oreal (OR) € 99.73 +2.04% Technip (TEC) € 85.27 +1.83% Danone (BN) € 50.40 +1.72% Vallourec (VK) € 37.50 +1.71% Essilor International (EI) € 70.57 +1.70% Saint Gobain (SGO) € 27.73 +1.65% Accor (AC) € 25.62 +1.63% CAC 40 - Fallers Renault (RNO) € 36.82 -0.93% Peugeot (UG) € 5.96 -0.91% Credit Agricole (ACA) € 4.62 -0.45% ST Microelectronics (STM) € 4.71 -0.15% |
| US Market Report |
Markets Closed |
| Broker Tips |
| Broker tips: Morrisons, Prudential, Home Retail Nomura has downgraded its rating for supermarket group Morrisons after analysing the recent Kantar grocery survey. According to the survey, Morrisons' volume growth lagged behind its counterparts by around 4% at the last data point. "We recognise MRW's ability to preserve profitability, having faced volume headwinds from both Asda's Netto conversions (abating) and TSCO's reset (ongoing), and expect resilient H1 interims (September 6th). However, MRW's survey volume trend proves the tipping point for us to revise our recommendation to 'neutral' (from 'buy')," the broker said. Galvan Research and Trading has recommended to buy shares of insurance giant Prudential, saying that the stock's recent underperformance is 'unwarranted'. "Although recent weeks have seen the market plump for sector peer Aviva rather than Prudential, Galvan Research regards the Pru as a 'buy' on the basis of the recent relative share price underperformance and the fact that the fundamental downside remains cushioned by very strong Asian growth," said Galvan's head of research, Andrew Gibson. Investec has upgraded its rating for Argos and Homebase owner Home Retail Group, saying that the firm's second-quarter trading statement next week could see a pick up in sentiment. "While the market short position in Home Retail has retreated, it remains very high and we therefore believe the shares should react positively to evidence of more resilient trading at Argos," Investec said on Monday morning. "With share price risk weighted to the upside in our view, we are therefore moving from 'sell' to 'buy', with a new target of 109p (70p previously)." |
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| ADVFN III | Morning Euro Markets Bulletin | |
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| London open: Miners gain as stimulus hopes lift the mood Market Movers
- Chinese PMI drops, but stimulus hopes increase - US data in focus ahead of Fed meeting - Eyes turn to ECB conference Stock markets across Europe opened moderately higher on Monday morning as some gloomy data from China spurred hopes that the country would join the list of nations who are expected to act to stimulate economic activity. Nevertheless, today is likely to be relatively quiet on the markets due to the Labour Day holiday in the US. According to a monthly survey by HSBC, the China manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) dropped from 49.3 in July to 47.6 in August, its lowest reading since March 2009. The news follows the official PMI data from last week which fell to a nine-month low of 49.2. Any figure below 50 indicates a contraction. However, said market analyst Michael Hewson from CMC Markets said this morning: "Despite the sharp drop, the falls have raised expectations of additional easing measures by the People's Bank of China in the next week or so." Following on from last week's peak of the Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke's closely watched speech at the Jackson Hole symposium, markets widely believe that further quantitative easing (QE) is now on the cards for the central bank's next meeting on September 13th and 14th. However, investors will be keeping a close eye on payrolls and manufacturing data due out this week as any decent figures could ease the Fed's concerns about the economy, delaying (or even preventing) any action. Meanwhile, as analyst Craig Erlam from Alpari explains this morning, the focus on markets now shifts from one central bank to another, the European Central Bank (ECB). "Last month Mario Draghi [ECB President] hinted that the ECB is about to restart a programme of government bond purchases. Since Draghi's original comments, details of the programme have been leaked out in the media. This has led people to believe that it will be unveiled at the press conference on Thursday." Miners dominate the risers early onNine out of the top 10 risers were from the mining sector in the opening hour as stimulus hopes helped the outlook for the demand of commodities. Evraz, Fresnillo, Antofagasta and Rangold were among the best performers.Several stocks were being moved by broker ratings changes this morning. Chip group ARM Holdings was a heavy faller on the FTSE 100 after Deutsche Bank downgraded its recommendation to 'sell', while supermarket firm Morrisons was in the red after Nomura cut its rating to 'neutral'. Meanwhile, Home Retail was making gains after Investec upgraded its rating on the stock from 'sell' to 'buy', saying that shares should react positively "to evidence of more resilient trading at Argos" after the group's second-quarter trading update next week. Mining group Talvivaara surged early on after reassuring investors that rumours regarding the development of the company's cash position during the remainder of the year and ongoing or planned personnel reductions are incorrect. Africa-focused oil group Ophir Energy rose after significantly upping estimates of potential resources at one of its sites in Tanzania. FTSE 100 - Risers Evraz (EVR) 232.90p +3.51% Fresnillo (FRES) 1,614.00p +3.40% Vedanta Resources (VED) 889.00p +2.48% Kazakhmys (KAZ) 607.50p +2.45% Randgold Resources Ltd. (RRS) 6,475.00p +2.45% Eurasian Natural Resources Corp. (ENRC) 309.20p +2.42% Antofagasta (ANTO) 1,131.00p +2.17% BHP Billiton (BLT) 1,875.00p +2.12% Rio Tinto (RIO) 2,787.50p +1.90% Rolls-Royce Holdings (RR.) 836.00p +1.83% FTSE 100 - Fallers ARM Holdings (ARM) 561.00p -2.26% Admiral Group (ADM) 1,167.00p -1.60% Morrison (Wm) Supermarkets (MRW) 276.70p -1.18% Glencore International (GLEN) 383.50p -0.40% Ashmore Group (ASHM) 328.20p -0.24% AstraZeneca (AZN) 2,929.50p -0.24% Shire Plc (SHP) 1,913.00p -0.16% Babcock International Group (BAB) 936.50p -0.05% FTSE 250 - Risers Talvivaara Mining Company (TALV) 137.20p +9.41% Ophir Energy (OPHR) 598.00p +5.93% Home Retail Group (HOME) 99.35p +5.86% Petropavlovsk (POG) 360.00p +3.48% Raven Russia Ltd (RUS) 64.45p +3.12% New World Resources A Shares (NWR) 278.80p +2.92% Dixons Retail (DXNS) 18.06p +2.91% Paragon Group Of Companies (PAG) 194.20p +2.70% Kenmare Resources (KMR) 39.33p +2.69% Lonmin (LMI) 588.00p +2.62% FTSE 250 - Fallers Henderson Group (HGG) 103.60p -2.36% Bumi (BUMI) 312.40p -1.76% CSR (CSR) 320.50p -1.57% Cape (CIU) 239.00p -1.40% Shanks Group (SKS) 88.80p -1.11% ITE Group (ITE) 200.90p -0.94% Jupiter Fund Management (JUP) 223.60p -0.80% Menzies(John) (MNZS) 625.00p -0.79% Ashtead Group (AHT) 281.20p -0.78% UK Event Calendar Monday September 03INTERIMS Biome Technologies, Cupid, Pennant International Group, Staffline Group INTERIM DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE St. Modwen Properties QUARTERLY PAYMENT DATE JPMorgan Claverhouse Inv Trust INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS PMI Manufacturing (EU) (09:00) PMI Manufacturing (GER) (08:55) Q4 Kofax FINALS Kofax, Sweett Group AGMS Galileo Resources UK ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS PMI Manufacturing (09:30) FINAL DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE BT Group
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