| ADVFN III | Evening Euro Markets Bulletin | ||
| |||
Monday, 24 September 2012
| ADVFN III | Evening Euro Markets Bulletin | ||
| |||
| ADVFN III | Evening Euro Markets Bulletin | ||
| |||
| London Market Report | ||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||
| London close: Stocks flat, markets in 'wait and see' mode Market Movers
- Investors cautious ahead of pivotal week - Ruling on ESM and FOMC meeting in focus - Miners lead risers on hopes of QE3 London's FTSE 100 index finished just two points lower on Monday afternoon as investors refrained from building positions ahead of a busy week for the markets. The Footsie stayed within a narrow range for most of the day with just 20 points between the intraday high and low. "Markets have reverted to 'wait and see' mode today ahead of this week's key events out of Europe and the US as investors start to book some profits after the gains of the last few days," said market analyst Michael Hewson from CMC Markets. Investors are awaiting the German Constitutional Court ruling on the European Stability Mechanism on Wednesday, while Thursday's focus will be on the Federal Open Market Committee meeting in the US, "both of which are major event risks", according to Ishaq Siddiqi from ETX Capital. "Germany's opposition of the ECB's bond buying plan and the mixed data picture of the US economy prompt a huge degree of uncertainty over both events," he said. Stocks were given a boost towards the end of last week after European Central Bank (ECB) President Mario Draghi unveiled details of the bank's bond-buying programme, which included unlimited and sterilised purchases of sovereign debt with maturities over between one and three years. In other news, China reported significantly worse-than-expected import figures for August, falling for the first time in a non-holiday period since 2009. The trade surplus widened to $26.7bn last month, well above expectations of $19.5bn. Meanwhile, Japan's Cabinet Office slashed its estimate of gross domestic product growth for the second quarter to an annualised rate of 0.7% (consensus: 1.0%), versus the preliminary estimate of 1.4%. FTSE 100: Miners gain on hopes for further QE Mining stocks were performing well on Monday with expectations for further quantitative easing (QE) measures from the Federal Reserve driving gains. UBS said this morning that the outlook for the UK mining sector is improving: "QE triggers a return of capital flows to emerging markets, incentivising companies to stop running for cash and embark on a commodity bullish restocking phase. As in the past, QE is likely to drive up commodity prices and in turn mining equities." | ||||||||||||||||
| Europe Market Report | ||||||||
| ||||||||
| Europe close: Markets slip on China fears Greek PM meeting Eurozone officials on rescue programme - China numbers worry markets - Philips down after Goldman hit FTSE 100: -0.03% Dax 30: -0.01% Stoxx 600: -0.22% Cac 40: -0.37% Ibex 35: -0.32% FTSE MIB: -0.11% European stocks retreated on Monday as investors cashed in on the big gains of the previous week. Last Thursday equities got a big boost when the European Central Bank revealed plans to buy the debt of distressed euro area nations but investor attention has now turned to the strings the ECB will attach to any intervention in the bond market. Most observers would agree that the conditions imposed on Greece have been disastrous and no one wants a repeat if Spain and Italy ask for help. Today the Greek Prime Minister Antonis Samaras has been meeting EU officials after he failed to win agreement from his coalition partners for the latest round of cuts demanded by the country's lenders. Further darkening the mood have been disappointing numbers out of China where both the industrial production figure for August (+8.9%) and imports (-2.6%) came in below expectations. COMPANIES On the Stoxx 600 index, the weakest sector was 'food and beverage' which fell 1.22%. The strongest sector was 'basic resources' which added 0.81%. The Belgo-Brasilian brewing giant InBev, the makers of Budweiser, Stellar Artois and Becks fell 2.8% amidst a general slump in the sector. Nestle (-0.6%) also had a bad day. The world's biggest maker of light bulbs, Philips Electronics, dropped 2.4% after Goldman Sachs reduced its rating from buy to neutral. Goldman also did a job on Telefonica, saying the Spanish firm didn't warrant a premium over other telecoms stocks. The stock fell back 1%.
|
| ADVFN III | Evening Euro Markets Bulletin | ||
| |||
| London Market Report | ||||||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||
| London close: Miners jump on hopes of central bank action Market Movers
- Central banks in China, US and Europe expected to act - UK manufacturing beats expectations - Fresnillo leads miners higher Stocks markets in the States may have been closed for Labour Day but that didn't stop bourses in Europe from registering decent gains on Monday, with London's Footsie starting the week strongly, up 0.82 per cent on the day. "Despite continued poor economic data from China, as well as Europe, investors appear to be taking comfort from the fact that this is likely to make further monetary easing more likely in the near term, thus supporting asset prices," said market analyst Michael Hewson from CMC Markets. According to a monthly survey by HSBC, the China manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) dropped from 49.3 in July to 47.6 in August, its lowest reading since March 2009. The news follows the official PMI data from last week which fell to a nine-month low of 49.2. Any figure below 50 indicates a contraction. "However, the data does suggest that Chinese policymakers have plenty of room to promote easing tools to spur growth and have previously this year re-armed the country by cutting rates. As such, hopes that China will soon have no choice but to stimulate growth have been the main driver of today's gains," said market strategist Ishaq Siddiqi from ETX Capital. The UK's own manufacturing data beat expectations last in August, though it still posted its fourth straight month of contraction. The manufacturing PMI rose to 49.5, from 45.2 in July, a four-month high and better than the 46 reading expected by analysts. Nevertheless, the focus of the markets this week will undoubtedly be on the European Central Bank (ECB) monetary policy meeting on Thursday at which President Mario Draghi is widely expected to unveil plans for buying sovereign debt in order to bring down bond yields in peripheral nations. Following on from last week's climax of the Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke's closely watched speech at the Jackson Hole symposium, markets widely believe that further quantitative easing (QE) is now on the cards for the central bank's next meeting on September 13th and 14th. A close eye will be keep on the upcoming payrolls and manufacturing figures due out this week in the US, which will likely be the deciding factor in whether the Fed pulls the trigger or not. FTSE 100: Miners gain on stimulus hopes A strong showing by the miners assured that the Footsie was firmly in the red on Monday afternoon in spite of some steep falls for some heavyweight stocks, such as Glencore, Admiral and ARM Holdings. Disappointing Chinese economic figures, which usually results in a sell-off in the mining sector, had the adverse effect today as speculation mounted that Chinese policy-makers would act to stimulate the world's second-largest economy, one of the biggest sources of demand for the miners. | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Europe Market Report | ||||||||
| ||||||||
| Europe close: All eyes on ECB bond plan European stocks up - Draghi hints at three year bond purchases - Nokia comeback continues FTSE 100:+0.82% Dax 30:+0.63% Stoxx 600: +0.84% Cac 40: +1.19% Ibex 35: +0.18% FTSE MIB: +1.10% European markets climbed on Monday as hopes for central bank stimulus rose on both sides of the Atlantic. European Central Bank President Mario Draghi is expected to unveil a bond buying programme after the bank's policy meeting on September 6th. On monday he was quoted as telling lawmakers at the European Parliament that the ECB is considering purchasing bonds with maturities of up to three years. Last week Draghi's US counterpart, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke indicated he too was open to "non-conventional" measures which most observers have interpreted as opening the door to further bond purchases. The UK based research firm Markit Economics says the European manufacturing sector contracted by more than initially estimated in August. Its manufacturing Purchasing Manager's Index for the euro area was revised downward to 45.1 from an initial estimate of 45.3. Anything below 50 implies the sector is shrinking. COMPANIES Food and beverage stocks were the strongest on the Stoxx 600, rising 1.38%. The weakest segment was automobiles & parts, which fell 0.93%. Italian drinks maker Campari will buy Jamaican rum maker Lascelles DeMercado for $414.8m in a bid to hasten its push into overseas markets. It rose around 7%. Nokia continued its recent comeback, rising 4.7% as investors wonder, post Apple's court victory over Samsung, whether the ailing Finnish firm may yet yield more value. The Spanish government is expected to inject up to €5bn into failed lender Bankia, which has just reported a €4.45bn first half loss. The group gained 8% on the news. Fresenius Medical (+0.76%) has abandoned its takeover offer for Rhone Klinikum. OTHER MARKETS The euro was up 0.14% against the dollar at $1.2596 at 17:02. Futures contracts on a barrel of brent crude had risen 0.81% by 16:53. CAC 40 - Risers Pernod Ricard (RI) € 88.67 +3.50% Cap Gemini (CAP) € 30.00 +2.65% Sanofi (SAN) € 66.51 +2.24% L'Oreal (OR) € 99.73 +2.04% Technip (TEC) € 85.27 +1.83% Danone (BN) € 50.40 +1.72% Vallourec (VK) € 37.50 +1.71% Essilor International (EI) € 70.57 +1.70% Saint Gobain (SGO) € 27.73 +1.65% Accor (AC) € 25.62 +1.63% CAC 40 - Fallers Renault (RNO) € 36.82 -0.93% Peugeot (UG) € 5.96 -0.91% Credit Agricole (ACA) € 4.62 -0.45% ST Microelectronics (STM) € 4.71 -0.15% |
| US Market Report |
Markets Closed |
| Broker Tips |
| Broker tips: Morrisons, Prudential, Home Retail Nomura has downgraded its rating for supermarket group Morrisons after analysing the recent Kantar grocery survey. According to the survey, Morrisons' volume growth lagged behind its counterparts by around 4% at the last data point. "We recognise MRW's ability to preserve profitability, having faced volume headwinds from both Asda's Netto conversions (abating) and TSCO's reset (ongoing), and expect resilient H1 interims (September 6th). However, MRW's survey volume trend proves the tipping point for us to revise our recommendation to 'neutral' (from 'buy')," the broker said. Galvan Research and Trading has recommended to buy shares of insurance giant Prudential, saying that the stock's recent underperformance is 'unwarranted'. "Although recent weeks have seen the market plump for sector peer Aviva rather than Prudential, Galvan Research regards the Pru as a 'buy' on the basis of the recent relative share price underperformance and the fact that the fundamental downside remains cushioned by very strong Asian growth," said Galvan's head of research, Andrew Gibson. Investec has upgraded its rating for Argos and Homebase owner Home Retail Group, saying that the firm's second-quarter trading statement next week could see a pick up in sentiment. "While the market short position in Home Retail has retreated, it remains very high and we therefore believe the shares should react positively to evidence of more resilient trading at Argos," Investec said on Monday morning. "With share price risk weighted to the upside in our view, we are therefore moving from 'sell' to 'buy', with a new target of 109p (70p previously)." |