Thursday, July 19, 2012

ADVFN III Morning Euro Markets Bulletin

ADVFN III Morning Euro Markets Bulletin
Daily world financial news
Thursday, 19 July 201

London Market Report
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Footsie edges higher, but Kingfisher falls

Market Movers
techMARK 2,076.47 +0.47%
FTSE 100 5,695.22 +0.17%
FTSE 250 11,180.83 +0.86%
Kingfisher leads fallers on the Footsie
Upbeat European earnings lift sentiment
Fed says US expanding at 'modest to moderate' rate

UK stocks edged higher in early trading on Thursday on the back of some upbeat earnings reports from heavyweight European stocks AkzoNobel, Sandvik and Novartis.

Investors will be digesting last night's release of the Federal Reserve's Beige Book which said that the US economic grew at a "modest to moderate" pace over the last month. Stocks closed higher yesterday after Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke said that he does not expect the US economy to slip back into recession.

Analyst Cooper Howes from Barclays Capital said:"The Fed will not feel compelled to act (or not act) on this report alone, and the decision of whether or not to pursue further monetary stimulus will depend on developments in the economic data and financial markets between now and the meeting."
FTSE 100: Rainfall dampens growth at Kingfisher
Kingfisher, Europe's largest home improvement retailer, was among the worst performers after sales were hit by the extraordinary bad weather in the second quarter, though trading in the UK and Ireland was resilient.

Engineering groups IMI, GKN and Weir was high risers after Swedish peer Sandvik released better-than-expected second-quarter results. Meanwhile, Croda International gained on the back of positive read-across from AkzoNobel.

Gas group BG was under the weather after Credit Suisse downgraded the stock to 'neutral' and cut its target from 1,660p to 1,500p. Mining firm Vedanta dropped after HSBC slashed its target from 1,320p to 1,000p, though it maintained its 'overweight' rating.

Banking group Lloyds fell after it agreed with the Co-op to sell hundreds of its branches for an initial consideration of £350m, and up to an additional £400m in present value.
FTSE 250: Stocks jump after board changes
Halfords advanced after saying that Chief Executive David Wild is on his bike leaving the non-executive Chairman Dennis Millard in charge of the shop while the struggling seller of bikes and car parts looks for a replacement. The group also reported that LFL sales gained 0.9% in the five weeks to June 29th.

Oilfield services firm Wood Group rose after saying that Chairman Sir Ian Wood is to retire in November and will be succeeded by the group's CEO, Allister Langlands.

West Africa-focused gold miner Avocet Mining was also in demand after it revealed that CEO Brett Richards is to resign and will be replaced by the group's Chief Operating Officer (COO).

Digging deeper at the Simrit-2 exploration well in the Kurdistan region of Iraq has paid off for oil exploration firm Afren as the well's total net oil pay has increased to 460 metres. Shares jumped 7%.

Elsewhere, AIM-listed sports retailer JJB dropped after saying that it is having to slow down its refurbishment programme as poor sales mean the group will need an injection of cash from its backers earlier than planned.

FTSE 100 - Risers
IMI (IMI) 813.50p +2.84%
Smiths Group (SMIN) 1,103.00p +2.70%
Burberry Group (BRBY) 1,265.00p +2.68%
Petrofac Ltd. (PFC) 1,502.00p +2.53%
Weir Group (WEIR) 1,526.00p +2.35%
ARM Holdings (ARM) 487.90p +2.05%
GKN (GKN) 217.20p +1.97%
Antofagasta (ANTO) 1,093.00p +1.96%
Johnson Matthey (JMAT) 2,203.00p +1.61%
International Consolidated Airlines Group SA (CDI) (IAG) 158.70p +1.54%

FTSE 100 - Fallers
Kingfisher (KGF) 269.00p -2.25%
Vedanta Resources (VED) 893.00p -1.81%
BG Group (BG.) 1,294.00p -1.78%
Smith & Nephew (SN.) 650.00p -1.29%
G4S (GFS) 242.60p -0.94%
National Grid (NG.) 664.50p -0.89%
United Utilities Group (UU.) 691.00p -0.72%
Tesco (TSCO) 320.40p -0.56%
Aberdeen Asset Management (ADN) 259.20p -0.50%
Hammerson (HMSO) 461.90p -0.45%

FTSE 250 - Risers
Halfords Group (HFD) 213.50p +8.16%
Afren (AFR) 127.70p +7.40%
Fenner (FENR) 352.60p +4.47%
Cookson Group (CKSN) 633.50p +4.28%
Ruspetro (RPO) 144.30p +3.81%
Elementis (ELM) 193.70p +3.25%
Imagination Technologies Group (IMG) 483.90p +3.24%
Paragon Group Of Companies (PAG) 179.60p +3.22%
Spectris (SXS) 1,532.00p +2.89%
Avocet Mining (AVM) 71.20p +2.89%

FTSE 250 - Fallers
TalkTalk Telecom Group (TALK) 184.40p -2.85%
Ultra Electronics Holdings (ULE) 1,574.00p -1.44%
Barr (A.G.) (BAG) 424.20p -1.30%
Aberforth Smaller Companies Trust (ASL) 585.00p -1.18%
SEGRO (SGRO) 235.00p -1.09%
Gem Diamonds Ltd. (DI) (GEMD) 210.80p -1.08%
Euromoney Institutional Investor (ERM) 783.00p -0.89%
Rathbone Brothers (RAT) 1,329.00p -0.82%
British Assets Trust (BSET) 118.00p -0.76%
NMC Health (NMC) 198.50p -0.75%

Europe Market Report
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Spain fights to maintain access to debt markets

Germany and Italy to vote on ESM today
Spain to auction up to €3bn in medium term debt
Beige book describes growth as modest to moderate overall
Positive reaction to results from IBM and E-Bay
No default risk in Sicily, government says –ANSA/Bbg
Spanish rescue funds can be used by State as credit-line-El Mundo

FTSE 100: 0.11%
Dax-30: 0.30%
Cac-40: 0.36%
FTSE-Mibtel: 0.20
Ibex 35: 0.32%
Stoxx 600: 0.34%
European equities have started the day in positive territory but only slightly so, buoyed by gains in Wall Street and Asia overnight, as Spain fights to maintain access to debt markets and, by some accounts, Italy ponders whether to intervene Sicily.

That ahead of this morning´s auction of up to €3bn in Spanish medium term debt and quarterly results out of Nokia. Critically, Spanish short-term financing costs have also been on the rise this year.

Worth noting as well, Spain´s two main unions have called for protests today as the Parliament in Madrid gets set to ratify the €65bn in austerity cuts agreed to with its European Union partners. This after the latest round of measures, particularly a new reduction in public sector workers´ wages, appeared to provoke some of the first real public anger (many Spaniards seem to prefer reducing duplicities with regional governments instead, a potentially very politically charged issue). So mucho so in fact that both the King and Crown-prince recently announced a voluntary reduction in their own annual stipends.

In that same vein, one of the government´s main allies in the Madrid parliament, Catalan nationalist group CiU, recently withdrew its support of the governing Partido Popular following the latter´s decision not to give the regional authorities another year to meet their deficit targets. Having said that, even two regions governed by the PP´s own voted against a recent decision on public deficit targets for regional governments.

On the other hand, reports on the situation in Italy are somewhat contradictory. Thus, state news agency ANSA cites government officials as saying that Sicily only faces a liquidity short-fall of €400m.

Also of possible interest, the Spanish press is today reporting that the country will also be allowed to deploy its €100bn rescue fund for buying back its own bonds as well as a credit line.
Nokia in the firing line
Embattled Finnish mobile-phone maker Nokia will release its latest quarterly results this morning. Investors will try to gauge the company´s prospects after its share price cratered this year.

Highstar Capital is to buy Veolia’s solid waste unit in the US for $1.9bn.

Akzo Nobel, the world’s largest paintmaker, has released better than forecast second quarter earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization of €593m, an 8% gain.

Swiss pharmaceutical giant Novartis has revealed that pro-forma earnings fell to $3.36bn in quarter two, also better than expected.

From a sector stand-point the best performance on the DJ Stoxx can now be seen in the following industrial groups: chemicals (1.02%), industrial goods and services (0.80) and personal goods (0.80%).
Light data calendar
Italian industrial orders for the month of May will be released at 09:00.
Crude on the rise again
The euro/dollar is now 0.26% higher at 1.2320.
Front month Brent crude futures are rising again, by 1.063 dollars, to the 106.25 dollar per barrel mark on the ICE.
UK Event Calendar
INTERIMS
Howden Joinery Group

INTERIM DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
Edinburgh Worldwide Inv Trust, Euromoney Institutional Investor

INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS
Balance of Payments (EU) (09:00)
Bloomberg Consumer Confidence (US) (14:45)
Continuing Claims (US) (13:30)
Existing Home Sales (US) (15:00)
Initial Jobless Claims (US) (13:30)
Leading Indicators (US) (15:00)
Philadelphia Fed Index (US) (15:00)

GMS
Straight

FINALS
Sports Direct International

IMSS
Britvic, Halfords Group, Imperial Tobacco Group

SPECIAL DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
Capital Gearing Trust

AGMS
Acal, API Group, Energy Technique, Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd. (DI), JJB Sports, KCOM Group, Land Securities Group, Mckay Securities, Mothercare, Shanks Group, Shires Income

TRADING ANNOUNCEMENTS
Kingfisher, Mothercare

UK ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS
Internet Retail Sales (09:30)
Retail Sales (09:30)
Trends in Lending (09:30)

FINAL DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
British Polythene Industries, Capital Gearing Trust, Hargreave Hale AIM VCT 2, Octopus VCT , Restaurant Group, Tongaat-Hulett Ltd.

US Market Report
Tech Stock Rally Leads To Strength On Wall Street

Stocks moved notably higher over the course of the trading day on Wednesday, adding to the gains posted in the previous session. The markets benefited from considerable strength that emerged among technology stocks.

The major averages hovered firmly in positive territory in afternoon trading, holding on to strong gains. The Dow rose 103.16 points or 0.8 percent to 12,908.70, the Nasdaq jumped 32.56 points or 1.1 percent to 2,942.60 and the S&P 500 climbed 9.11 points or 0.7 percent to 1,372.78.

The strength on Wall Street was largely due to the rally by tech stocks, which moved sharply higher despite disappointing guidance from semiconductor giant Intel (INTC).

While Intel reported better than expected second quarter earnings after the close of trading on Tuesday, the company also reported weaker than expected revenues and lowered its full year revenue growth outlook. Nonetheless, shares of Intel rose by 3.3 percent.

Tech stocks also benefited from bargain hunting following recent weakness in the sector, with the gain by Intel extending a recovery from the six-month closing low it set last Thursday.

Buying interest was also generated by a report released by the Commerce Department before the start of trading showing a bigger than expected rebound in housing starts in the month of June.

The report showed that housing starts jumped 6.9 percent to an annual rate of 760,000 in June from the revised May estimate of 711,000. Economists had expected housing starts to climb to 745,000 from the 708,000 originally reported for the previous month.

On the other hand, building permits, an indicator of future housing demand, fell by 3.7 percent to an annual rate of 755,000 in June from the revised May rate of 784,000.

In other economic news, the Fed's Beige Book report said overall economic activity continued to expand at a modest to moderate pace in June and early July.

The report also said employment levels grew at a tepid pace since the last report and noted that price inflation was modest across most areas of the country. Looking ahead, the Fed said contacts remained cautiously optimistic about future business conditions.

Traders also kept an eye on Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke's second day of testimony on Capitol Hill, with the Fed Chief facing questions from the House Financial Services Committee.

Bernanke's prepared remarks were unchanged from those he delivered to the Senate Banking Committee on Tuesday. He reiterated that the Fed is prepared to take further action if necessary and continued to urge Congress to address the upcoming fiscal cliff.

Sector News

Semiconductor stocks turned in some of the tech sector's best performances, resulting in a 3.6 percent gain by the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index. With the gain, the index bounced well off the seven-month closing low it set in the previous session.

NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) and Mellanox Technologies (MLNX) posted standout gains within the semiconductor sector, jumping by 9.1 percent and 6.7 percent, respectively.

Networking and computer hardware stocks also saw considerable strength on the day. The NYSE Arca Networking Index advanced by 2.9 percent, while the NYSE Arca Computer Hardware Index surged up by 2.7 percent.

While buying interest outside of the tech sector was more subdued, significant strength was visible among defense, oil service, and health insurance stocks.

On the other hand, airline, brokerage, and gold stocks showed notable moves to the downside over the course of the trading day.

Other Markets

In overseas trading, stock markets across the Asia-Pacific region turned in a mixed performance on Wednesday. While Japan's Nikkei 225 Index edged down by 0.3 percent, China's Shanghai Composite Index advanced by 0.4 percent.

In the bond market, treasuries showed a modest move back to the upside after giving back some ground in the previous session. Subsequently, the yield on the benchmark ten-year note, which moves opposite of its price, slipped 2.2 basis points to 1.479 percent.


Thursday newspaper round-up: Britain, Sicily, BP
In an interview with The Daily Telegraph, Mr Cameron says that he now expects the crisis in the eurozone to drag on for years, blighting the British economy. He indicates that the programme of spending cuts, initially planned to take five years, is now likely to last for the entire decade. Mr Cameron insists that he still wants to cut tax but that any reductions would have to be funded by even greater public spending reductions. Asked whether the austerity programme would now last a decade until 2020, the Prime Minister replies: “I think it’s going to be...this is a period for all countries, not just in Europe but I think you will see it in America too, where we have to deal with our deficits and we have to have sustainable debts. I can’t see any time soon when…the pressure will be off.

Italian premier Mario Monti is mulling emergency action to take direct control of Sicily’s regional government before the island spirals into a full-blown financial crisis, fearing contagion to the rest of Italy. Mr Monti held an “urgent” meeting with the country’s president Giorgio Napolitano on Wednesday to grapple with the constitutional issue after it emerged that the region faces a deficit of up to €7bn (£5.49bn) this year and is in danger of default without sweeping cuts. Sicily’s regional councillor Andrea Vecchio warned that the island has run out of money. “I’m afraid we will soon no longer be able to pay civil servants’ salaries,” he said. “The developments in Sicily are very serious,” said Prof Giuseppe Ragusa from Luiss University in Rome. “It is just the sort of negative shock we don’t want right now. Everything has to go perfectly for Italy to pull through,” The Telegraph writes.

BP was facing a tactical headache last night after four Russian billionaires in the oil group’s TNK-BP joint venture crashed in on its plan to sell its stake. Alfa Access Renova (AAR) said yesterday that it had formally notified BP that it was interested in increasing its 50% ownership in TNK-BP. The move means that BP must spend the next 90 days in “good faith” negotiations with AAR about offloading a stake that the Russians value at between $16bn and $20bn. BP is understood to value the stake considerably higher and has attracted interest from two other buyers — a Russian government entity and a possible Chinese bidder. However, it cannot seal a deal until it has concluded talks with its Russian partners, The Times reports.

Regulators are focusing on at least four of Europe’s biggest banks as they investigate the attempted manipulation of the region’s benchmark interest rate, suspecting that Barclays’s traders were the ringleaders of a circle that included Crédit Agricole, HSBC, Deutsche Bank and Société Générale. Evidence of links between traders at all four banks and Barclays’ former euroswaps trader Philippe Moryoussef is under scrutiny, people involved in the process have told the Financial Times.

Sir Mervyn King has invited the heads of the world’s leading central banks to make proposals to reform Libor, the flawed series of interest rates at the heart of the financial system. The Governor of the Bank of England has written to members of the Economic Consultative Committee, which he heads, suggesting a dinner on September 9 in Basel, Switzerland, as a forum for exchanging ideas on addressing Libor’s shortcomings. His proposal came after the US Government declared that it wanted to take reform of the bank interest-rate setting process out of the hands of Threadneedle Street after British officials appeared to ignore warnings about the scale of the rate-rigging scandal, according to The Times.

Chinese President Hu Jintao has pledged African governments $20bn in credit over the next three years and called for more China-Africa coordination in international affairs to defend against the "bullying" of richer powers. China has emerged as Africa's main trading partner and a major source of investment for infrastructure. But its presence has also sparked concerns about labour abuses and corruption. Hu made the lending pledge on Thursday during the opening ceremony of the Forum on China-Africa Cooperation in Beijing. Hu also said China and African countries, as developing nations, should better coordinate their response to international affairs to counter the practices of "the big bullying the small, the strong domineering over the weak and the rich oppressing the poor," The Telegraph writes.

The trade minister, Lord Green, has been drawn in to the HSBC money laundering scandal after Labour warned he had "serious questions" to answer about the way the bank laundered money for drug cartels, terrorists and pariah states while he was at the helm. Green was chief executive of Britain's biggest bank between 2003 and 2006 and was its chairman until 2010 when he resigned to take up a position of trade minister in the coalition government. A damning Senate report - which concluded the bank had a "pervasively polluted" culture - covers the period 2004 to 2010 and shows that HSBC subsidiaries moved billions of dollars around the financial system from countries such as Iran and Syria as well moving cash for Mexican drug cartels, The Guardian says.

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