Monday, July 16, 2012

ADVFN III Morning Euro Markets Bulletin


ADVFN III Morning Euro Markets Bulletin  
Daily world financial news


London Market Report
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London open: China concerns dampen Footsie; G4S tanks
Market Movers
  • techMARK 2,049.14 -0.05%
  • FTSE 100 5,654.33 -0.21%
  • FTSE 250 11,022.83 -0.19%
- China's Wen dampens sentiment
- Miners drop on Chinese worries, Nomura comments
- G4S tumbles on Olympics contract loss estimates

London's benchmark index opened slightly lower on Monday morning as comments from China's Premier weighed heavily on stocks in the mining sector. G4S also took a tumble early on after revealing estimated losses for its Olympics contract.

After China registered its sixth straight quarterly slowdown in growth last week, Premier Wen Jiabao had some worrying words about his country's economy as he noted that the expected rebound was still not as stable as forecast. "It should be clearly understood that the momentum for a stable rebound in the economy has not yet been established," he warned according to a report from the state-run Xinhua news agency.

Meanwhile, analyst Craig Erlam said that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) and its Chairman Ben Bernanke will be in the spotlight again this week ahead of the semi-annual monetary policy report on Tuesday and Wednesday.

"With the testimony completely unscripted, people will play close attention for any indication that the Fed will loosen the purse strings in the second half of the year. Given recent testimonies and comments from the Fed Chairman, I expect we'll see more of the same comments again," he said.

Miners, G4S and National Grid provide a drag

Randgold Resources, Rio Tinto, Polymetal, Fresnillo and ENRC were heavy fallers on the back of Wen's comments and concerns over a slowdown in the world's second-largest economy. Also weighing on stocks was Nomura which lowered its price targets across the mining sector after cutting its commodity price forecasts. Sector peer Glencore International was falling by a lesser rate after announcing that the acquisition of agricultural business Viterra has been approved by Canadian authorities.

British luxury brand Burberry, a stock sensitive to developments in the Chinese economic outlook (a key growth market for the business) was also out of favour early on.

Nevertheless, it was security solutions firm G4S dropped nearly 9% after saying that it will incur a loss on its Olympics Games contract of £35-50m after failing to provide the number of staff for the event that it had committed to. Chief Executive Officer Nick Buckles said: "We are deeply disappointed that we have not been able to fully deliver against our contract with LOCOG and that it has been necessary to call upon the additional military personnel."

National Grid, Britain's biggest distributor of gas and electricity, was lower after Ofgem's plans for the upgrade of the UK's power network. The firm says the initial plans, which envisage up to £22bn of investment between 2013 and 2021, "differ substantially" from its own business plan.

Smiths Group, the technology company, was higher after saying that it is selling its share of US biometric firm Cross Match Technologies.

Accountancy software leviathan Sage said it was still waiting for the looked-for pick-up in Europe to happen, causing shares to fall. However, Sage assured that it has been trading broadly in line with expectations since the end of March.

Elsewhere, AIM-listed oil and gas group Borders & Southern plummeted after saying that it has been forced to plug and abandon its Stebbing well after being unable to reach all its potential reservoir targets due to "anomalous pressure conditions".

FTSE 100 - Risers
Smiths Group (SMIN) 1,060.00p +2.22%
Resolution Ltd. (RSL) 216.90p +2.12%
Schroders (SDR) 1,330.00p +1.22%
International Consolidated Airlines Group SA (CDI) (IAG) 157.20p +0.90%
Vodafone Group (VOD) 184.50p +0.90%
British Land Co (BLND) 529.50p +0.76%
CRH (CRH) 1,200.00p +0.76%
GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) 1,454.00p +0.55%
ICAP (IAP) 311.50p +0.52%
Imperial Tobacco Group (IMT) 2,553.00p +0.51%

FTSE 100 - Fallers
G4S (GFS) 254.50p -8.68%
Burberry Group (BRBY) 1,200.00p -2.36%
Randgold Resources Ltd. (RRS) 5,785.00p -2.36%
National Grid (NG.) 678.00p -2.16%
Sage Group (SGE) 278.90p -2.14%
British Sky Broadcasting Group (BSY) 680.00p -2.02%
Rio Tinto (RIO) 2,963.00p -1.89%
Polymetal International (POLY) 862.50p -1.65%
Kazakhmys (KAZ) 732.00p -1.61%
Evraz (EVR) 250.70p -1.57%

FTSE 250 - Risers
Daejan Holdings (DJAN) 2,970.00p +3.59%
Computacenter (CCC) 313.90p +2.68%
Britvic (BVIC) 280.00p +2.53%
Salamander Energy (SMDR) 183.40p +2.40%
Phoenix Group Holdings (DI) (PHNX) 502.00p +1.91%
PZ Cussons (PZC) 319.90p +1.62%
Petra Diamonds Ltd.(DI) (PDL) 127.10p +1.52%
Dunelm Group (DNLM) 563.00p +1.44%
Close Brothers Group (CBG) 777.00p +1.37%
Hays (HAS) 67.80p +1.19%

FTSE 250 - Fallers
Perform Group (PER) 384.10p -5.16%
Bumi (BUMI) 297.80p -3.94%
Ocado Group (OCDO) 70.45p -3.69%
Petropavlovsk (POG) 445.00p -3.60%
Kentz Corporation Ltd. (KENZ) 375.00p -3.00%
Moneysupermarket.com Group (MONY) 131.40p -2.67%
Home Retail Group (HOME) 79.90p -2.32%
Kenmare Resources (KMR) 33.00p -2.11%
Menzies(John) (MNZS) 593.50p -2.06%
UK Event Calendar
Monday July 16

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Europe open: Goldman Sachs cuts estimates for Spanish growth
-Investors looking to Eurogroup summit at end of week
-Bernanke´s speech tomorrow may give more clues on policy
-China´s Wen says stable rebound not yet established
-Goldman Sachs says Spain will not meet fiscal deficit targets 2014
-ECB supports Spanish bank senior debt holders sharing losses -WSJ

FTSE-100: -0.24%
Dax-30: -0.15%
Cac-40: -0.36%
FTSE-Mibtel: -0.25%
Ibex 35: -0.55%
Stoxx 600: -0.12%

The main European equity benchmarks have begun the morning slightly lower. That despite remarks out of officials in China which seem to augur that more policy stimulus may be forthcoming.

The news-flow regarding the Eurozone has been somewhat mixed over the weekend. Ireland is to announce new stimulus measures while Italy has announced plan to sell state assets, with the aim of reducing its public debt burden by 20% by 2018. Nevertheless, Italy has also cut its estimate for economic growth this year to -2.0% from -1.2% before.

On the negative side of things, Goldman Sachs has reportedly cuts its growth estimates for the Spanish economy this year and next. More importantly, it does not expect the country to be able to meet its fiscal deficit targets and it sees the possibility that Spain may have to apply for a rescue.

Acting as a backdrop, investors are keen to learn whether US Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke will give any hints regarding a further monetary boost during his Senate testimony tomorrow.

Investors are also digesting a smattering of rather "strict" talk out of German authorities over the weekend regarding the Eurozone rescue.

Nokia slashes prices



Nokia has slashed the price on its flagship cell-phones in the US to staunch its loss of market share to rivals such as Apple.

H&M, the world's second-largest apparel retailer, has reported sharply weaker than expected like-for-like annual sales growth in local currencies for the month of June.

From a sector stand-point, and within the DJ Stoxx 600, the worst performers at the moment are: automobiles (-0.68%), basic resources (-0.60%) and utilities (-0.53%).

Economic data due out



Eurozone consumer price (June) and external trade (May) data are due out at 10am.

Crowded short in the euro?



The euro/dollar is now off by 0.17% to the 1.2230 dollar level, with some observers talking about a "crowded short".

Front month Brent crude futures are now down by 0.776 dollars, to the 102.22 dollar per barrel mark in ICE trading.

US Market Report
US close: Losing streak ended in style
    Dow Jones: +204 at 12,777
    S&P 500: +22 at 1,357
    NASDAQ Composite: +42 at 2,909
US equities brought an end to a six-day losing streak on Friday, as traders became more convinced that China will beef up stimulus measures, even though Chinese gross domestic product (GDP) for the second quarter was slightly ahead of forecasts.

Chinese GDP rose 1.8% in the second quarter, according to data published by the Chinese statistics bureau. Consensus estimates had been pointing to a rise of 1.7%. Versus the same period of last year GDP was up by 7.6%, as expected.

Investment bank JP Morgan Chase was the top performer among Dow Jones constituents after announcing its second quarter results. The bank´s net profits came in at $4.96bn, down from $5.43bn a year earlier, well ahead of analysts´ expectations. Nevertheless, the firm did revise its first quarter results lower. Even so, investors were heartened by chief executive Jamie Dimon´s claim that the bank will still achieve record profits this year.

Elsewhere in the banking sector Wells Fargo was wanted as quarterly earnings per share of 82 cents were a shade higher than the 81 cents the market had been expecting.

In after-hours trading credit companies Visa and Mastercard both tended firmer after they settled lawsuits with disgruntled merchants.

In contrast, computer printer maker Lexmark tanked after it issued a profit warning. Hewlett-Packard and Xerox declined in sympathy.

Sticking with the computing sector, Microsoft saw a bit of buying interest, with investors diving in ahead of the expected unveiling of details of a new version of the software company's cash-cow Office software suite on Monday.

Macro-economic data

Producer prices (PPI) rose by 0.1% month-on-month in June, versus the -0.5% forecast by the consensus. At the core level however they registered an increase of 0.2% month-on-month, as expected.

Analysts at Barclays had this to say about today´s price data: "Taken alongside a 1.0% increase in food prices at the intermediate level, it suggests that food price inflation has stabilised following recent declines and hints at the first signs that recent sharp gains in some agricultural commodity prices may be beginning to pass through the supply chain. Excluding food and energy, the core PPI rose 0.2%, in line with our forecast and the consensus and the fourth consecutive two-tenth gain.

The University of Michigan´s preliminary consumer confidence survey for the month of July has come in at 72 points, versus 73.2 for the month before (Consensus: 73.4).

The expectations sub-index dropped to 64 points after the previous month´s reading of 67.8.


Treasuries slightly lower

10-year US Treasuries fell by 12.5 cents, with yields edging up to 1.49% from 1.48% the day before.

Front month West Texas crude futures rose by $1.02 to $87.10 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

S&P 500 - Risers
Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (ANF) $35.48 +5.78%
Tenet Hlthcre Corp. (THC) $5.14 +5.76%
JP Morgan Chase & Co. (JPM) $36.07 +5.75%
Citigroup Inc. (C) $26.65 +5.13%
E*TRADE Financial Corp. (ETFC) $7.85 +4.95%
R.R. Donnelley & Sons Co. (RRD) $12.60 +4.83%
Genworth Financial Inc. (GNW) $5.32 +4.72%
Franklin Resources Inc. (BEN) $113.88 +4.50%
SunTrust Banks Inc. (STI) $24.75 +4.25%
Leucadia National Corp. (LUK) $22.33 +4.20%

S&P 500 - Fallers
Lexmark International Inc. (LXK) $20.36 -16.25%
Supervalu Inc. (SVU) $2.32 -13.75%
F5 Networks Inc. (FFIV) $91.40 -2.21%
AK Steel Holding Corp. (AKS) $5.60 -2.10%
Hewlett-Packard Co. (HPQ) $18.98 -1.91%
Dean Foods Co. (DF) $14.52 -1.76%
Xerox Corp. (XRX) $7.27 -1.76%

Dow Jones I.A - Risers
JP Morgan Chase & Co. (JPM) $36.07 +5.75%
Bank of America Corp. (BAC) $7.82 +3.85%
Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) $82.07 +3.05%
Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) $29.39 +2.65%
Boeing Co. (BA) $73.51 +2.51%

Dow Jones I.A - Fallers
Hewlett-Packard Co. (HPQ) $18.98 -1.91%

Nasdaq 100 - Risers
Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (CHKP) $46.04 +3.95%
Dish Network Corp. (DISH) $27.33 +3.88%
Infosys Technologies Ltd. (INFY) $40.21 +3.77%
Celgene Corp. (CELG) $65.27 +3.69%
Expedia Inc. (EXPE) $45.67 +3.65%
Cognizant Technology Solutions Corp. (CTSH) $57.26 +3.45%
Foster Wheeler AG (FWLT) $16.11 +3.20%
PACCAR Inc. (PCAR) $37.22 +3.05%

Nasdaq 100 - Fallers
Logitech International S.A. (LOGI) $9.48 -2.47%
Research in Motion Ltd. (RIMM) $7.25 -2.29%
Apollo Group Inc. (APOL) $31.77 -0.66%
Wynn Resorts Ltd. (WYNN) $96.22 -0.55%
Newspaper Round Up
Monday newspaper round-up: Capital requirements, Gatwick, Barclays...
The head of Europe's top banking regulator has raised the bar for lenders' capital requirements, insisting that the nine per cent capital ratio they had to hit as a 'temporary buffer' by June is to become permanent. Andrea Enria, chairman of the European Banking Authority, said "capital conservation" was his priority, with the eurozone crisis persisting and the six-year phase-in of Basel III global capital standards set to begin next year. [Financial Times]

London's second airport could double in size to handle 70 million passengers a year and allow the Government to maintain its commitment to prevent a third runway at Heathrow. Gatwick is to publish a long-awaited masterplan this week for expansion over the next decade and a half. It is likely to state that the Sussex airport's existing two terminals and one runway are capable of handling 12 million more passengers a year this decade. [The Times]

Marcus Agius and Sir Mike Rake will this week meet investors in a bid to contain the fall-out from the Libor scandal as Barclays faces further embarrassment from Jerry Del Missier's evidence to MPs. Barclays' chairman and deputy chairman will travel to shareholders and investors groups to explain their strategy for stemming the crisis that has ripped through the bank and its boardroom. The pair are expected to use the meetings to sound out investors on the plan to elevate Sir Mike to chairman so he can swiftly start looking for a new chief executive and fill the management vacuum at the top of the bank. [The Telegraph]

Access to bank branches on the high street is set to halve despite government demands for bank reform and more choice for consumers. The Government has said it is committed to the creation of "challenger" banks – to compete with the "big five" of Barclays, Lloyds, HSBC, RBS and Santander – but, despite this, shocking research from global property expert Jones Lang LaSalle released today shows that up to 50 per cent of bank branches will close in the next eight years. [The Independent]

Nokia has slashed the price of its flagship Lumia 900 smartphone in the US in an aggressive effort to make inroads into a market dominated by Apple and Samsung. The Finnish handset maker is cutting the price of the Windows phone from $99 to $49 on a two-year contract through AT&T. The decision comes just three months after the phone was launched amid great fanfare and subsequent disappointment due to a software bug and mixed consumer reviews. [Financial Times]

Britain faces zero economic growth this year and Ministers will struggle to meet their deficit reduction targets, according to a report to be published tomorrow. "The prospect of a durable recovery remains elusive, dependent upon confidence in financial and business communities, which is likely to take time to rebuild," the independent Item Club forecasting group will warn. [The Daily Mail]

FirstGroup has emerged as a frontrunner for the multibillion-pound west coast rail franchise alongside incumbent Virgin Trains, with the contest now a two-horse race between the experienced operators. Aberdeen-based FirstGroup is vying with Virgin despite announcing last year that it is handing back its Great Western rail contract three years ahead of schedule, avoiding more than £800m in payments to the government. The Department for Transport is expected to bank a considerable windfall from the new 14-year west coast contract, with Virgin currently paying an annual premium of about £150m to the state. Both bidders are expected to promise an even bigger number over the life of the new franchise. The winner is expected to be announced next month. [The Guardian]

 

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