Tuesday, October 30, 2012

NYT | Politics October 30, 2012-. Storm Pushes Aside Presidential Politics, Mostly

The New York Times

October 30, 2012

Politics


Storm Pushes Aside Presidential Politics, Mostly

President Obama will spend the day at the White House dealing with the weather and Mitt Romney held a storm-relief event in Ohio.
The Caucus

Obama and Christie to Assess Damage in New Jersey

The White House said the president will meet with Gov. Chris Christie of New Jersey to assess the storm damage.

More Politics

Public opinion about the candidates and issues including gas prices and abortion was registered along a roadside in Celina, Ohio.

G.O.P. Turns Fire on Obama Pillar, the Auto Bailout

Mitt Romney's latest attempt to win votes in Ohio, by criticizing aspects of the auto industry recovery, has provoked a backlash.
Representative Mike Coffman, a Republican, called undecided voters from his campaign headquarters.

Colorado Race Turns Fierce After Republican's Anti-Obama Remark

A redrawn Congressional map and a Republican's remark about President Obama have resulted in a fierce campaign between Mike Coffman, the Republican, and Joe Miklosi, a Democrat.
After several Obama signs were stolen from her mother's yard, Josephine Wiseheart posted a handwritten message.

In Political Sign Battle, Thievery, Acid and Jelly

In South Florida, partisans from both parties have been guilty of high jinks when it comes to lawn signs.
The Caucus

Romney Campaign Doubles Down on Auto Bailout Attacks

The Romney campaign continues to attack President Obama's effort to rescue the auto industry, arguing in a new radio commercial that the federal government's $80 billion assistance plan helped China more than it did the United States.
Carl DeMaio, a San Diego councilman who is a gay Republican, is running for mayor.

In San Diego, Gay Republican Finds He Can't Count on Gay and Lesbian Vote

Carl DeMaio's mayoral candidacy has exposed the challenges that gay Republicans face as they try to balance a desire to further gay rights against an appeal to conservatives who oppose gay marriage.

The Caucus

In Wake of Storm, Christie Breaks From Attacks to Praise Obama

One of Mitt Romney's most aggressive surrogates, New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie has spent the last eight hours repeatedly heaping praise on Mr. Obama for effectively leading the federal government's response to the monster storm that slammed into his state on Monday.

Chrysler Chief: Jeep Production Isn't Moving to China

The chief executive of Chrysler responded to a misleading suggestion in a Romney ad that jobs are moving to China.

New Poll Gives Warren the Edge in Massachusetts Senate Race

A new poll released Tuesday by Suffolk University shows Elizabeth Warren with the support of 53 percent of likely voters compared with 46 percent for Senator Scott P. Brown in the hard-fought Massachusetts Senate race.

Another Republican Group Buys Pennsylvania Air Time

Americans for Prosperity, the conservative advocacy group backed by the Koch brothers, will spend $1.5 million to run commercials criticizing President Obama there.
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Election 2012 iPhone App

A one-stop destination for the latest political news, from The Times and other top sources around the Web. Plus opinion, polls, campaign data and video.
FiveThirtyEight
Oct. 29: Polling Slows as Storm Wreaks Havoc
Three of eight national tracking polls have announced temporary suspensions, and further polling delays and cancellations are likely over the next few days, especially in the Northeast. But Monday did offer some polls in the battleground states.
Still Waiting for the Narrator in Chief
Why the president lost his ability to tell a story.

Multimedia

Interactive Feature: What Works in a Campaign Commercial? Ad Executives Offer Their Take
The New York Times asked three leading advertising minds who help sell everything, from cameras to cars, to rate their favorite ads of this campaign. They were asked to make two picks: One pro-Obama and one pro-Romney.
Graphic: A 48-Hour Sample of the Campaign Trail
President Obama and Mitt Romney traveled more than 3,000 miles each on Tuesday and Wednesday.
Video: The Women's Vote
Female voters in the swing state of New Hampshire discuss what issues are foremost in their minds in the closing days of the presidential campaign.
Interactive Feature: The Third Presidential Debate
Follow along with this interactive replay of the final debate, using fact-checks and graphics to take a closer look at attacks and assertions by President Obama and Mitt Romney.

GATA | THE GATA DISPATCHES -October 30th, 2012-: the German magazine Der Spiegel today snickered a lot about concerns for the security of Germany's gold reserves vaulted abroad without ever posing the crucial questions | The production and supply constraints for gold that are likely to support the price | Germany's gold vaulted abrod has been lost before


Der Spiegel snickers about Germany's gold but avoids the serious questions

5:16p ET Tuesday, October 30, 2012

In the commentary appended here, the German magazine Der Spiegel today snickered a lot about concerns for the security of Germany's gold reserves vaulted abroad without ever posing the crucial questions:
1) Does the Bundesbank have gold swap arrangements with any agency of the United States government or any other government?
2) Have such gold swap arrangements ever been implemented and, if so, how and why?
3) Exactly what are the "strategic activities" facilitated by the Bundesbank's placement of the German gold reserves abroad, "strategic activities" admitted by the Bundesbank to GATA consultant Rob Kirby in August 2009 and to the German journalist Lars Schall in December 2010?:
http://www.gata.org/node/7713
http://www.gata.org/node/9363
Maybe our German friends can force-feed these questions to Der Spiegel, other German news organizations, and members of the Bundestag.
CHRIS POWELL, Secretary/Treasurer
Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee Inc.
* * *
Why Germany Wants to See its U.S. Gold
By Sven Boll and Anne Seith
Der Spiegel, Hamburg
Tuesday, October 30, 2012
http://www.spiegel.de/international/germany/german-politicians-demand-to...
Bundesbank President Jens Weidmann wanted to personally convince Peter Gauweiler that the German gold was still where it should be. Early this summer the head of Germany's central bank took the obstinate politician from the conservative Christian Social Union (CSU), a party that is a member of the government coalition in Berlin, and a number of his colleagues into the Bundesbank's inner sanctum: the gold vault.
There 6,000 gold bars are stacked on industrial-strength shelves in a purpose-built building in Frankfurt. An additional 76,000 bars of bullion are stored in four safe boxes, in sealed containers.
But even this personal inspection wasn't enough to reassure the visiting member of parliament -- on the contrary: "The Bundesbank monitors its domestic gold in an exemplary fashion," Gauweiler says, "and this makes it all the more incomprehensible that the bank doesn't look after its reserves abroad."

For quite some time now Gauweiler has been pestering the government and the Bundesbank with questions concerning where and how the country's reserves are stored and how often they are checked. He has submitted requests and commissioned reports on the topic.
Last week Gauweiler celebrated his greatest triumph to date in his gold campaign, which has been a source of some amusement for many fellow German politicians: A secret report by the Federal Audit Office had been made public -- and it contained stern criticism of the German central bank in Frankfurt. The Bonn-based auditors urged a better inventory system, including quality checks.
This demand, which even the bank's inspectors saw as nothing more than routine, alarmed the Berlin political establishment. Indeed, the partially blacked-out report read like the prologue to an espionage thriller in which the stunned central bankers could end up standing in front of empty vaults in the United States.
For decades German central bankers have contented themselves with written affirmations from their American colleagues that the gold still remains where it is said to be stored. According to the report, the bar list from New York stems from "1979/1980." The report also noted that the Federal Reserve Bank of New York refuses to allow the gold's owners to view their own reserves.

Not surprisingly this prompted strong reactions in Berlin: The relevant Bundesbank board member Carl-Ludwig Thiele was summoned to Berlin to provide an explanation to the parliamentary budget committee. Heinz-Peter Haustein of the business-friendly Free Democratic Party (FDP) was even quoted by Germany's mass-circulation Bild newspaper as saying that "all the gold has to be shipped back."
The Bundesbank's otherwise reserved Thiele said that he found at least "part of the debate" to be "rather grotesque." His financial institution currently has more pressing problems. Bundesbank head Weidmann, for example, is desperately fighting the European Central Bank (ECB) decision to buy unlimited quantities of sovereign bonds from crisis-ridden countries as a way of lowering their borrowing costs. In addition, the Bundesbank has already pumped nearly E700 billion ($906 billion) into primarily southern European countries as part of the euro-zone central bank transfers known as Target II.
Germany's gold reserves are currently worth some E144 billion and are not stored "with dubious business partners," as Thiele stresses, but rather with "highly respected central bankers."
There is in fact nothing unusual about how Germany deals with the precious metal. Many other central banks store a portion of their gold reserves abroad. The Netherlands, for example, places its trust in its colleagues in Ottawa, New York, and London.
But the relationship Germans have with their gold is a special one. Germany hoards nearly 3,600 metric tons of the precious metal -- only the US has more. Much of this gold treasure was amassed under the Bretton Woods international monetary system, in which the dollar served as the world's key currency and was directly convertible to fixed quantities of gold.
Before the gold standard was terminated in 1971, the current account surpluses generated by Germany's "economic miracle" were partially balanced out in gold. Thousands of U.S. bars of gold alone were transferred to German ownership.
Since the euro is not backed by gold, such vast reserves are actually no longer necessary. Nevertheless, the Germans continue to resolutely defend them -- and every attempt to use this treasure has been met with dismay.
There has been no lack of proposals: Former German President Roman Herzog wanted to sell the gold to form the basis for a capital-based nursing care insurance scheme. In 2002 FDP parliamentary floor leader Rainer Bruderle proposed a fund for natural disasters. Former Bundesbank head Ernst Welteke added to the debate by suggesting the foundation of a national educational fund. But none of these ideas were ever taken seriously.
Most recently German Chancellor Angela Merkel of the conservative Christian Democratic Union (CDU) shot down an idea by the euro partners to use the reserves as collateral for euro bonds.
As a result, in addition to safeguarding the reserves of over 60 countries, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York continues to hold 1,536 metric tons of German gold -- or nearly half of Berlin's reserves. This enormous hoard of gold is stored in the fifth subfloor of the bank's building on Liberty Street, 25 meters (80 feet) below street level, and 15 meters below sea level. According to the bank's website, the vault rests on the bedrock of Manhattan Island.
Tourists are allowed to venture below street level to see the vault. After descending in an elevator, they stand in front of an enormous steel cylinder that pivots like a door in a 140-ton steel-and-concrete frame. But not even the owners are allowed to view their own gold. According to the Federal Audit Office report, the Fed explained that "in the interest of security and of the control process" no "viewings" are possible.
Finally, in 2007, "following numerous enquiries," Bundesbank staff members were allowed to see the facility, but they reportedly made it only to the anteroom of the German reserves.
In fact, auditors from the Bundesbank made a second visit in May 2011. This time one of the nine compartments was also opened, in which the German gold bars are densely stacked. A few were pulled out and weighed. But this part of the report has been blacked out -- out of consideration for the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
"I would like more transparency on the issue," says Bundesbank board member Thiele. The Americans are very sensitive, though, when it comes to security procedures in their gold storage facilities. In their second major depository, the legendary Fort Knox, practically no one in recent decades has been allowed to view the gold reserves.
Such intense secrecy fuels legends. Many conspiracy theorists have suspected for decades that the German gold has long since disappeared. Others believe that it has been lent out. They contend that there are only promissory notes of little worth stored in the bank's vaults.
Another myth that has been making the rounds in nationalist-oriented German circles is that the United States refused to hand over the treasure and threatened during the Cold War to withdraw its troops from Germany if the Germans demanded their gold back. Former Bundesbank head Karl Blessing, according to the theory, had to provide the United States with written confirmation that he would never do such a thing.
This letter, as it happens, actually exists, as Blessing confirmed in his last interview with Spiegel in 1971 -- except it doesn't concern the German gold but rather U.S. gold reserves. Until 1971 every dollar could be exchanged for the precious metal. Blessing thus promised the U.S. Federal Reserve that he would no longer convert the colossal German dollar reserves to gold because this would have caused the currency's value to plummet.
Today this historic document is even available online.
-----
GATA EDITOR'S NOTE: Yes, the Blessing letter was obtained by the German freelance journalist Lars Schall in January 2011 and published at GATA's Internet site here:
http://www.gata.org/node/9547
-----
But that hasn't silenced those who oppose stockpiling German gold abroad. Instead, the debate over a collapse of strictly paper-based currency is experiencing a renaissance -- as is the dispute over the gold reserves. Even Green Party financial expert Gerhard Schick has joined the fray: "I think the question of how much gold is available in an emergency is a valid concern."
From a purely logistical perspective, though, returning the reserves seems outlandish. One cannot simply pack 1,500 tons of gold into an Airbus A380 super-jumbo jet and fly it back to Germany.
The Bundesbank also objects to this notion for another reason. It says the gold is supposed to act as an emergency buffer. In the extreme situation of a currency collapse, the bankers say that the gold bars could easily and quickly be exchanged on location for pounds or dollars to pay urgent bills.
In a bid to calm the debate, the Bundesbank has pledged to bring back and inspect 150 tons of gold from abroad over the next three years. Furthermore, there are plans to count and weigh the gold bars stored in one of the nine chambers at the Fed in New York -- although no date has been set for this.
Bundesbank board member Thiele was also recently in New York where he took a look behind one of the vault doors. He had good news for the members of the parliamentary budget committee: "There was no paper in there, just gold."
But that's not enough for CSU politician Gauweiler. He is prepared to put the matter to rest only when the central bank has thoroughly inspected all the German reserves throughout the entire world. His credo: "The Bundesbank is independent, but it can't do what it wants."
-----
Translated from the German by Paul Cohen.

Peter Grant: Supply issues offer additional underpinnings to gold


1:32p ET Tuesday, October 30, 2012

Peter Grant, market analyst for Centennial Precious Metals in Denver, today notes the production and supply constraints for gold that are likely to support the price. Perhaps his most fascinating detail comes when he quotes geopolitical analyst Jim Rickards as saying that China, which is commandeering the entire production of domestic gold mines, is buying gold mines in Western Australia "faster than lawyers can write the contracts."
Grant's commentary is headlined "Supply Issues Offer Additional Underpinnings to Gold" and it's posted at Centennial's Internet site, USAGold.com, here:

http://www.usagold.com/publications/2012octsp2.html

Germany's gold vaulted abroad has been lost before, Turk notes


1:19p ET Tuesday, October 30, 2012

The recent controversy over the foreign vaulting of Germany's national gold reserves isn't the first time the security of those reserves has been in question. In an interview today with King World News, GoldMoney founder and GATA consultant James Turk notes that the Federal Reserve Bank of New York said it had temporarily misplaced Germany's gold reserves when the president of the Reichsbank, predecessor to the Bundesbank, came calling in the 1920s.

Of assurances by central banks that all their gold is in order, Turk says: "I've seen so much trickery, false reporting, and rules being broken that I would really have my doubts."
Since international trade balances are no longer settled in gold, Turk says, it no longer makes sense for central banks to store gold in any vaults but their own.

But such foreign vaulting would make sense for central banks colluding in surreptitious market intervention, which the Bundesbank has admitted to GATA consultant Rob Kirby and financial journalist Lars Schall to be a purpose of its foreign vaultings:

http://www.gata.org/node/7713
http://www.gata.org/node/9363

An excerpt from Turk's interview is posted at the King World News blog here:

http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2012/10/30_T..
 CHRIS POWELL, Secretary/Treasurer
Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee Inc.

ADVFN III Morning Euro Markets Bulletin -October 30th, 2012-.



ADVFN III Morning Euro Markets Bulletin
Daily world financial news

Tuesday, 30 October 2012

London Market Report
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London open: BP lifts Footsie higher early on
Market Movers
  • techMARK 2,097.57 +0.30%
  • FTSE 100 5,832.71 +0.65%
  • FTSE 250 11,947.90 +0.23%
- Stocks rebound after Sandy-related falls
- BP and Imperial gain after results
- BoJ expands stimulus

Stocks opened strongly on Tuesday morning with mining stocks making gains and oil giant BP providing a lift after raising its quarterly dividend, as markets rebounded following a subdued day yesterday on the back of Hurricane Sandy hitting the east coast of America.

Corporate earnings in Europe lifted sentiment this morning also, with German heavy hitters Deutsche Bank and Bayer beating expectations and insurance giant Allianz hiking its full-year guidance.

Market analyst Craig Erlam from Alpari said that today is "likely to be another quiet day in the markets as the US stock exchanges close for a second day due to Hurricane Sandy."

Following moderate declines seen across European equity markets yesterday, Erlam said that volumes could pick up this morning with some key economic data out (such as German jobless figures), an Italian bond auction and a press conference with European Central Bank (ECB) President Mario Draghi in Frankfurt.

The Bank of Japan has expanded its asset-purchase programme for the second consecutive month. Markus Huber, the head of German HNW trading at ETX Capital, said this morning that the news was "less well-received as many had hoped for much more aggressive easing to counteract renewed weakness seen in the Japanese economy."
FTSE 100: BP impressive with Q3 figures, divi

Integrated oil giant BP is worming its way back into the affections of UK pension fund managers after raising its divi on the back of forecast-beating third-quarter results. Shares jumped 4% early on.

The quarterly dividend has been hiked to nine cents from eight cents in the second quarter. The group's dividend payment used to be a mainstay of UK pension funds before it was suspended in the wake of the Gulf of Mexico oil well disaster, but the group resumed dividend payments at the beginning of last year.

Mining stocks such as Rio Tinto, Kazakhmys, EVRAZ and ENRC were performing well this morning as metals prices advanced.

Profit growth at Imperial Tobacco was broadly in line with expectations in the year to the end of September, helping the firm to raise its payout ratio and increase its full-year dividend by over a tenth. Shares gained in the opening hour.

Babcock International and Rolls-Royce gained after signing preliminary contracts with Hitachi - which has bought the UK nuclear project Horizon - to plan and deliver the new nuclear reactors at Wylfa and Oldbury in Gloucestershire.

Among the fallers was emerging markets-focused lender Standard Chartered despite seeing good momentum across its businesses and geographies in the third quarter.

FTSE 100 - Risers
BP (BP.) 441.70p +3.93%
Imperial Tobacco Group (IMT) 2,386.00p +2.32%
Rio Tinto (RIO) 3,138.00p +1.88%
Aggreko (AGK) 2,134.00p +1.57%
BG Group (BG.) 1,333.50p +1.37%
Kazakhmys (KAZ) 721.00p +1.19%
Xstrata (XTA) 980.00p +1.18%
Wood Group (John) (WG.) 840.50p +1.14%
Vedanta Resources (VED) 1,140.00p +1.06%
Evraz (EVR) 238.70p +0.97%

FTSE 100 - Fallers
Standard Chartered (STAN) 1,484.00p -0.90%
National Grid (NG.) 703.50p -0.64%
Polymetal International (POLY) 1,112.00p -0.63%
United Utilities Group (UU.) 711.50p -0.35%
Compass Group (CPG) 679.00p -0.29%
Schroders (SDR) 1,523.00p -0.26%
Pennon Group (PNN) 726.00p -0.21%
Bunzl (BNZL) 1,026.00p -0.19%
ITV (ITV) 85.50p -0.18%
HSBC Holdings (HSBA) 610.10p -0.13%

FTSE 250 - Risers
New World Resources A Shares (NWR) 292.90p +4.76%
Petra Diamonds Ltd.(DI) (PDL) 103.90p +2.87%
JD Sports Fashion (JD.) 768.00p +2.40%
Jupiter Fund Management (JUP) 264.40p +2.05%
Daejan Holdings (DJAN) 2,920.00p +2.03%
Man Group (EMG) 79.95p +1.91%
Premier Oil (PMO) 356.40p +1.71%
Rank Group (RNK) 149.90p +1.63%
Menzies(John) (MNZS) 626.00p +1.54%
SVG Capital (SVI) 266.80p +1.52%

FTSE 250 - Fallers
Centamin (DI) (CEY) 74.80p -24.29%
Restaurant Group (RTN) 374.90p -1.86%
Talvivaara Mining Company (TALV) 132.00p -1.57%
Devro (DVO) 326.80p -0.97%
Fidelity China Special Situations (FCSS) 77.50p -0.90%
Hochschild Mining (HOC) 489.90p -0.87%
Rathbone Brothers (RAT) 1,291.00p -0.84%
Law Debenture Corp. (LWDB) 402.00p -0.81%
IP Group (IPO) 118.05p -0.80%
UK Event Calendar
Tuesday October 30

INTERIM DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
Ashley (Laura) Holding, Smith & Nephew

INTERIM EX-DIVIDEND DATE
Octopus AIM VCT

QUARTERLY PAYMENT DATE
Dow Chemical Co

INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS
Business Climate Indicator (EU) (10:00)
Consumer Confidence (US) (15:00)
Economic Sentiment Indicator (EU) (10:00)
PMI Retail (EU) (09:00)
PMI Retail (GER) (08:55)
Unemployment Rate (GER) (08:55)

Q3
Bank Millennium SA, BP, Erste Group Bank AG, Eurasia Drilling Co Ltd GDR (Reg S), Eurasia Drilling Co Ltd GDR (Reg S), Hrvatske Telekom D.D GDR (Reg S), Wolfson Microelectronics, Yamana Gold Inc.

FINALS
Imperial Tobacco Group, Redefine International

EGMS
National Bank of Greece ADR

AGMS
Marwyn Value Investors Ltd., Mirada, Surface Transforms

UK ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS
CBI Distributive Trades Surveys (11:00)

FINAL DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
Produce Investment

Monday, October 29, 2012

ADVFN III Morning Euro Markets Bulletin -October 29, 2012-.

ADVFN III Morning Euro Markets Bulletin
Daily world financial news



Monday, 29 October 2012







London Market Report
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London open: Stocks fall as Hurricane Sandy hits the US
Market Movers

  • techMARK 2,084.25 -0.19%
  • FTSE 100 5,787.60 -0.33%
  • FTSE 250 11,885.64 -0.34%
- New York trading suspended
- UK equity markets cautious
- Financials fall early on

The UK stock market started in the red on Monday morning as investors showed caution as Hurricane Sandy hits the east coast of America.

Dubbed as the '100-year storm', Hurricane Sandy has prompted the cancellation of equity trading in New York, as the city is hit by 70-mile-an-hour winds and flooding. This is the first unscheduled closure of US stock markets since the September 11th terrorist attacks in 2001.

"It was a judgment decision based on the safety of a lot of market participants, especially as the storm seems to be getting more severe," NYSE Euronext's Chief Operating Officer Larry Leibowitz told Bloomberg. The suspension of trading is expected to continue through to Tuesday "pending confirmation", the news agency said.

Global markets slipped last week despite some better-than-expected economic growth figures in the US and UK, as concerns about corporate profits weighed on sentiment.

"European equity markets are starting the week out on a lower note being pressured by weakness out of Asia where several companies posted disappointing earnings overnight, furthermore the ongoing wrangling about extending the time frame by which Greece has to meet budget and deficit targets is starting to have a drag on markets," said Markus Huber, the head of German HNW Trading at ETX Capital.

He said that, given that US equity trading has been cancelled due to Hurricane Sandy, markets will likely remain mostly range-bound.

"However it wouldn't come as too much of a surprise if markets might stage a test of the lows seen last week as worries about corporate earnings in the months ahead return and patience is starting to wear thin with market participants what Greece and Spain is concerned, as no solution is in sight for either one of them," Huber added.
Financials weigh on Footsie early on

Financial stocks were weighing heavily on the blue-chip index in the opening hour of trade today as risk appetite is scaled back in the absence of trading in New York.

Sector peers Hargreaves Lansdown, Royal Bank of Scotland, Barclays, Aviva, Old Mutual, Legal & General, Prudential and Lloyds were among the worst performers early on. Hargreaves was the heaviest faller after Citigroup downgraded the stock to 'sell' and cut its target from 630p to 620p.

In contrast, accountancy software group Sage headed the other way after Citi upped its recommendation on the shares to 'buy' and raised its target from 294p to 345p.

Mining group Anglo American was subdued after saying that subsidiary Amplats has come to an agreement with trade unions in South Africa and hopes to see its 12,000 dismissed employees return to work by tomorrow. Nomura has slashed its forecasts for Anglo this morning, saying that South African operation disruptions, production curtailments and a CEO exit has added to near-term uncertainty for the business.

Publishing group Pearson was out of favour after confirming that publishing firm Random House is to merge with its venerable book seller Penguin. The news came as Pearson released figures that showed in the first nine months of the year Penguin revenues fell 1% compared to the same period in 2011.

 FTSE 100 - Risers
Sage Group (SGE) 307.80p +1.18%
Hammerson (HMSO) 471.90p +0.45%
Land Securities Group (LAND) 810.00p +0.43%
Bunzl (BNZL) 1,024.00p +0.29%
British Land Co (BLND) 533.00p +0.28%
British American Tobacco (BATS) 3,142.50p +0.27%
IMI (IMI) 931.00p +0.22%
Meggitt (MGGT) 383.80p +0.21%
Diageo (DGE) 1,772.50p +0.20%
Burberry Group (BRBY) 1,155.00p +0.17%

FTSE 100 - Fallers
Hargreaves Lansdown (HL.) 731.00p -3.69%
WPP (WPP) 789.50p -1.37%
Old Mutual (OML) 171.20p -1.15%
Lloyds Banking Group (LLOY) 40.03p -1.09%
Admiral Group (ADM) 1,105.00p -1.07%
Legal & General Group (LGEN) 132.50p -1.05%
Barclays (BARC) 230.05p -1.05%
BT Group (BT.A) 215.00p -0.97%
Shire Plc (SHP) 1,742.00p -0.97%
International Consolidated Airlines Group SA (CDI) (IAG) 158.70p -0.94%

FTSE 250 - Risers
Stobart Group Ltd. (STOB) 115.00p +1.77%
Redrow (RDW) 157.20p +1.75%
Bovis Homes Group (BVS) 521.50p +1.56%
Soco International (SIA) 332.00p +1.37%
Yule Catto & Co (YULC) 150.00p +1.28%
SIG (SHI) 107.60p +1.13%
Chemring Group (CHG) 317.70p +1.11%
KCOM Group (KCOM) 77.70p +1.04%
Wetherspoon (J.D.) (JDW) 511.50p +0.89%
SEGRO (SGRO) 239.00p +0.84%

FTSE 250 - Fallers
New World Resources A Shares (NWR) 264.60p -5.50%
Ruspetro (RPO) 97.05p -4.85%
Catlin Group Ltd. (CGL) 456.00p -3.61%
Carpetright (CPR) 670.50p -2.47%
Kenmare Resources (KMR) 38.06p -2.41%
Ocado Group (OCDO) 64.55p -2.34%
Hiscox Ltd. (HSX) 473.90p -2.13%
Amlin (AML) 366.50p -2.06%
African Barrick Gold (ABG) 455.90p -1.96%
UK Event Calendar
Monday October 29

INTERIMS
Great Eastern Energy Corp Ltd. GDR

INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS
Personal Consumption Expenditures (US) (13:30)
Personal Income (US) (13:30)
Personal Spending (US) (13:30)

GMS
XCAP Securities

ANNUAL REPORT
Stellar Diamonds

IMSS
Gem Diamonds Ltd. (DI), Perform Group

EGMS
ICB Financial Group Holdings (CDI), Wood Group (John)

AGMS
Ceramic Fuel Cells Ltd., City of London Inv Trust, Parallel Media Group

UK ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS
M4 Money Supply (estimate) (09:30)
M4 Sterling Lending (estimate) (09:30)
Mortgage Approvals (09:30)
Trends in Lending (09:30)
Europe Market Report
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Europe open: Berlusconi threatens to pull the plug on Monti
-Italian and Spanish PMs to meet today
-Germany opposed to further funds for Greece
-Berlusconi could pull his support for Mario Monti
-Spain to unveil details of bad bank at 16:00

FTSE-100: -0.31%
Dax-30: -0.10%
Cac-40: -0.05%
FTSE Mibtel 30: -1.16%
Ibex 35: -0.02%
Stoxx 600: -0.33%

European equities have begun the week trading clearly lower, against the backdrop of New York markets having decided to shut their doors ahead of the arrival of hurricane Sandy and on the back of a rather negative news-flow coming out of the Eurozone.

In particular, markets seem to be focusing on a threat by Italy´s ex-Prime Minister –Silvio Berlusconi- to pull the plug on Mr. Monti, whose government depends on bipartisan parliamentary support. Berlusconi added that he will take a decision in the coming days.

No less relevant, German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble responded yesterday to a purported recommendation from the Troika that public sector bondholders should also take "hair-cuts", so as give the Aegean nation more breathing room, saying that it would be "a bit unrealistic." Such measures are considered necessary if the country is to lower its debt burden to 120% of gross domestic product by 2020.

Euro region finance ministers will hold a conference call on Greece on October 31st.

To be had in account Spain and Italy´s Prime Ministers will hold bilateral contacts throughout the day, with Mario Monti expected to press his Spanish peer to ask for a bail-out immediately.

Lastly, Finnish euro-sceptic parties have made further gains at the latest local elections.
Shares of UBS rising by 5%
UBS is the most talked about stock this morning. The Swiss investment bank is rumoured to be studying up to 10,000 lay-offs, or almost 16% of its work force. More significantly even, it may wind down and spin-off its fixed income arm in a bid to reduce its risk weighted assets by up to 100bn Swiss francs, thus notably reducing the need for more capital for an underperforming business segment.

From a sector stand-point the worst performance on the DJ Stoxx 600 can now be seen in the following industrial groups: Insurance (-1.08%), Construction (-0.86%) and Basic resources (-0.83%).
Spanish retail sales crater


Spanish retail sales dropped by 12.6% month-on-momth in September, versus -2.0% in the month before.

The October consumer price index for the German region of Saxony rose by 2% year-on-year, the same pace as last month. Crude futures lower as Sandy approaches US

Front month Brent crude futures are now down by 0.597 dollars to the $109.1 mark on the ICE. This as refineries on the eastern US seaboard reduce or cut output all-together as hurricane Sandy approaches.

The euro/dollar is now down by 0.32% to the 1.2900 dollar level.
US Market Report
US close: Stocks shrug off GDP data to end flat
    Market movers
    Dow Jones: 13,107 (+0.03%)
    Nasdaq: 2,988 (+0.06%)
    S&P 500: 1,412 (-0.07%)
US stock markets finished flat on Friday as some better-than-expected economic growth data was offset by concerns about Hurricane Sandy.

The Dow finished down 1.8% on the week, the Nasdaq fell 0.6% and the S&P 500 closed 1.5% lower.

Hurricane Sandy, described by some as the worst storm in 100 years, is expected to reach the east coast of America by the end of the month and is estimated to cause insured losses of as much as $4.9bn. It could also affect trading at some of the major trading venues, such as New York.

Meanwhile, some disappointing earnings reports from heavyweights Apple and Amazon.com from the previous night continued to weigh on sentiment.

Third-quarter US gross domestic product (GDP) grew at an annualised rate of 2%, better than the previous quarter's reading of a 1.3% increase, according to the US Bureau of Economic Analysis. The figure topped the market consensus estimate of a 1.9% expansion.

Siddiqi said: "The US GDP data, although a pleasant surprise to the upside do still suggest the US recovery is weak and the labour market is slow so we would caution getting too excited about these just yet and would wait for further signals of growth such before turning optimistic on the US economy."

In other news, the University of Michigan's final reading on consumer confidence for the month of October came in at 82.6, a five-year high, versus a preliminary print of 83.1 and last month's 78.3. Expectations were for a reading of 83. Bank of America hit by LIBOR probe

Bank of America was under the weather on reports that the bank, along with eight others, has received a subpoena from state officials as part of the wider probe into LIBOR manipulation, joining Deutsche Bank, Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase, Royal Bank of Scotland, Barclays, HSBC and UBS, who are already under investigation.

Online travel agency Expedia surged after beating consensus estimates in the third quarter and raising its full-year outlook. Sector peer Priceline, which reports early next month, also gained.

Comcast, the largest US cable company and the majority owner of NBC, advanced after more than doubling its quarterly profits from $908m to $2.11bn.

Tyre manufacture Goodyear dropped after missing forecasts with a 32% fall in net income.
S&P 500 - Risers
DeVry Inc. (DV) $26.01 +24.93%
Expedia Inc. (EXPE) $59.06 +15.24%
Varian Medical Systems Inc. (VAR) $66.93 +15.20%
Netflix Inc. (NFLX) $69.58 +13.12%
Cerner Corp. (CERN) $77.37 +13.00%
Eastman Chemical Co. (EMN) $60.19 +12.19%
Cabot Oil & Gas Corp. (COG) $47.46 +9.99%
PerkinElmer Inc. (PKI) $31.29 +9.79%
Amazon.Com Inc. (AMZN) $238.24 +6.87%
Federated Investors Inc. (FII) $22.03 +6.48%

S&P 500 - Fallers
VeriSign Inc. (VRSN) $39.39 -15.47%
Dean Foods Co. (DF) $16.74 -10.91%
Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co. (GT) $11.02 -10.41%
CA Inc. (CA) $22.73 -8.71%
Cliffs Natural Resources Inc. (CLF) $36.49 -4.48%
Micron Technology Inc. (MU) $5.47 -3.87%
Hartford Financial Services Group Inc. (HIG) $21.71 -3.43%
Nabors Industries Ltd. (NBR) $13.68 -3.32%
Titanium Metals Corp. (TIE) $11.82 -3.19%
GameStop Corp. (GME) $23.00 -3.04%

Dow Jones I.A - Risers
Intel Corp. (INTC) $21.95 +1.20%
Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) $28.21 +1.18%
United Technologies Corp. (UTX) $78.20 +1.18%
Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ) $44.73 +1.08%
International Business Machines Corp. (IBM) $193.27 +0.87%
Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) $84.25 +0.86%
American Express Co. (AXP) $55.75 +0.56%
Cisco Systems Inc. (CSCO) $17.29 +0.52%
Mondelez International Inc. (MDLZ) $26.60 +0.49%
AT&T Inc. (T) $34.63 +0.38%

Dow Jones I.A - Fallers
Bank of America Corp. (BAC) $9.12 -1.30%
JP Morgan Chase & Co. (JPM) $41.16 -1.22%
Alcoa Inc. (AA) $8.65 -0.92%
Procter & Gamble Co. (PG) $69.44 -0.90%
Travelers Company Inc. (TRV) $71.56 -0.78%
Home Depot Inc. (HD) $60.04 -0.73%
McDonald's Corp. (MCD) $86.71 -0.71%
General Electric Co. (GE) $21.11 -0.71%
Hewlett-Packard Co. (HPQ) $14.09 -0.70%
Pfizer Inc. (PFE) $25.43 -0.70%

Nasdaq 100 - Risers
Expedia Inc. (EXPE) $59.06 +15.24%
Netflix Inc. (NFLX) $69.58 +13.12%
Cerner Corp. (CERN) $77.37 +13.00%
Amazon.Com Inc. (AMZN) $238.24 +6.87%
Sears Holdings Corp. (SHLD) $66.66 +5.94%
Maxim Integrated Products Inc. (MXIM) $27.77 +4.83%
Priceline.Com Inc. (PCLN) $579.46 +3.87%
Comcast Corp. (CMCSA) $37.56 +3.30%
Texas Instruments Inc (TXN) $28.92 +2.81%
QUALCOMM Inc. (QCOM) $59.04 +2.80%

Nasdaq 100 - Fallers
VeriSign Inc. (VRSN) $39.39 -15.47%
CA Inc. (CA) $22.73 -8.71%
Micron Technology Inc. (MU) $5.47 -3.87%
Monster Beverage Corp (MNST) $45.86 -2.61%
Electronic Arts Inc. (EA) $11.91 -2.46%
Activision Blizzard Inc. (ATVI) $10.79 -2.44%
Flextronics International Ltd. (FLEX) $5.66 -2.41%
Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (CHKP) $44.27 -2.27%
Cognizant Technology Solutions Corp. (CTSH) $66.73 -2.11%
FX and Commodities round-up
FX round-up: Dollar trims gains after US data
The dollar reduced gains against major currencies on Friday following better than expected third quarter US growth data.

Figures form the US Bureau of Economic Analysis showed US gross domestic product (GDP) during the third quarter rose 2% at an annualised rate, beating the previous quarter's reading of a 1.3% increase. The data beat market estimates of 1.9% growth.

The ICE dollar index, which measures the US unit against a basket of six other currencies, eased to 80.047 from 80.180 seen earlier in the session. The index traded at around 80.131 on Thursday. For the week, the dollar index rose 0.5%.

Meanwhile the euro traded at around $1.2936 compared to $1.2931 the previous session after Spain's unemployment rate hit a record high in the third quarter.

Against the yen, the dollar pulled off a four-month high to trade at ¥79.64 from ¥80.28 on Thursday after a choppy week on speculation that the Bank of Japan will announce further easing measures ahead of its policy statement.

Sterling hit a three-week high against the euro on Friday after surprisingly strong UK growth figures trimmed the chances of monetary easing from the Bank of England. The euro bought 80.01p early on Friday before later recovering.

Against the dollar, sterling fell 0.2% to $1.6085.
Commodities: Crude recovers as Sandy nears US coast
Crude oil futures registered a modest gain on Friday amid jitters about Hurricane Sandy and after better-than-expected US growth data.

Crude oil for December delivery climbed 23 cents to settle at $86.28 a barrel, after spending most of the session trading in negative territory. Crude posted a weekly loss of 4 per cent.

US gross domestic product (GDP) grew at an annualised rate of 2% during the third-quarter, beating the previous quarter's reading of a 1.3% increase, figures form the US Bureau of Economic Analysis showed. The data also came in ahead of market estimates of 1.9% growth.

Crude futures however settled the week down 4% on persistent concern about weak demand and surplus US stockpiles. Some disappointing earnings from big guns Apple and Amazon.com on Thursday weighed on buyer appetite at the end of the week.

Meanwhile US President Barack Obama warned Americans to take Hurricane Sandy seriously. Described as the worst storm in 100 years, it is expected to reach the east coast of America by Monday evening. States of emergency have been declared in New York, Washington DC, Maryland, Pennsylvania and Virginia.

On the ICE futures exchange December Brent advanced $1.06 a barrel to $109.55 a barrel after upbeat US growth data and on concern that Hurricane Sandy will disrupt US East Coast refinery operations. For the week Brent recorded a weekly loss.

Among precious metals gold logged its third weekly decline on Friday, despite the previous session's gains, as traders mulled economic data from the US and Spain. While US growth came in stronger than expected, Spain's unemployment rate hit a record high in the third quarter.

Gold for December delivery lost $1.10 to settle at $1,711.90 an ounce on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange but ended the week 0.7% lower.

December silver fell 4 cents to settle at $32.04 an ounce while December palladium dropped $9.10 to $595.40 an ounce. Platinum for January delivery settled down $22.80 at $1,546 an ounce.


Saturday, October 27, 2012

GATA | THE GATA DISPATCH -October 27th, 2012-: Sure, there's probably still gold in central bank vaults, but how many claims to it?


Sure, there's probably still gold in central bank vaults, but how many claims to it?

1:18p CT Saturday, October 27, 2012
Dear Friend of GATA and Gold:
In his otherwise spectacularly obtuse commentary the other day about the clamor to audit Germany's gold reserve --

http://www.gata.org/node/11868

-- CNBC Senior Editor John Carney stumbled onto a point often made by GATA about the unreliability of central bank claims about gold vaulting. In reference to the foreign gold vaulted at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Carney wrote:
"The compartments do not have labels reading 'Germany's gold' and so on. They are instead numbered, and only a few people at the Fed know what numbers correspond to which country. The Fed says it does this to protect the privacy of the depositors. But this also makes actual inspection less reliable. There's no way for Germany to know that the gold it is being shown is Germany's, as opposed to some other depositor's. In an extreme case -- which I have no reason to believe is true -- miscreants at the Fed could just show everyone who came to visit the same pile of gold."

Of course mere "miscreants" at the Fed are hardly the problem; the problem is policy throughout Western central banking that, in support of the gold price suppression scheme, facilitates the double-counting (or multiple-counting) of gold reserves.

For example, the International Monetary Fund long has allowed central bank members to count leased gold as if it is still in the vault of the bank leasing it. Thus multiple claims develop to the same gold and the world's gold supply is perceived to be larger than it really is, suppressing the gold price.

The same thing happens with the major gold and silver exchange-traded funds when their shares are allowed to be borrowed and shorted -- multiple claims develop to the same gold. There is much suspicion about the major gold and silver ETFs, GLD and SLV, because of the grotesque conflicts of interest on which they operate, the custodian of GLD's gold being HSBC, the world's biggest gold shorter, and the custodian of SLV's silver, JPMorganChase & Co., being the world's biggest silver shorter.

The London Bullion Market Association runs a fractional-reserve gold banking system in which claims are issued against gold that is not in the possession of the issuer of the claim. This too increases the perception of the world's gold supply and suppresses the price.

The great disparagement about gold in recent years has been that even with its strong price appreciation it has not kept up with inflation over the longer term. The most likely explanation for gold's failure to keep up with inflation is the creation by bullion banks, backstopped by central banks, of a vast imaginary supply, "paper gold." The fear of paper gold is behind the growing belief in Germany that the country should repatriate its gold reserve.

As central banks are the issuers of currencies that compete with the natural currencies, gold and silver, they have a powerful interest in controlling and weakening their competitors. As the issuers of claims to monetary metal they don't possess, bullion banks have an identical interest.
GATA long has documented secret transactions in gold by central banks and their refusal to answer specific questions about their custody of national gold reserves:
http://www.gata.org/taxonomy/term/21

So the scenario raised but disbelieved by CNBC's Carney wherein a stash of gold might stand in for multiple stashes is hardly farfetched. That is almost certainly why the major gold and silver ETFs were created -- to corner the investing public's gold and silver so it might be applied in emergencies, against their investors' interest, for price control. Evidence of this cornering was produced inadvertently last year when HSBC invited CNBC's Bob Pisani to visit the secret GLD gold vault and, when he arrived, presented him with a GLD gold bar to display for his audience -- only for the bar later to be identified as being registered to a different ETF. One gold stash was standing in for another stash:
http://www.gata.org/node/10368
http://www.gata.org/node/10372
http://www.gata.org/node/10427
 
No one seriously doubts that there is some gold in the basement vaults of the New York Fed. But merely inspecting it would not prove anything. The serious questions here are about ownership title -- questions that can be answered only by a full disclosure of central bank gold records. How much gold is there and how many ownership claims are there to it?

If central banks are merely vaulting their gold and not using it to manipulate markets, if there are no secret schemes being undertaken with official gold, there should be no problem with disclosing these records.
But of course, as was demonstrated by GATA's recent lawsuit against the Federal Reserve for access to its gold records, particularly records involving gold swaps --
http://www.gata.org/node/9917

-- and by GATA's recent questioning of other central banks about their gold reserves --
http://www.gata.org/node/11862
 
-- this examination of title to gold is exactly where central banks become most secretive. Thus this is also where serious financial journalism about gold would start, if any was ever permitted and undertaken.

CHRIS POWELL, Secretary/Treasurer
Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee Inc.


* * *

Join GATA here:
Vancouver Resource Investment Conference
Sunday-Monday, January 20 and 21, 2013
Vancouver Convention Centre West
Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
http://www.cambridgehouse.com/event/vancouver-resource-investment-confer...


Friday, October 26, 2012

GATA | THE GATA DISPATCHES -October 26th, 2012-: Unlimited Gov.. Debt wil take up parabolically | Argentines send money underground to evade exchange controls | Germany's isn't the only missing gold


Unlimited government debt will take 

gold up parabolically, von Greyerz says

6:42p CT Friday, October 26, 2012
Dear Friend of GATA and Gold:
Gold fund manager Egon von Greyerz today tells King World News that he's confident that gold will keep rising because government debt will keep rising as well -- unlimited debt going up parabolically will take gold with it. An excerpt from the interview is posted at the King World News blog here:

http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2012/10/26_G..


Argentines send money underground to evade exchange controls

Coming soon to another country with rigged markets near you?
* * *
By Katia Porzecanski
Bloomberg News
via Business Week
Friday, October 26, 2012
http://www.businessweek.com/news/2012-10-26/pesos-go-underground-as-doll...

Argentine President Cristina Fernandez de Kirchners foreign-exchange controls are driving pesos underground. 

A quarter of Argentines are keeping their pesos at home, up from 19 percent a year ago, according to a survey conducted in September by the Catholic University of Argentina and TNS Gallup. The increase reflects how people are shifting money out of banks to trade dollars in a cash-dominated black market where the cost of the U.S. currency has surged 35 percent this year, according to Buenos Aires-based research company EconViews.

The migration of cash out of the financial system is stripping banks of funding and undermining Fernandezs efforts to hold down interest rates and bolster an economic rebound. The 30-day deposit rate has jumped 1.8 percentage points in the past four months to 14.8125 percent. A three-day decline of 0.8 percentage point that pared the increase in the benchmark rate will prove short-lived as annual inflation of 24 percent drives more Argentines to move money into the underground economy, said Eric Ritondale, an economist at Econviews.

"Money's moving out of the banking system and out of the formal economy," Ritondale said in a telephone interview from Buenos Aires. "As much as the government wants to promote the use of pesos, the truth is they won't be able to achieve it. You can't get it done" with interest rates below inflation.
The so-called badlar rate, which banks pay on deposits of 1 million pesos ($210,400) or more, will climb to 17 percent by the end of this year, Ritondale said. That's more than double similar rates in Brazil and almost five times those in Mexico.

The average interest rate offered among private banks for time deposits less than 100,000 pesos fell to 12.64 percent on Oct. 22 from an eight-month high of 12.85 percent on Oct. 19, central bank data show. Total peso deposits increased at the slowest pace in a year in September, central bank data show.
Fernandez's controls are making it harder for Argentines to buy dollars to protect against inflation and a weaker currency.

The university survey, conducted from Sept. 21 to Sept. 30, found that 11 percent of individuals said they choose to buy dollars to keep at home or put in a bank as a preferred method for savings based on convenience, down from 21 percent a year ago, after the restrictions were set in place.
"Banks aren't offering attractive interest rates," Angeles Arano, one of the researchers at TNS Gallup who conducted the poll, said in a telephone interview from Buenos Aires. "There's no incentive for people to put their money in the system."

Argentine bonds fell today after the country lost a bid to reverse U.S. lower-court rulings that may help creditors collect $1.4 billion on defaulted debt. Dollar-denominated notes due in 2015 dropped 4.42 cents to 85.12 cents on the dollar at 11:50 a.m. New York time, pushing yields up 2.02 percentage points to 13.55 percent, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

The U.S. Appeals Court in New York ruled that Argentina, which carried out a record sovereign default in 2001, can't discriminate against holders of the defaulted bonds in favor of holders of the securities it restructured. A three-judge panel upheld orders issued by U.S. District Judge Thomas Griesa in Manhattan.
Of the 41 billion pesos pumped into the nation's monetary base this year by the central bank, 84 percent are circulating among individuals, according to the latest central bank data. That compares with 59 percent in the same period last year. In total, just 21 billion pesos are in the banking system, about 8 percent of the monetary base on Oct. 12.

Cash in the hands of individuals accounted for 51 percent of private money supply, compared with 49 percent a year ago, EconViews found in an Oct. 22 study of central bank data.
The country's money multiplier ratio, an indication of how much central bank-created cash is making its way through the financial system, fell to 1.495 on Oct. 5, the lowest since December 2007.
Bank deposits expanded 37 percent in September from a year earlier, while lending grew 40 percent, central bank data show.

Last month liquidity in the banking system dropped 0.3 percentage point from August to 35.5 percent, the lowest since December. The central bank defines liquidity as the percentage of cash, deposits in current accounts and central bank notes relative to total deposits.
The badlar will resume its climb as liquidity drops and Fernandez's recent measures, including forcing insurance companies to allocate $1.5 billion in state-sponsored projects, deter investment, according to Maria Jose Anastasio, a portfolio manager at Standard Bank Argentina SA.


Germany's isn't the only missing gold, Celente tells King World News

2:21p CT Friday, October 26, 2012

Market analyst Gerald Celente today tells King World News that Germany's gold isn't the only gold that has disappeared -- all official gold reserves are likley gone as well, the proof being the refusal of central banks to answer questions about their reserves and permit them to be audited. An excerpt from the interview is posted at the King World News blog here:

http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2012/10/26_C...

CHRIS POWELL, Secretary/Treasurer
Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee Inc.