Showing posts with label 2012-. Show all posts
Showing posts with label 2012-. Show all posts

Monday, November 26, 2012

Saturday, November 24, 2012

GATA | THE GATA DISPATCH : -NOVEMBER 24th, 2012-: Gold Silve r Market Manipulation Argued on Keiser Report


Gold, silver market manipulation argued on 'Keiser Report'

5:50p ET Saturday, November 24, 2012

On today's edition of "The Keiser Report" on the Russia Today network Max Keiser interviews Ian Williams, chairman of Charteris Treasury Portfolio Managers in London, and while Williams could not be more bullish about the monetary metals, he expresses doubt about the manipulation of their markets, which Keiser tries to explain to him at some length. The exchange begins at about 19:30 in the 26-minute YouTube video here:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=uZr9G7s2zBQ

CHRIS POWELL, Secretary/Treasurer
Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee Inc.

Tuesday, November 20, 2012

ADVFN III Morning Euro Markets Bulletin -November 20th, 2012-


ADVFN III Morning Euro Markets Bulletin
Daily world financial news


London Market Report
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London open: Stocks slip as France downgraded
Market Movers

  • techMARK 2,046.66 -0.17%
  • FTSE 100 5,720.05 -0.31%
  • FTSE 250 11,756.51 +0.10%
With another European nation losing its prized 'AAA' rating last night, UK stocks edged into negative territory on Tuesday morning as Eurozone concerns came back into focus ahead of an extraordinary Eurogroup meeting on Greece.

Investors are losing options to safeguard their funds in the highest investment-grade assets after Moody's decided to strip France of its triple-A rating. The US rating agency has downgraded France by one notch to 'Aa1' while keeping a negative outlook, which signals that the country is susceptible to future downgrades.

"The first driver underlying Moody's one-notch downgrade of France's sovereign rating is the risk to economic growth, and therefore to the government's finances, posed by the country's persistent structural economic challenges," Moody's said.

Markus Huber, the head of German HNW trading at ETX Capital said this morning: "While the move by Moody's doesn't necessarily comes as a surprise considered that not only has the European financial crisis still not been fully contained and French growth and finances have been weakening over the last few quarters, it certainly sends an important reminder that not only Greece and Spain are struggling with high debt levels and excessive budget deficits but also that France has much work left to do to balance their books.

"Furthermore this also means that the honeymoon period for French President Hollande has certainly come to an end," he said.

Meanwhile, Eurozone finance ministers are meeting today in Brussels to discuss whether of not to release the next tranche of aid for Greece. However, Marianne Kothe, spokesperson for Germany's Finance Ministry, told the German press yesterday that a decision on the next part of the bailout should not be expected today.

The FTSE 100 surged 2.36% yesterday on the back of optimism that US politicians can agree on ways to avert the 'fiscal cliff'. President Barack Obama said at the weekend that he is confident that the US "can get our fiscal situation dealt with."
Banks fall on FSA worries
Banking stocks including Barclays, HSBC and Lloyds were out of favour this morning after Andrew Bailey, the head of banking supervision at the FSA, said that banks should face the threat of being broken up if they do not comply with proposals to ring-fence retail and riskier operations.

Real estate investment trust British Land gained after seeing a solid increase in underlying profits in the first half, as it continued to outperform its benchmark of property returns, the IPD. Meanwhile, the firm announced that its Chairman of six years, Chris Gibson-Smith, would be stepping down at the end of 2012.

easyJet was flying high after delivering forecast-beating record profits boosted by higher margins and increased passenger numbers.

LED manufacturer Dialight rose after saying that it has received a major order from an unnamed US power plant operator for over 1,000 LED lighting fixtures.

ZYTIGA, the prostate cancer treatment drug developed by specialist healthcare company BTG, has been approved by the European Medicines Agency (EMA), the firm announced, prompting shares to rise.

Strong growth internationally saw home emergency repairs group HomeServe achieve a decent increase in revenue and profit in the first half despite a slight fall in customer numbers over the period, with shares up early on.

Safety, health and environmental technology group Halma fell despite increasing its interim dividend payment from 3.79p to 4.06p per share. The company delivered a 6% rise in both revenue and profit.

UK Event Calendar
Tuesday November 20

INTERIMS
Accumuli , Big Yellow Group, British Land Co, CML Microsystems, Eckoh, Energy Assets Group, Halma, Heath (Samuel) & Sons, Homeserve, Mckay Securities, Renold, Schroder Real Estate Investment Trust Ltd, Telecom Plus, Vectura Group

INTERIM DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
Capital Shopping Centres Group

QUARTERLY PAYMENT DATE
Caterpillar Inc.

INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS
ABC Consumer Confidence (US) (22:00)
Building Permits (US) (13:30)
Housing Starts (US) (13:30)
Producer Price Index (GER) (07:00)

Q2
Big Yellow Group, British Land Co, Optos

FINALS
easyJet, Enterprise Inns, Paragon Group Of Companies

ANNUAL REPORT
World Careers Network

EGMS
Experian, Plaza Centers NV

AGMS
Advance Frontier Markets Fund Ltd, Black Mountain Resources Ltd, Smiths Group

FINAL DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
Henderson EuroTrust, Ricardo

Europe Market Report
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European stocks are seen opening marginally lower on Tuesday following the previous session's rally. Asian markets are trading mostly higher, supported by better-than-expected economic reports on the U.S. housing market and optimism over the resolution of the U.S. fiscal crisis, while commodities are edging lower on a weaker euro after Moody's Investors Service downgraded France's top-notch credit rating, rekindling worries about Europe's debt crisis.

Moody's stripped France of its coveted triple A rating with a one notch downgrade, citing the nation's uncertain fiscal outlook because of deteriorating economic prospects and its high exposure to peripheral euro zone economies. The government bond rating on the Eurozone's second largest economy was cut to 'Aa1' from 'Aaa', while the rating outlook was maintained at 'negative.'

Meanwhile, investors await a final verdict on the issuance of the next tranche of aid to Greece as Eurozone finance ministers conduct another round of talks in Brussels today, seeking a plan to bridge a financing gap created by a two-year extension of Greece's bailout program. The finance ministers of the 17 euro area nations will also discuss how to restore Greek debt sustainability by 2020, as this is crucial in restoring investor's faith in the single currency.

Key data to watch out in the U.S. later today includes a report on housing starts for October, while Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke is due to speak to the Economic Club of New York on economic recovery and the monetary policy.

Elsewhere in Asia, Japan's Nikkei index is weakening slightly on profit taking following recent sharp gains after the Bank of Japan kept its monetary policy steady, as widely expected by analysts. China's Shanghai Composite index is losing 0.4 percent after data showed foreign direct investment into the country fell for the 11th time in 12 months in October. FDI inflows fell 0.2 percent in October from a year earlier to $8.31 billion after plunging 6.8 percent in September, according to figures released by the Ministry of Commerce.

Key benchmark indexes in Australia, Hong Kong, New Zealand, Singapore and South Korea are up between 0.4 percent and 0.8 percent.

In domestic corporate news, Fiat Industrial SpA said it has offered an additional cash dividend to sweeten its offer for CNH Global N.V. shares not held by it.

German optics firm Fielmann AG said its founder, principal shareholder and Chief Executive Officer Guenther Fielmann would transfer 24.52 percent of the shares in the company to the Fielmann Family Foundation, as part of his succession plans.

ING Groep NV has agreed to sell its investment management business in Thailand to UOB Asset Management for 10 million euros.

Credit Suisse announced changes in its organizational structure and to its executive board, effective November 30.

European stocks rebounded from a three-session losing streak on Monday, as investors welcomed signs of progress in resolving the U.S. fiscal cliff and reports of agreement on a delayed bailout payment for Greece. The Euro Stoxx 50 index of Eurozone bluechip stocks jumped 2.8 percent and the Stoxx Europe 50 index, which includes some major U.K. companies, added 2.3 percent, while key benchmark indexes in Switzerland, the U.K., Germany and France rose between 1 percent and 1.7 percent.

U.S. stocks rose sharply overnight, as investors cheered news of a constructing meeting on the looming fiscal cliff, stronger-than-expected earnings from Lowe's and a pair of upbeat reports on the housing market. The Dow rallied 1.7 percent, the tech-heavy Nasdaq soared 2.2 percent and the S&P 500 jumped 2 percent.

US Market Report
US close: World Bank makes plea for action against climate change
-World Bank makes plea for action against devastating climate change risks
-Ex-Mossad head asks for Israeli flexibility on Gaza -FT
-US should engage China in the Middle East -FT
-US home inventories at February 2006 lows
-NAHB housing index rises far above forecasts
-Wal Mart brings forward dividend payments

Dow Jones Industrials: 1.65%
Nasdaq Comp.: 2.21%
S&P 500: 1.99%

The main US equity market averages finished the first session of the holiday shortened (and trading volume light) week with their largest gain in two months. That on the back of remarks by President Obama, last night, regarding his optimism over on-going debt talks with Republicans in both the House and the Senate.

Speaking at a press conference in Bangkok Obama said, "I am confident we can get our fiscal situation dealt with."

Also helping gains in stocks along were the better than expected housing figures released this afternoon showing home inventories at half-decade lows, along with double digit price increases versus a year ago.

"Rising home prices have already resulted in a $760bn growth in home equity during the past year," the National Association of Realtors' (NARs) chief economist, Lawrence Yun, said today following the release of better than expected data. "Given that each percentage point of price appreciation translates into an additional $190bn in home equity, we could see close to a $1trn gain next year," he added.

Similarly, the news-flow coming out of the Eurozone took a turn for the better over the weekend.

Of interest, the combination of falling stocks and rising profits as the economy recovers has left the S&P 500's price-earnings ratio below the ending level of eight of the nine bull markets since 1962 and beneath the average of any since Ronald Reagan was in power, Bloomberg is reporting.

Acting as a backdrop, but potentially of far more importance than all of the above, observers are carefully watching events in the Middle East. Some reports seemed to indicate that a break-through could be close at hand.

Turkey's Prime Minister, on the other hand, labeled Israel a "terrorist state."

The European Union meanwhile upheld Israel's right to self defence, while at the same time calling for an immediate cease-fire in the Gaza violence and calling on Israel to react "proportionately."
Wal Mart brings forward dividend payments
Meantime, and in stock specific news, Intel Chief Executive Officer Paul Otellini announced his departure.

Of interest as well, Wal Mart brought forward the date of its next regular dividend to the next 27th of December, instead of January 2nd, so as to avoid the new legislation governing the taxation of company pay-outs of their profits.

Shares of meat processor Tyson Foods rose sharply after the company announced a special dividend and posted fiscal fourth-quarter earnings which beat analysts' estimates.

Cisco Systems will acquire Meraki for $1.2bn.

The latest quarterly results out from home improvement retailer Lowe's also came in ahead of analysts' consensus forecasts, on the back of strong demand for its wares in the aftermath of hurricane Sandy.

Analysts at Bank of America Merrill Lynch lowered their price target on shares of Apple to $780 from $840 before, albeit while maintaining their view on the company's shares at buy.

From a sector stand-point the best performance was to be seen in the following sectors: Computer hardware (6.41%), Footwear (4.08%) and Technology (4%).
Better than expected economic figures


Existing home sales increased by 2.1% month-on-month in October, to an annualized rate of 4.79m (Consensus: 4.75m). The previous month's reading was revised down to 4.69m from a preliminary reading go 4.75m. Worth noting, inventories of homes for sale fell to February 2006 lows.

The NAHB's housing market index for the month of November improved to the 46 point level, from 41 in the month before (Consensus: 41). Economists at Barclays Research were of the following opinion: "Home builder sentiment has been moving higher throughout the recent housing recovery and we expect this trend to continue." Large rise in energy quotes

Front month West Texas crude futures are rising by 2.55% to the $89.14 barrel mark on the NYMEX.

10 year US Treasury yields are now 3 basis points higher, at 1.61%.

S&P 500 - Risers
Tyson Foods Inc. (TSN) $18.72 +10.90%
Apple Inc. (AAPL) $565.73 +7.21%
Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (ANF) $43.80 +7.17%
Alpha Natural Res (ANR) $7.57 +6.62%
Lowe's Companies Inc. (LOW) $33.96 +6.19%
Urban Outfitters Inc. (URBN) $37.07 +5.76%
United States Steel Corp. (X) $21.15 +5.43%
Phillips 66 Common Stock (PSX) $48.12 +5.13%
Chesapeake Energy Corp. (CHK) $17.47 +5.11%
Electronic Arts Inc. (EA) $13.71 +5.06%

S&P 500 - Fallers
Progressive Corp. (PGR) $21.47 -4.79%
Assurant Inc. (AIZ) $34.61 -2.67%
SCANA Corp. (SCG) $45.60 -1.08%
Centerpoint Energy Inc. (CNP) $19.38 -1.02%
Ameren Corp. (AEE) $29.08 -0.95%
Cablevision Systems Corp. (CVC) $13.90 -0.86%
Edwards Lifesciences Corp. (EW) $85.03 -0.83%
VeriSign Inc. (VRSN) $40.61 -0.76%
Teradata Corp. (TDC) $61.97 -0.75%
Edison International (EIX) $44.13 -0.74%

Dow Jones I.A - Risers
Bank of America Corp. (BAC) $9.49 +4.06%
Hewlett-Packard Co. (HPQ) $13.30 +3.50%
Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ) $42.81 +3.41%
JP Morgan Chase & Co. (JPM) $40.59 +2.68%
General Electric Co. (GE) $20.66 +2.53%
E.I. du Pont de Nemours and Co. (DD) $42.93 +2.34%
Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) $83.62 +2.06%
AT&T Inc. (T) $33.82 +2.05%
Alcoa Inc. (AA) $8.34 +1.96%
Home Depot Inc. (HD) $63.33 +1.95%

Dow Jones I.A - Fallers

Nasdaq 100 - Risers
Green Mountain Coffee Roasters Inc. (GMCR) $27.33 +11.32%
Apple Inc. (AAPL) $565.73 +7.21%
Nuance Communications Inc. (NUAN) $21.57 +6.00%
Electronic Arts Inc. (EA) $13.71 +5.06%
Randgold Resources Ltd. Ads (GOLD) $106.73 +4.87%
Flextronics International Ltd. (FLEX) $5.80 +4.69%
Research in Motion Ltd. (RIMM) $9.59 +4.24%
Dollar Tree Stores Inc. (DLTR) $40.45 +4.20%
Staples Inc. (SPLS) $12.20 +4.05%
Marvell Technology Group Ltd. (MRVL) $7.70 +3.99%

Nasdaq 100 - Fallers
VeriSign Inc. (VRSN) $40.61 -0.76%
Akamai Technologies Inc. (AKAM) $35.87 -0.64%
Intuit Inc. (INTU) $58.95 -0.56%
Monster Beverage Corp (MNST) $45.23 -0.53%
Autodesk Inc. (ADSK) $31.32 -0.51%
Sandisk Corp. (SNDK) $39.30 -0.41%
Baidu Inc. (BIDU) $92.42 -0.28%
Stericycle Inc. (SRCL) $89.90 -0.19%
KLA-Tencor Corp. (KLAC) $44.25 -0.18%
Seagate Technology Plc (STX) $27.09 -0.07%

FX and Commodities round-up
FX round-up: Safe haven flows dwindle on cliff hopes
The dollar fell against major currencies on Monday on hopes that the so-called US fiscal cliff will be averted.

US lawmakers indicated that they were optimistic about negotiations to avert $600bn in tax increases and spending cuts due to kick in at the start of 2013.

Meanwhile president Barack Obama said he was, "confident we can get our fiscal situation dealt with."

The dollar index, which measures the US currency against a basket of six major currencies, fell to 80.853 from 81.287 on Friday.

The euro bounced to its highest level against the dollar in almost two weeks on fresh optimism that Greece would receive its bailout package.

The single currency hit a high of $1.2819 before later changing hands at around $1.2805.

Risk appetite and equities on Wall Street were boosted by better than expected US housing data. Sales of previously owned homes rose in October to an annual rate of 4.79m, according to the National Association of Realtors.

Against the yen, the greenback climbed to ¥81.38 from ¥81.18 on Friday as safe haven demand faded.

Sterling bought $1.5913 compared to $1.5883 the previous session.
Commodities: Mideast tensions lift oil prices
Crude oil prices rose to a one-month high on Monday as violence between Israel and Palestinian militants enter its seventh day.

Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu said his army is prepared to significantly expand its offensive into Gaza. On Monday Israeli air strikes hit populated areas of the Gaza Strip killing a leading figure in the militant group Islamic Jihad. The Palestinian death toll is though to be over 100. Meanwhile Hamas fighters fired almost 70 rockets at Israel.

Israeli leaders met late Monday to discuss Egyptian proposals to settle the conflict and further talks are expected to be held in Cairo on Tuesday. While Israel and Palestinian are not oil rich nations, there is concern that the conflict could spread into neighbouring countries such as Iran.

Analysts said there is concern about the potential closure of the Strait of Hormuz of which a fifth of the world's oil flows through.

Crude for January delivery rose $2.36 to $89.28 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, the best closing price since October 19th.

Meanwhile on the ICE futures exchange Brent crude advanced $2.38 at $111.33 a barrel.

Among precious metals gold futures beefed up almost $20 an ounce on Monday as focus remained on the US 'fiscal cliff' and conflict in the Middle East.

Gold for December delivery added $19.70 to settle at $1,734.40 an ounce on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange.

December silver climbed 82 cents to close at $33.19 an ounce. December palladium rose $18.85 to $645.30 an ounce while January platinum tacked on $22 to $1,583.80 an ounce.

Monday, November 19, 2012

MarketWatch | Currencies | Dollar in Focus -November 19, 2012--: Dollar extends loss as cliff hopes boost stocks

SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) — The dollar lost ground Monday, coming off its highest level against a basket of currencies since early September, as investors grew cautiously upbeat over efforts to avert the so-called fiscal cliff and stifled the currency’s haven-related support.
The ICE dollar index , which measures the U.S. unit against a basket of six major currencies, fell to 80.837 from 81.286 late Friday. The index rose 0.5% last week. Read: Dollar at 2-month high.
“I am confident we can get our fiscal situation dealt with,” President Barack Obama told a news conference Sunday in Bangkok, where he started a three-nation Asian trip. See: Obama and Pelosi hopeful on budget deal.

Global equities traded solidly higher to begin the week and U.S. stocks followed suit, with investors citing encouraging, albeit vague, remarks from key players in the Washington talks. Wall Street extended gains after better-than-expected U.S. housing data. Read: U.S. stocks rise after housing data.
“Hope that U.S. politicians can avoid the fiscal cliff has been gaining traction over the weekend,” said Jane Foley, senior currency strategist at Rabobank International.

After a Friday meeting at the White House, top congressional Republicans and Democrats alike emerged upbeat on prospects for averting the automatic round of billions in tax hikes and spending cuts due to take effect in January. Economists fear the measures could eventually drag the U.S. economy back into recession unless politicians reach a budget deal.

Overall activity this week will likely be light and potentially choppy, with U.S. markets closed Thursday for the Thanksgiving Day holiday, strategists said. U.S. bond markets also have a shortened session on Friday.
The euro rose to $1.2813 from $1.2624 late Friday.
The British pound traded at $1.5912, up from $1.5882.

Tuesday meeting on Greece

The euro, and overall risk appetite, may be vulnerable to developments surrounding Greece.
For the second time in two weeks, euro-zone finance ministers will meet Tuesday in an effort to overcome differences with the International Monetary Fund over how to get Greece’s debt load back on a sustainable track.
“While [finance ministers] may attempt to contain the Greek question tomorrow, the issue of IMF acceptance and the funding of the deficit maturity extension remain uncertain,” leaving euro rallies “worth fading,” said Jeremy Stretch, strategist at CIBC.
He expects the euro to reverse back toward the 100-day moving average at $1.2650. On a technical basis, resistance is seen at the 200-day moving average at $1.2808, analysts said.

Focus remains on yen

Against the yen, the dollar gave back some ground after touching a six-month high on the Japanese currency last week as Shinzo Abe, seen as likely to become Japan’s next prime minister, repeated a vow to push the Bank of Japan to be more accommodative. See: Jaw mightier than printing press for yen bears.
The dollar pared its decline to buy 81.18 yen, little changed from ¥81.19 late Friday.
Abe is the leader of the main opposition Liberal Democratic Party. Elections are scheduled for Dec. 16.
In the midst of that, the Bank of Japan policy makers are meeting. When the two-day meeting ends Tuesday, analysts will be watching closely for signs that further monetary easing from the central bank is in the works or not. See: Bank of Japan under watch for easing clues.
Also Monday, the Australian and Canadian dollars gained some ground as the IMF will soon formally classify both dollars as official reserve assets, which over time could have a significant impact on global bond and equity markets. See: Aussie, Canada dollars termed reserve currencies.
The Australian dollar rose to $1.0406 from $1.0325, while the U.S. unit fell 0.5% to buy 99.66 Canadian cents.

Thursday, November 15, 2012

GATA | THE GATA DISPATCH -November 15, 2012-: Federal energy commission suspends Morgan unit's trading authority:

Federal energy commission suspends Morgan unit's trading authority

By Jim Snyder and Dawn Kopecki
Bloomberg News
Thursday, November 15, 2012

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-11-15/ferc-suspends-jpmorgan-unit-s-p...

The U.S. Federal Energy Regulatory Commission yesterday suspended a JPMorgan Chase & Co. unit's electrical-trading authority, saying it had filed false information with regulators.
The action, part of a more aggressive effort by the commission to monitor U.S. power markets, prohibits J.P. Morgan Ventures Energy Corp. from selling electricity at market-based rates for six months starting April 1, 2013.

The FERC said the company made "factual misrepresentations" and omitted material information in communications with the California Independent System Operator, or CAISO, and in filings to the commission. CAISO operates the state's power grid.

"This is very significant in the history of that agency," Charles Peabody, a bank analyst with Portales Partners in New York, said in an interview. "FERC has really been stepping up its investigations into power manipulation."
In its order released late yesterday, FERC said the JPMorgan unit will essentially be allowed to participate as a bystander in wholesale power markets, granting it the ability to offer electricity into the market without a price attached. This will ensure that utilities have the ability to obtain enough power to serve the demand from customers.
Under the order JPMorgan would still be able to trade derivatives.
"The provision of false, misleading, or inaccurate information undermines the integrity of the FERC decision-making process, the smooth operation of markets, and FERC's ability to ensure just and reasonable rates for customers," FERC said in an e-mailed statement. "The commission continuously has warned market participants of the consequences associated with failing to abide by FERC rules and regulations."
A spokeswoman for the bank said it is reviewing the decision and its next steps.
"This is a novel use of FERC's authority over market-based rates and is unsupported by FERC's own regulations," Jennifer Zuccarelli said in an e-mail.
The commission is also investigating alleged manipulation by traders for Deutsche Bank AG and Barclays Plc. Since January 2011 the agency has announced 11 market-manipulation probes, and in March it reached a $245 million settlement with Constellation Energy Group Inc. over one of those cases.
Last month the agency proposed a record $469.9 million in penalties for Barclays, which says it will contest the finding.
The JPMorgan energy unit reported $2.2 billion paid by customers in New England, the Midwest, and California in 2011, according to FERC filings.
While the unit accounted for a small portion of JPMorgan's $97.2 billion in 2011 revenue, yesterday's decision adds to regulatory trouble for the New York-based company. At least 10 federal agencies and a U.S. Senate panel are investigating a multibillion-dollar trading loss at its chief investment office in London.
"Once you mess up, every regulator starts to look to make sure that they are covered with their oversight," said Peabody, who downgraded JPMorgan's shares on Oct. 12 to "underperform."
This is the first time that an entity active in California's power market has been suspended by the FERC, said Stephanie McCorkle, spokeswoman for the CAISO.
"The ISO and FERC are in lockstep on the importance of protecting the integrity of energy markets," Caiso President Steve Berberich said in an e-mailed statement. "We believe the FERC order is a strong signal to the entire market of the importance of proper conduct and cooperation during investigations."
The FERC said in September it had initiated a proceeding against the energy trading unit. The case focuses on whether JPMorgan's energy division, a part of the company's commodities unit run by Blythe Masters, met its obligations to provide documents to CAISO.
J.P. Morgan Ventures Energy allegedly made bids that resulted in at least $73 million in improper payments to the generators, according to the FERC. The investigation came to light when the commission went to court seeking internal e-mails from JPMorgan.
Zuccarelli said in her statement that the issue in the case "was not J.P. Morgan's conduct in the market, but rather a dispute over document productions."
In a filing with the commission last month, the bank apologized for what it said were inadvertent mistakes and said that suspending its trading authority would be an "unjustified reaction to unintentional, good-faith mistakes, misunderstandings, and miscommunications."
In its decision, the FERC said "no showing of the respondent's intent or mindset is necessary in order to demonstrate that a violation" has occurred.
J.P. Morgan Venture Energy's explanation that it wasn't required to give California power officials information "lacks credibility and cannot be reconciled with a rational reading of the emails from the Office of Enforcement."
The FERC said that during the suspension period, JPMorgan will be permitted only to "participate in wholesale electricity markets by either scheduling quantities of energy products without an associated price or by specifying a zero-price in its offer as provided in the pertinent tariffs."
The delay in the suspension is to permit CAISO to maintain system reliability and allow J.P. Morgan Ventures Energy to fulfill contractual obligations, according to the FERC statement. The company schedules and controls the dispatch of electricity from 10 power plant units in Southern California, according to CAISO.

* * *

Join GATA here:
Vancouver Resource Investment Conference
Sunday-Monday, January 20 and 21, 2013
Vancouver Convention Centre West
Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
http://www.cambridgehouse.com/event/vancouver-resource-investment-confer...
* * *


World Gold Council - Gold Demand Trends -November 15, 2012-: GDT Q3 2012


GDT_generic_header


Gold Demand Trends Q3 2012 New issue of Gold Demand Trends covering Q3 2012
We have just released the latest edition of Gold Demand Trends, examining global demand trends by sector and geography during Q3 2012.

Global gold demand in Q3 2012 was 1,084.6 tonnes (t), down 11% from the record Q3 2011 figure of 1,223.5t. This dip in demand is in comparison with exceptional demand in Q3 last year. Gold demand remains resilient. Q3 2012 was above the five year quarterly average of 984.7t.

In value terms, gold demand was 14% lower year on year at $57.6bn and the average gold price of $1,652/oz was down 3% on the record average Q3 2011 price.
MORE...

Saturday, November 3, 2012

GATA | THE GATA DISPATCH -October 3, 2012-: Thom Calandra: Colombia via Toronto -- InterBolsa drama, seizure, and empanadas


Thom Calandra: Colombia via Toronto -- InterBolsa drama, seizure, and empanadas

1:30p ET Saturday, November 3, 2012

GATA's longtime friend the financial writer Thom Calandra was perhaps the first mainstream financial journalist to take note of the gold price suppression scheme when he worked at MarketWatch.com, the news organization he co-founded. He recently revived his gold- and silver-mining-oriented newsletter, The Calandra Report, and today provided a sample of the letter to be shared with GATA supporters along with his pledge to donate to GATA 8,000 shares of his largest mining company holding when the gold price passes $2,000. That is a most generous pledge.
So yesterday's Calandra Report is appended. A year's subscription is $54 and frequency of publication seems to be running at around twice weekly. Subscription information is here:

https://www.paypal.com/cgi-bin/webscr?cmd=_s-xclick&hosted_button_id=UNB...

CHRIS POWELL, Secretary/Treasurer
Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee Inc.

* * *
Colombia Via Toronto: InterBolsa Drama, Seizure, and Empanadas
The Calandra Report
Friday, November 2, 2012
TORONTO -- Heading back here in two days. Poking around some fresh Colombia leads.
In the meantime, this just in: Colombia regulators seized a leading brokerage as liquidity ebbed. InterBolsa Comisionista is a broker there I have known for many years. We discussed in previous reports the work of one of its mining analysts, Gabriel Bayona Fetecua, a brilliant geologist who follows Solvista and other junior prospectors.

A growing number of Canada and USA-domiciled natural resources developers trade locally on the Colombian exchanges. The largest that is a native, Mineros SA, was falling in price Friday. But then gold was taking a beating as well at the hands of a rising U.S. dollar. Several oil companies, including Colombia's largest, Ecopetrol, also were declining. Regulators said they were undertaknig the seizure to protect InterBolsa investors and customers. In what might not be a coincidence, the action came on a day when gold was declining more than $35. Such a one-day decline, after a fall Thursday, might have unwound InterBolsa trading positions on its proprietary desk. Note I said "might have."
More speculative: If that is so, in the perverse way markets work, equities of companies that trade largely on outside exchanges yet do business in Colombia might benefit from the regulatory action. We'll keep an eye on this.

InterBolsa handled almost a third of all trading activity in Colombia. Its ETF partner is Global X Funds of Manhattan. Global X operates exchange traded funds that represent country indexes -- among others, Colombia and Brazil. InterBolsa and its parent also have operations in Brazil, Panama, and elsewhere in Latin America. As one of several gold prospector CEOs told me this morning, "This is not just bad or very bad. It's #$@%# real bad."

The Global X/InterBolsa FTSE-20 Colombia Fund, an ETF, is up about 70 percent since January 2010. Colombia's economy and currency, the peso, are among the best-performing in Latin America and among Second World nations. It is my favorite nation outside of Tiburon, California. I expect extreme fallout from the seizure in coming days, perhaps linked to exchange-traded funds in general or to proprietary trading.
FAMILY EVENTS: I will be meeting the CEO of Gran Colombia Gold for a second time (Maria Consuelo Araujo likely does not remember the first time, at a crowded conference booth in Medellin, or Toronto, or Vancouver). Members of the The Calandra Report family are invited to a 5 p.m. cocktail and reception this coming Tuesday in Toronto. I will be there with several analysts and investors who are examining the company's recent gold and silver note financings.

Gran Colombia and Toronto bank GMP Securities this week closed a $100 million financing using gold notes backed by Segovia-produced gold in Antioquia, Colombia. I know some of the largest purchasers of the notes, whose capital raising will aim to build a mill at Segovia and reduce what plainly is an expensive operating cost of $1,200 to $1,300 per ounce.

Gran Colombia's El Marmato, as longtime TCR family members might recall, was the reason I started returning to Colombia in 2007. Marmato is one of the world's 20 largest gold (and silver) deposits, pegged as high as 20 million ounces when the entire mountain is factored.

Attending will be the Gran Colombia Gold CEO Araujo. Conshe, as she is called, was Colombia's minister of foreign affairs from August 2006 to February 2007. She also served as minister of culture from August 2002 to February 2006. She studied diplomacy and economics in Milano, Italia. She could be president of Colombia one day. Her influence has assisted Gran Colombia with the operation or purchase of El Marmato, Segovia, Zancudo, and other properties in Colombia. Who knows? Perhaps she also had something to do with Madonna deciding to appear at this month in Medellin and not the capital city of Bogota.

TCR family, I do not own shares or warrants of Gran Colombia (GCM in Canada), nor do I own the interest-bearing gold or silver notes. The silver notes trade in Canada as do warrants that are starting to look attractive below 10 cents. I am considering a tour of Gran Colombia Gold's Segovia operation in Antioquia this month. The cocktail party this week will be downtown in Toronto and, in Colombian style, offer what I think will be delectable empanadas and other fulfilling fare. Get an invite by e-mailing investorrelations@grancolombiagold.com. Tell them The Calandra Report sent you.

CONSOLATION: U.S. Global Funds's Frank Holmes the other day schooled us in the geometry of volatility. Holmes and his Texas company (GROW in USA) handle almost $2 billion in assets. Much of that is in resources and in equities of emerging markets. Thus shares of GROW rise and fall like a banshee devil cross-dressed as a lemur.

Holmes explains volatility -- sharp rises and falls in equities, gold, oil, and such -- in strict statistical terms, with his Canadian flair for drama. I owe our family a review of his latest rap, but until then, metals and metals equities investors might take note that "historically, if gold rises 30 percent over an X-month period, there is a 93 percent (or is it 98 percent?) chance it will retrace most of that move." And vice-versa. GROW has a 5 percent dividend right now and I am thinking of buying shares. Holmes is an active buyer of gold, silver, and metals equities and purchases on behalf of his mutual funds shares of coal companies and even those interest-bearing gold and silver denominated notes that we pointed to just above. More to come.

TCR'S ANOINTED FIVE: Colt Resources (GTP in Canada), Solvista Gold (SVV in Canada), Gold Standard Ventures (GSV in Canada and USA), Pilot Gold (PLG in Canada), and Seafield Resources (SFF in Canada). All others researched in these reports to our TCR family are highly speculative.

On price points for the anointed five, Pilot Gold and Seafield are within acceptable purchase limits at $1.65 and 14 cents Canadian, respectively. Our other three, Solvista, Colt, and Gold Standard, dwell well above our earliest coverage price points.
Still, those wary of dollar strength and gold weakness who wish to sell their Solvista shares with profits from 25 cents to 30 cents to the current level of 75 cents should be my guest. The shares failed to regain $1 Canadian a week ago even as CEO Miller Oprey visited potential investors in St. Louis, Texas, and elsewhere. That concerns me. I will hold personally and sell only if the shares go below 70 cents.

I saw Friday that a Peruvian unit, the same one whose increased stake in Antioquia Gold (AGD) has capped that Colombia operator's stock price, is now doing the same with Batero Gold (BAT in Canada). All I can say is that the group, Consorcio Minero Horizonte, or CMH, is by throwing premium cash at Canada-domiciled metals prospectors, effectively shutting down any stock appreciation. Just look at shares of AGD.
Batero operates next to Seafield Resources (SFF), which we research here at TCR and which is a holding, one of the anointed five. If you believe as I do that the Quinchia district of Colombia, on the other side of El Marmato, will one day produce untold riches for its operators, then the one with the potential for sharp price appreciation is Seafield. I own it, as we all know, at the current price.

Don't sweat the gold volatility, folks. As Mr. Holmes, a sometimes kick-boxer (so is Bob Dylan, by the way) tells me, "Learn to understand volatility. If gold falls 10 percent in a day, and it does that rarely, there is a 90-odd percent chance it will rise just as much later on. Buy it."
On another note, Holmes expects many long-short eqity hedge funds to have dissolved, evaporated, Fifi Goes Poof, by year-end or early 2013. He also sees merger and takeover consolidation among Colombian oil companies.
I am so in I am out of breath.

Personal purchases that in no way should be duplicated here in recent days include Cayden Resources, a Mexico prospector in the Guerrero Gold Belt, and Pacific Coal (PAK in Canada), a Colombia coal operator. As stated numerous times, I am increasing my holdings of all things Colombia-related if they are 1) cheap, 2) up to snuff on growth and assets, and 3) have folks on board I trust. I have not been to Cayden's nor to Pacific Coal's properties but I hope to.

I also am excited about the progress NuLegacy Gold is making on its Red Hill property drilling in Nevada. I also see Gold Standard Ventures (GSV) as being eminently buyable if the shares go below $1.55.

* * *

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Tuesday, October 30, 2012

GATA | THE GATA DISPATCHES -October 30th, 2012-: the German magazine Der Spiegel today snickered a lot about concerns for the security of Germany's gold reserves vaulted abroad without ever posing the crucial questions | The production and supply constraints for gold that are likely to support the price | Germany's gold vaulted abrod has been lost before


Der Spiegel snickers about Germany's gold but avoids the serious questions

5:16p ET Tuesday, October 30, 2012

In the commentary appended here, the German magazine Der Spiegel today snickered a lot about concerns for the security of Germany's gold reserves vaulted abroad without ever posing the crucial questions:
1) Does the Bundesbank have gold swap arrangements with any agency of the United States government or any other government?
2) Have such gold swap arrangements ever been implemented and, if so, how and why?
3) Exactly what are the "strategic activities" facilitated by the Bundesbank's placement of the German gold reserves abroad, "strategic activities" admitted by the Bundesbank to GATA consultant Rob Kirby in August 2009 and to the German journalist Lars Schall in December 2010?:
http://www.gata.org/node/7713
http://www.gata.org/node/9363
Maybe our German friends can force-feed these questions to Der Spiegel, other German news organizations, and members of the Bundestag.
CHRIS POWELL, Secretary/Treasurer
Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee Inc.
* * *
Why Germany Wants to See its U.S. Gold
By Sven Boll and Anne Seith
Der Spiegel, Hamburg
Tuesday, October 30, 2012
http://www.spiegel.de/international/germany/german-politicians-demand-to...
Bundesbank President Jens Weidmann wanted to personally convince Peter Gauweiler that the German gold was still where it should be. Early this summer the head of Germany's central bank took the obstinate politician from the conservative Christian Social Union (CSU), a party that is a member of the government coalition in Berlin, and a number of his colleagues into the Bundesbank's inner sanctum: the gold vault.
There 6,000 gold bars are stacked on industrial-strength shelves in a purpose-built building in Frankfurt. An additional 76,000 bars of bullion are stored in four safe boxes, in sealed containers.
But even this personal inspection wasn't enough to reassure the visiting member of parliament -- on the contrary: "The Bundesbank monitors its domestic gold in an exemplary fashion," Gauweiler says, "and this makes it all the more incomprehensible that the bank doesn't look after its reserves abroad."

For quite some time now Gauweiler has been pestering the government and the Bundesbank with questions concerning where and how the country's reserves are stored and how often they are checked. He has submitted requests and commissioned reports on the topic.
Last week Gauweiler celebrated his greatest triumph to date in his gold campaign, which has been a source of some amusement for many fellow German politicians: A secret report by the Federal Audit Office had been made public -- and it contained stern criticism of the German central bank in Frankfurt. The Bonn-based auditors urged a better inventory system, including quality checks.
This demand, which even the bank's inspectors saw as nothing more than routine, alarmed the Berlin political establishment. Indeed, the partially blacked-out report read like the prologue to an espionage thriller in which the stunned central bankers could end up standing in front of empty vaults in the United States.
For decades German central bankers have contented themselves with written affirmations from their American colleagues that the gold still remains where it is said to be stored. According to the report, the bar list from New York stems from "1979/1980." The report also noted that the Federal Reserve Bank of New York refuses to allow the gold's owners to view their own reserves.

Not surprisingly this prompted strong reactions in Berlin: The relevant Bundesbank board member Carl-Ludwig Thiele was summoned to Berlin to provide an explanation to the parliamentary budget committee. Heinz-Peter Haustein of the business-friendly Free Democratic Party (FDP) was even quoted by Germany's mass-circulation Bild newspaper as saying that "all the gold has to be shipped back."
The Bundesbank's otherwise reserved Thiele said that he found at least "part of the debate" to be "rather grotesque." His financial institution currently has more pressing problems. Bundesbank head Weidmann, for example, is desperately fighting the European Central Bank (ECB) decision to buy unlimited quantities of sovereign bonds from crisis-ridden countries as a way of lowering their borrowing costs. In addition, the Bundesbank has already pumped nearly E700 billion ($906 billion) into primarily southern European countries as part of the euro-zone central bank transfers known as Target II.
Germany's gold reserves are currently worth some E144 billion and are not stored "with dubious business partners," as Thiele stresses, but rather with "highly respected central bankers."
There is in fact nothing unusual about how Germany deals with the precious metal. Many other central banks store a portion of their gold reserves abroad. The Netherlands, for example, places its trust in its colleagues in Ottawa, New York, and London.
But the relationship Germans have with their gold is a special one. Germany hoards nearly 3,600 metric tons of the precious metal -- only the US has more. Much of this gold treasure was amassed under the Bretton Woods international monetary system, in which the dollar served as the world's key currency and was directly convertible to fixed quantities of gold.
Before the gold standard was terminated in 1971, the current account surpluses generated by Germany's "economic miracle" were partially balanced out in gold. Thousands of U.S. bars of gold alone were transferred to German ownership.
Since the euro is not backed by gold, such vast reserves are actually no longer necessary. Nevertheless, the Germans continue to resolutely defend them -- and every attempt to use this treasure has been met with dismay.
There has been no lack of proposals: Former German President Roman Herzog wanted to sell the gold to form the basis for a capital-based nursing care insurance scheme. In 2002 FDP parliamentary floor leader Rainer Bruderle proposed a fund for natural disasters. Former Bundesbank head Ernst Welteke added to the debate by suggesting the foundation of a national educational fund. But none of these ideas were ever taken seriously.
Most recently German Chancellor Angela Merkel of the conservative Christian Democratic Union (CDU) shot down an idea by the euro partners to use the reserves as collateral for euro bonds.
As a result, in addition to safeguarding the reserves of over 60 countries, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York continues to hold 1,536 metric tons of German gold -- or nearly half of Berlin's reserves. This enormous hoard of gold is stored in the fifth subfloor of the bank's building on Liberty Street, 25 meters (80 feet) below street level, and 15 meters below sea level. According to the bank's website, the vault rests on the bedrock of Manhattan Island.
Tourists are allowed to venture below street level to see the vault. After descending in an elevator, they stand in front of an enormous steel cylinder that pivots like a door in a 140-ton steel-and-concrete frame. But not even the owners are allowed to view their own gold. According to the Federal Audit Office report, the Fed explained that "in the interest of security and of the control process" no "viewings" are possible.
Finally, in 2007, "following numerous enquiries," Bundesbank staff members were allowed to see the facility, but they reportedly made it only to the anteroom of the German reserves.
In fact, auditors from the Bundesbank made a second visit in May 2011. This time one of the nine compartments was also opened, in which the German gold bars are densely stacked. A few were pulled out and weighed. But this part of the report has been blacked out -- out of consideration for the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
"I would like more transparency on the issue," says Bundesbank board member Thiele. The Americans are very sensitive, though, when it comes to security procedures in their gold storage facilities. In their second major depository, the legendary Fort Knox, practically no one in recent decades has been allowed to view the gold reserves.
Such intense secrecy fuels legends. Many conspiracy theorists have suspected for decades that the German gold has long since disappeared. Others believe that it has been lent out. They contend that there are only promissory notes of little worth stored in the bank's vaults.
Another myth that has been making the rounds in nationalist-oriented German circles is that the United States refused to hand over the treasure and threatened during the Cold War to withdraw its troops from Germany if the Germans demanded their gold back. Former Bundesbank head Karl Blessing, according to the theory, had to provide the United States with written confirmation that he would never do such a thing.
This letter, as it happens, actually exists, as Blessing confirmed in his last interview with Spiegel in 1971 -- except it doesn't concern the German gold but rather U.S. gold reserves. Until 1971 every dollar could be exchanged for the precious metal. Blessing thus promised the U.S. Federal Reserve that he would no longer convert the colossal German dollar reserves to gold because this would have caused the currency's value to plummet.
Today this historic document is even available online.
-----
GATA EDITOR'S NOTE: Yes, the Blessing letter was obtained by the German freelance journalist Lars Schall in January 2011 and published at GATA's Internet site here:
http://www.gata.org/node/9547
-----
But that hasn't silenced those who oppose stockpiling German gold abroad. Instead, the debate over a collapse of strictly paper-based currency is experiencing a renaissance -- as is the dispute over the gold reserves. Even Green Party financial expert Gerhard Schick has joined the fray: "I think the question of how much gold is available in an emergency is a valid concern."
From a purely logistical perspective, though, returning the reserves seems outlandish. One cannot simply pack 1,500 tons of gold into an Airbus A380 super-jumbo jet and fly it back to Germany.
The Bundesbank also objects to this notion for another reason. It says the gold is supposed to act as an emergency buffer. In the extreme situation of a currency collapse, the bankers say that the gold bars could easily and quickly be exchanged on location for pounds or dollars to pay urgent bills.
In a bid to calm the debate, the Bundesbank has pledged to bring back and inspect 150 tons of gold from abroad over the next three years. Furthermore, there are plans to count and weigh the gold bars stored in one of the nine chambers at the Fed in New York -- although no date has been set for this.
Bundesbank board member Thiele was also recently in New York where he took a look behind one of the vault doors. He had good news for the members of the parliamentary budget committee: "There was no paper in there, just gold."
But that's not enough for CSU politician Gauweiler. He is prepared to put the matter to rest only when the central bank has thoroughly inspected all the German reserves throughout the entire world. His credo: "The Bundesbank is independent, but it can't do what it wants."
-----
Translated from the German by Paul Cohen.

Peter Grant: Supply issues offer additional underpinnings to gold


1:32p ET Tuesday, October 30, 2012

Peter Grant, market analyst for Centennial Precious Metals in Denver, today notes the production and supply constraints for gold that are likely to support the price. Perhaps his most fascinating detail comes when he quotes geopolitical analyst Jim Rickards as saying that China, which is commandeering the entire production of domestic gold mines, is buying gold mines in Western Australia "faster than lawyers can write the contracts."
Grant's commentary is headlined "Supply Issues Offer Additional Underpinnings to Gold" and it's posted at Centennial's Internet site, USAGold.com, here:

http://www.usagold.com/publications/2012octsp2.html

Germany's gold vaulted abroad has been lost before, Turk notes


1:19p ET Tuesday, October 30, 2012

The recent controversy over the foreign vaulting of Germany's national gold reserves isn't the first time the security of those reserves has been in question. In an interview today with King World News, GoldMoney founder and GATA consultant James Turk notes that the Federal Reserve Bank of New York said it had temporarily misplaced Germany's gold reserves when the president of the Reichsbank, predecessor to the Bundesbank, came calling in the 1920s.

Of assurances by central banks that all their gold is in order, Turk says: "I've seen so much trickery, false reporting, and rules being broken that I would really have my doubts."
Since international trade balances are no longer settled in gold, Turk says, it no longer makes sense for central banks to store gold in any vaults but their own.

But such foreign vaulting would make sense for central banks colluding in surreptitious market intervention, which the Bundesbank has admitted to GATA consultant Rob Kirby and financial journalist Lars Schall to be a purpose of its foreign vaultings:

http://www.gata.org/node/7713
http://www.gata.org/node/9363

An excerpt from Turk's interview is posted at the King World News blog here:

http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2012/10/30_T..
 CHRIS POWELL, Secretary/Treasurer
Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee Inc.

Saturday, October 27, 2012

GATA | THE GATA DISPATCH -October 27th, 2012-: Sure, there's probably still gold in central bank vaults, but how many claims to it?


Sure, there's probably still gold in central bank vaults, but how many claims to it?

1:18p CT Saturday, October 27, 2012
Dear Friend of GATA and Gold:
In his otherwise spectacularly obtuse commentary the other day about the clamor to audit Germany's gold reserve --

http://www.gata.org/node/11868

-- CNBC Senior Editor John Carney stumbled onto a point often made by GATA about the unreliability of central bank claims about gold vaulting. In reference to the foreign gold vaulted at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Carney wrote:
"The compartments do not have labels reading 'Germany's gold' and so on. They are instead numbered, and only a few people at the Fed know what numbers correspond to which country. The Fed says it does this to protect the privacy of the depositors. But this also makes actual inspection less reliable. There's no way for Germany to know that the gold it is being shown is Germany's, as opposed to some other depositor's. In an extreme case -- which I have no reason to believe is true -- miscreants at the Fed could just show everyone who came to visit the same pile of gold."

Of course mere "miscreants" at the Fed are hardly the problem; the problem is policy throughout Western central banking that, in support of the gold price suppression scheme, facilitates the double-counting (or multiple-counting) of gold reserves.

For example, the International Monetary Fund long has allowed central bank members to count leased gold as if it is still in the vault of the bank leasing it. Thus multiple claims develop to the same gold and the world's gold supply is perceived to be larger than it really is, suppressing the gold price.

The same thing happens with the major gold and silver exchange-traded funds when their shares are allowed to be borrowed and shorted -- multiple claims develop to the same gold. There is much suspicion about the major gold and silver ETFs, GLD and SLV, because of the grotesque conflicts of interest on which they operate, the custodian of GLD's gold being HSBC, the world's biggest gold shorter, and the custodian of SLV's silver, JPMorganChase & Co., being the world's biggest silver shorter.

The London Bullion Market Association runs a fractional-reserve gold banking system in which claims are issued against gold that is not in the possession of the issuer of the claim. This too increases the perception of the world's gold supply and suppresses the price.

The great disparagement about gold in recent years has been that even with its strong price appreciation it has not kept up with inflation over the longer term. The most likely explanation for gold's failure to keep up with inflation is the creation by bullion banks, backstopped by central banks, of a vast imaginary supply, "paper gold." The fear of paper gold is behind the growing belief in Germany that the country should repatriate its gold reserve.

As central banks are the issuers of currencies that compete with the natural currencies, gold and silver, they have a powerful interest in controlling and weakening their competitors. As the issuers of claims to monetary metal they don't possess, bullion banks have an identical interest.
GATA long has documented secret transactions in gold by central banks and their refusal to answer specific questions about their custody of national gold reserves:
http://www.gata.org/taxonomy/term/21

So the scenario raised but disbelieved by CNBC's Carney wherein a stash of gold might stand in for multiple stashes is hardly farfetched. That is almost certainly why the major gold and silver ETFs were created -- to corner the investing public's gold and silver so it might be applied in emergencies, against their investors' interest, for price control. Evidence of this cornering was produced inadvertently last year when HSBC invited CNBC's Bob Pisani to visit the secret GLD gold vault and, when he arrived, presented him with a GLD gold bar to display for his audience -- only for the bar later to be identified as being registered to a different ETF. One gold stash was standing in for another stash:
http://www.gata.org/node/10368
http://www.gata.org/node/10372
http://www.gata.org/node/10427
 
No one seriously doubts that there is some gold in the basement vaults of the New York Fed. But merely inspecting it would not prove anything. The serious questions here are about ownership title -- questions that can be answered only by a full disclosure of central bank gold records. How much gold is there and how many ownership claims are there to it?

If central banks are merely vaulting their gold and not using it to manipulate markets, if there are no secret schemes being undertaken with official gold, there should be no problem with disclosing these records.
But of course, as was demonstrated by GATA's recent lawsuit against the Federal Reserve for access to its gold records, particularly records involving gold swaps --
http://www.gata.org/node/9917

-- and by GATA's recent questioning of other central banks about their gold reserves --
http://www.gata.org/node/11862
 
-- this examination of title to gold is exactly where central banks become most secretive. Thus this is also where serious financial journalism about gold would start, if any was ever permitted and undertaken.

CHRIS POWELL, Secretary/Treasurer
Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee Inc.


* * *

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Thursday, October 25, 2012

ADVFN III Evening Euro Markets Bulletin -October 25, 2012-:


ADVFN III Evening Euro Markets Bulletin  
Daily world financial news

Thursday, 25 October 2012


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Stocks finish flat despite decent data

Market Movers
techMARK 2,096.03 +0.20%
FTSE 100 5,805.05 0.00%
FTSE 250 11,972.15 +0.92%
Stocks pared gains to finish flat by the close on Thursday despite a barrage of better-than-expected data the world over – including UK gross domestic product (GDP) figures – and upbeat speculation about Asia’s largest economies, China and Japan.

Markets were initially given a lift this morning after it was announced that the UK economy expanded by 1.0% in the third quarter, compared with the 0.4% decline seen in the second quarter and well ahead of the 0.6% increase expected. That was the strongest reading since late 2007 and means that the economy exited from its double-dip recession.

Analysts at Barclays Research and Investec now expect quantitative easing (QE) to be off the table at the next Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting. Having said that, a poll by Reuters out over the weekend placed the probability for further QE in November at 60%.

Barclays said: "We have changed our policy call and now expect the current round of asset purchases, due to be completed at the end of this month, to be the last (we had previously expected an additional £50bn of QE in November).”

China’s Ministry of Industry and Information Technology said today that the Chinese industry sector performance has shown “signs of stabilisation”. The Ministry said that fourth-quarter industrial output growth may be faster than that seen in the third “which will help the country to achieve its annual economic growth target of 7.5%”.

Meanwhile, reports from a Japanese newspaper that the Bank of Japan would boost stimulus were also helped to lift markets higher today. According to the Nikkei newspaper, Japan will up its asset purchase programme by 10trn yen to 90trn yen at its policy meeting on October 30th.

US jobless claims and durable goods orders came in better than forecasts today, a good sign ahead of the big one, the US gross domestic product report, due out tomorrow afternoon. Consensus forecasts are for an annualised expansion of 1.9% in the third quarter, an acceleration from the 1.3% growth in the preceding three months.
FTSE 100: Carnival and Unilever gain but resources provide a drag
Cruise operator Carnival jumped in afternoon trade, buoyed by news that its US rival Royal Caribbean has raised its full-year forecast.

Consumer products giant Unilever was in demand after underlying sales growth beat expectations in the third quarter, helped by a strong performance in the emerging markets.

However, mining stocks were heavily out of favour this afternoon, with Evraz, ENRC and Kazakhmys registering steep falls. However, precious metals producer Fresnillo bucked the trend after approving the feasibility study for the development of the $500m San Julian silver project in Mexico.

Oil giant Royal Dutch Shell was down after announcing that it is looking to buy Hess Corporation's stakes in the Beryl area fields and the Scottish Area Gas Evacuation Systems (SAGE) in the North Sea for $525m.

Also lower was media giant WPP after it admitted its third-quarter growth was slower than that seen in the second quarter, which also came in short of expectations, while the fourth quarter is set to slow further.

ARM Holdings was in the red as investors took profits following the previous two day's surge; the stock is now up around 12% on the week after after the chip designer beat forecasts in the third quarter and gave a confident outlook for the rest of the year.

Speciality chemicals group Johnson Matthey was given a boost after sector peers BASF and AZ Electronic Materials reiterated their full-year targets.
FTSE 250: Debenhams leads after full-year results
Department store group Debenhams surged after the company reported resilient full-year results and said it would be continuing its share buy-back programme for the next 12 months amidst 'challenging' conditions for the British consumer.

Speciality chemicals producer AZ Electronic Materials also jumped after maintaining full-year guidance, saying that it made "solid progress" in the third quarter despite an uncertain macro-economic environment.

Oil and gas group Salamander Energy gained after saying the Bravo jacket is now en route to the Bualuang oil field, where the company's operated block B8/38 is located, in the Gulf of Thailand.

Bwin.party rose after saying that it has formed an exclusive partnership with social gaming provider Zynga to develop and operate real money online and mobile poker and casino services in the UK.

Essar Energy and New World Resources were both in decline following reports that an investigation into diesel pricing in underway.

AIM/Small Cap Report
FTSE 100 - Risers
Carnival (CCL) 2,505.00p +3.04%
Fresnillo (FRES) 1,930.00p +2.17%
Aggreko (AGK) 2,089.00p +2.10%
Unilever (ULVR) 2,310.00p +1.99%
International Consolidated Airlines Group SA (CDI) (IAG) 160.00p +1.78%
Wood Group (John) (WG.) 848.50p +1.74%
Johnson Matthey (JMAT) 2,253.00p +1.67%
Next (NXT) 3,618.00p +1.54%
Imperial Tobacco Group (IMT) 2,330.00p +1.48%
Babcock International Group (BAB) 953.50p +1.44%

FTSE 100 - Fallers
Evraz (EVR) 235.40p -5.95%
Eurasian Natural Resources Corp. (ENRC) 333.40p -2.40%
WPP (WPP) 789.50p -2.29%
Kazakhmys (KAZ) 736.00p -1.87%
ARM Holdings (ARM) 665.00p -1.55%
Royal Dutch Shell 'A' (RDSA) 2,088.50p -1.49%
Amec (AMEC) 1,034.00p -1.43%
Resolution Ltd. (RSL) 210.60p -1.13%
Royal Dutch Shell 'B' (RDSB) 2,165.00p -1.12%
Anglo American (AAL) 1,857.50p -1.04%

FTSE 250 - Risers
Debenhams (DEB) 119.00p +9.17%
F&C Asset Management (FCAM) 101.00p +6.88%
Bwin.party Digital Entertainment (BPTY) 125.50p +6.72%
Anite (AIE) 143.60p +6.37%
AZ Electronic Materials SA (DI) (AZEM) 336.00p +6.33%
Drax Group (DRX) 548.00p +5.38%
Salamander Energy (SMDR) 192.30p +5.37%
Pace (PIC) 170.00p +4.87%
Home Retail Group (HOME) 110.60p +4.64%
Oxford Instruments (OXIG) 1,337.00p +4.13%

FTSE 250 - Fallers
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European Markets Finished Mixed Thursday, Earnings In Focus

The European markets have ended Thursday's session with mixed results. Corporate earnings results from a number of major companies are continuing to roll in, as the busiest week of the reporting season nears its end. The better than expected U.K. GDP report provided a boost, as the country exited a double-dip recession. Economic news from the U.S. was also better than expected, with a sharp rebound in durable goods orders and a decline in weekly jobless claims.

Finance Minister Yiannis Stournaras said Wednesday that its international lenders have agreed to give Athens extended time and other concessions for meeting the terms of the country's bailout program.

Stournaras said a new package of austerity measures would be put to vote in the parliament next week. The finance minister, however, did not specify how much extra time Athens had been granted by its creditors. Nevertheless, media reports citing a leaked copy of the draft loan agreement suggested that Greece had been given until the end of 2016 to meet the bailout targets.

In March, Greece pledged a series of economic reforms and spending cuts worth 13.5 billion euros for 2013 and 2014 in exchange for a joint 130 billion euros bailout from the troika of lenders, consisting of the European Union, the European Central Bank and the International Monetary Fund.

Athens has long been seeking an extension of up to two years to implement the economic reforms and spending cuts agreed under the bailout deal. The Greek government had been negotiating with representatives of the troika for months for release of the next tranche of bailout loan, as well as more time and concessions for implementing the bailout conditions.

The Federal Reserve concluded its 2-day meeting on Wednesday and, as expected, made no change to its highly accommodative monetary policy. The Federal Reserve will continue to purchase $40 billion of mortgage-backed securities per month, and gave no indication they will expand their quantitative easing program before year's end.

"Unemployment rate remains elevated," the Fed said in a statement accompanying its decision. More encouraging, "Household spending has advanced a bit more quickly," and housing has "improved from a depressed level."

The Euro Stoxx 50 index of Eurozone bluechip stocks lost 0.30 percent, but the Stoxx Europe 50 index, which includes some major U.K. companies, added 0.14 percent.

The DAX of Germany climbed by 0.10 percent and the FTSE 100 of the U.K. gained 0.00 percent. The CAC 40 of France declined by 0.44 percent and the SMI of Switzerland fell by 0.31 percent.

In Frankfurt, BASF rose by 1.05 percent. The chemical giant reported a decline in profit for the third quarter, hurt by increased taxes, while sales advanced 8 percent, beating estimates. The company also confirmed its forecast for record sales and operating profit this year.

Adidas gained 0.62 percent, after winning a legal battle with bitter athletic-shoe rival Nike over patent infringement.

Bayer increased by 0.79 percent, after announcing a collaboration agreement on cancer therapies with Qiagen.

Daimler declined by 2.99 percent, after the auto company warned that it will miss its full year operating profit target.

In Paris, France Telecom dropped by 5.16 percent. The company reported third-quarter revenues of 10.76 billion euros, lower than 11.15 billion euros in the corresponding period last year on a comparable basis.

AXA rose by 1.04 percent, after the insurer reported a 1.3 percent increase in 9-month revenues.

Dassault Systèmes advanced by 2.28 percent. The company posted higher IFRS net earnings attributable to equity holders of the parent of 82.6 million euros versus 76.4 million euros a year ago.

In London, Unilever climbed by 1.99 percent. The consumer goods maker posted a 5.9 per cent increase in underlying sales in the third quarter, beating analyst forecasts.

Royal Dutch Shell decreased by 1.49 percent. The company announced an agreement with Hess Corp to acquire its interests in the Beryl area fields and the Scottish Area Gas Evacuation System for $525 million.

AstraZeneca finished higher by 0.42 percent. Third quarter sales fell by 19 percent, after the loss of exclusivity on antipsychotic drug Seroquel. Earnings for the quarter also declined by 12 percent.

WPP lost 2.29 percent, after the company reduced its full year revenue guidance. Revenues are now expected to grow between 2.5 and 3.0 percent, down from prior expectations of 3.5 percent growth.

Credit Suisse advanced by 0.09 percent in Zurich. The Swiss banking giant unveiled plans to cut costs further after posting a 63 percent fall in third-quarter profit.

Shares of Novartis dipped by 0.70 percent, after posting worse-than-expected third quarter sales.

Underpinned by a surge in services output, the U.K. economy expanded at the fastest pace in five years during the three months to September, ending three straight quarters of contraction, preliminary data from the Office for National Statistics showed Thursday.

Officially exiting from a double-dip recession, the economy grew by a bigger-than expected 1 percent sequentially in the third quarter. It followed a 0.4 percent fall in the second quarter and 0.3 percent drop in the first three months of the year. Gross domestic product was forecast to rise 0.6 percent in the third quarter.

U.K. services output expanded 1.7 percent in August from a year ago, following a 1.1 percent rise in July, the Office for National Statistics said Thursday.

US Market Report
Stocks Pull Back Amid Fitch Downgrade Rumors

Mirroring the trend seen in the previous session, stocks have moved back to the downside over the course of the trading day on Thursday after failing to sustain a strong move to the upside at the open. Rumors of a possible downgrade of the U.S. credit rating contributed to the pullback by the markets.

The major averages are currently posting modest losses, extending a recent downward trend. The Dow is down 22.88 points or 0.2 percent at 13,054.46, the Nasdaq is down 1.16 points or less than a tenth of a percent at 2,980.54 and the S&P 500 is down 1.20 points or 0.1 percent at 1,407.55.

The initial strength on Wall Street was partly due to a positive reaction to a batch of largely upbeat economic data, including a report showing that the U.K. emerged from recession in the third quarter.

The report from the U.K. Office for National Statistics said the U.K. economy grew by 1 percent in the third quarter after contracting in each of the three previous quarters.

The U.S. Labor Department also released a report showing a bigger than expected drop by initial jobless claims in the week ended October 20th, while a report from the Commerce Department showed that durable goods orders rebounded by more than expected in September.

However, stocks gave back some ground following the release of a separate report from the National Association of Realtors showing a much smaller than expected increase in pending home sales.

NAR said its pending home sales index edged up by 0.3 percent to 99.5 in September after falling by 2.6 percent to 99.2 in August. Economists had been expecting a more substantial rebound by the index of about 2.5 percent.

Adding to the selling pressure were rumors that Fitch Ratings intended to release a statement regarding a downgrade of its AAA credit rating for the U.S.

While a Fitch spokesman later referred to the ratings agency's July statement indicating that its negative outlook on the AAA rating is unlikely to be resolved until late 2013, the downgrade worries continue to weigh on the markets.

Sector News

Housing stocks have shown a notable move to the downside on the heels of the disappointing pending home sales data. Reflecting the weakness in the housing sector, the Philadelphia Housing Sector Index has tumbled by 2.4 percent.

Meritage Homes (MTH) has helped to lead the housing sector lower, with the homebuilder down by 9.8 percent after releasing its third quarter results.

Commercial real estate, airline, and electronic storage stocks have also come under pressure over the course of the trading day.

Meanwhile, considerable strength remains visible among gold stocks, as reflected by the 2.5 percent gain being posted by the NYSE Arca Gold Bugs Index. The index is regaining some ground after ending the previous session at a one-month closing low.

The strength in the gold sector comes amid an increase by the price of the precious metal as well as upbeat earnings news from Agnico-Eagle Mines (AEM) and Goldcorp (GG).

Other Markets

In overseas trading, stock markets across the Asia-Pacific region moved mostly higher during trading on Thursday. Japan's Nikkei 225 Index advanced by 1.1 percent, while Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index edged up by 0.2 percent.

In the bond market, treasuries continue to see modest weakness but have climbed well off their early lows. Subsequently, the yield on the benchmark ten-year note, which moves opposite of its price, is up by 2.4 basis points at 1.799 percent after reaching a high of 1.852 percent.

Broker tips
WPP, Reckitt, ASOS
Investec has maintained its 'buy' rating for media and advertising giant WPP but has put its 950p target price under review after a disappointing third-quarter trading update on Thursday.

"3Q IMS is disappointing with slower US/Europe but also Emerging markets. The latter is expected to bounce back but other areas may stay tough, so numbers reduce slightly," said analyst Steve Liechti.

Nevertheless, Liechti said: "Shares likely to be weaker today but international marketing growth story remains, so a buying opportunity could emerge."

Panmure Gordon has raised its target price for consumer products group Reckitt Benckiser after strong growth in Europe and North America (ENA) helped like-for-like (LFL) sales beat forecasts in the third quarter.

"Reckitt only reiterated its full-year outlook, and as such we believe the initial 6% jump in the share price was a slight over-reaction. Nevertheless, we nudge our price target up by 3% from 3540p to 3650p and reiterate our 'hold' recommendation."

Seymour Pierce has raised its target price for online retailer ASOS from 1,900p to 2,350p to reflect the recent share price momentum, but the broker has maintained its 'hold' rating.

Seymour analyst Freddie George said: "The founder of BestSeller, however, who holds 27% of the equity (recently increased by one percentage point), is getting closer to the 30% bidding threshold while we believe the Chinese development plans will be pushed further into the future."