Friday, September 21, 2012

ADVFN III -Morning Euro Markets Bulletin- September 21st.2012-.


ADVFN III Morning Euro Markets Bulletin
Daily world financial news

Friday, 21 September 2012

London Market Report
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Miners bounce back

Market Movers
techMARK 2,133.68 +0.23%
FTSE 100 5,872.75 +0.31%
FTSE 250 11,952.39 +0.20%
Having taken a hammering yesterday in the wake of the gloomy manufacturing news from China, miners are bouncing back this morning, dragging the Footsie higher.

Of all the companies in the mining sector, Xstrata and Glencore are likely to be closely watched ahead of the deadline on Monday relating to their proposed merger.

Also in the spotlight will be UK public finance data for August, which will be published at 9:30. The consensus is expecting Public Sector Net Borrowing excluding interventions - PSNBx in economists' jargon - to have been £15bn and PSNB to have been £13.2bn. The Public Sector Net Cash Requirement (PSNCR) is expected to come in at -£5.5bn.

Bank of England governor Sir Mervyn King said in a Channel 4 interview last night that if there was a genuine excuse then the government could afford to allow the burden of public debt to continue to rise after 2015-16.
Sage goes for a Brazilian
The Sage Group has acquired EBS Empresa Brasileira de Sistemas, a provider of accounting, business management and tax software in Brazil. The acquisition will cost the group up to £10.6m, including a performance related sum of £1.8m.

The Home Affairs Committee, the group of MPs investigating G4S's failure to fulfil all of its Olympic Games contractual requirements, has called on the security firm to waive its fee. "G4S should waive its £57m management fee and also compensate its staff and prospective staff who it treated in a cavalier fashion," the damning report says. G4S has already revealed that it expects to swallow a £50m-or-so loss on the contract. The committee's verdict seems to have been widely priced in by the market, judging by the muted share price reaction.

Property company British land has offloaded seven food stores to institutional investors. The company sold the gaggle of supermarkets at prices in line with March valuations to raise £118m, of which British Land's share is £62m. The stores were sold at net initial yields of between 4.95% and 5.7%.

Going the way of the buggy whip seller
Things just keep getting worse for HMV, the retailer which left it too late to move away from its dependency on selling CDs, DVDs and books in their physical forms. The group saw like-for-like sales decline 11.6% year-on-year in the 20 weeks to September 15th. Including the impact of previously announced store closures, total group sales declined by 14.8%.

"The like-for-like decline was less marked towards the end of the period and we should be helped in the remainder of the year by a strong pipeline of new releases in the music, DVD and games markets ahead of Christmas," said Trevor Moore, the group's newish Chief Executive.

Tanfield, a global manufacturer of Powered Access equipment and an investor in Smith Electric Vehicles, slumped after plans to float Smith were binned.

"We received significant interest from potential investors, however, we were unable to complete a transaction at a valuation or size that would be in the best interests of our company and its existing shareholders," said Bryan Hansel, Smith's Chief Executive Officer.
Other markets
The price of oil is back on the rise. The most widely traded futures contract for Brent crude is up 73 cents to $110.76 a barrel.

With investors regaining their appetite for risk, gilts are spurned. The yield on the benchmark 10-year gilt is up to 1.83% from 1.80% overnight. Yields move inversely to prices.

FTSE 100 - Risers
Vedanta Resources (VED) 1,082.00p +2.66%
Evraz (EVR) 265.70p +1.88%
Pearson (PSON) 1,201.00p +1.61%
IMI (IMI) 948.00p +1.44%
Kazakhmys (KAZ) 734.50p +1.38%
BHP Billiton (BLT) 1,981.00p +1.36%
Amec (AMEC) 1,157.00p +1.22%
Polymetal International (POLY) 1,100.00p +1.20%
Fresnillo (FRES) 1,851.00p +1.20%
Burberry Group (BRBY) 1,049.00p +1.16%

FTSE 100 - Fallers
National Grid (NG.) 687.00p -1.01%
Imperial Tobacco Group (IMT) 2,387.00p -0.50%
ITV (ITV) 90.75p -0.44%
G4S (GFS) 266.10p -0.41%
British Land Co (BLND) 530.50p -0.38%
Bunzl (BNZL) 1,109.00p -0.36%
Land Securities Group (LAND) 769.50p -0.32%
ARM Holdings (ARM) 577.50p -0.26%
United Utilities Group (UU.) 728.50p -0.21%
Hargreaves Lansdown (HL.) 639.00p -0.16%

FTSE 250 - Risers
NMC Health (NMC) 197.90p +4.16%
Ruspetro (RPO) 108.00p +3.85%
Bumi (BUMI) 258.60p +3.40%
Essar Energy (ESSR) 121.60p +2.88%
Imagination Technologies Group (IMG) 522.00p +2.05%
Ferrexpo (FXPO) 213.70p +1.86%
TR Property Inv Trust Sigma Shares (TRYS) 71.50p +1.78%
Hochschild Mining (HOC) 488.70p +1.60%
Dairy Crest Group (DCG) 345.90p +1.59%
Templeton Emerging Markets Inv Trust (TEM) 558.00p +1.45%

FTSE 250 - Fallers
JD Sports Fashion (JD.) 713.00p -2.26%
Phoenix Group Holdings (DI) (PHNX) 511.00p -1.73%
Spirent Communications (SPT) 162.60p -1.22%
PayPoint (PAY) 745.00p -1.06%
Perform Group (PER) 386.00p -1.03%
Petra Diamonds Ltd.(DI) (PDL) 106.00p -1.03%
BBA Aviation (BBA) 203.30p -1.02%
Ocado Group (OCDO) 63.80p -0.93%
Millennium & Copthorne Hotels (MLC) 487.60p -0.93%
Mitchells & Butlers (MAB) 284.30p -0.91%

European Market
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Dollar carves out gains on weak data, Spanish auction

The dollar marked gains across the board on Thursday as nerves about global growth were tested following weak Chinese and Eurozone data.

The preliminary HSBC China Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index contracted for an 11th consecutive month while a preliminary Eurozone purchasing-managers’ index stumbled to its lowest level since June 2009.

French business activity also tumbled, with its PMI falling almost four points to 44.1.

Along with all the data, traders were also keeping focus on Spain. The nation's bond auction drew better than expected demand, selling €4.8bn in medium and long-term debt ahead of its €4.5bn target. While the result was good, many analysts pointed out that it could reduce the chances of a bailout request ahead of the European Union summit.

The dollar index, which measures the US unit against a basket of six major currencies, advanced to 79.429 from 79.114 on Wednesday.

The euro bought $1.2968 versus $1.3052 on Wednesday while the single currency traded at ¥101.45 from ¥102.22. Against the yen, the dollar bought ¥78.25 compared with ¥78.39 despite the Bank of Japan's extension of its bond-buying programme earlier in the week.

The yen has gathered pace against major currencies after analysts said the BoJ's moves weren’t bold enough.

Traders said risk appetite was mostly off the table on fears about global growth and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and between China and Japan.

Sterling bought $1.6216 from $1.6221 and the Australian dollar dropped to $1.0436 from $1.0482 after the Chinese PMI data.

UK Event Calendar

INTERIMS
Oxford Catalysts Group, Toumaz Limited

INTERIM DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
Baronsmead VCT 3, Baronsmead VCT 4, Baronsmead VCT 5, BlackRock World Mining Trust, Brewin Dolphin Holdings, Catlin Group Ltd., Ferrexpo, Henderson Group, Kingspan Group, LPA Group, National Express Group, New Europe Property Investments, Secure Trust Bank, Synectics, Telecity Group, TP70 VCT, Ultra Electronics Holdings, Xaar

QUARTERLY PAYMENT DATE
Real Estate Credit Investments PCC Ltd

FINALS
Asian Citrus Holding, Gleeson (M J) Group

ANNUAL REPORT
Blinkx

SPECIAL DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
PHSC

AGMS
Blinkx, Filtronic, Ryanair Holdings

UK ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS
Public Sector Finances (09:30)

FINAL DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
Carclo, Eckoh, First Property Group, Northgate, PHSC, SSE

US Market Report
Stocks Recover From Early Weakness To Close Mixed

After moving to the downside in early trading on Thursday, stocks staged a notable recovery attempt over the course of the trading day. The major averages climbed well off their worst levels of the day, eventually ending the session mixed.

While the Dow managed to climb into positive territory, the Nasdaq and the S&P 500 remained stuck in the red. The Dow crept up 18.97 points or 0.1 percent to 13,596.93, while the Nasdaq fell 6.66 points or 0.2 percent to 3,175.96 and the S&P 500 edged down 0.79 points or 0.1 percent to 1,460.26.

Disappointing jobs report contributed to the early weakness on Wall Street, with the Labor Department releasing a report showing that jobless claims came in above estimates in the week ended September 15th.

While jobless claims edged down to 382,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 385,000, economists had expected jobless claims to drop to 373,000 from the 382,000 originally reported for the previous week.

Peter Boockvar, managing director at Miller Tabak, said, "Bottom line, the labor market still can't gain any lasting traction in light of the obvious economic challenges."

A report showing a continued contraction in Chinese manufacturing activity also helped to drag stocks lower, although selling pressure was relatively subdued.

Traders remained reluctant to make any significant moves amid continued uncertainty about the near-term outlook for the markets.

The subsequent recovery attempt was partly due to the release of a report from the Philadelphia Federal Reserve showing that its index of regional manufacturing activity rose by much more than expected.

The Philly Fed said its diffusion index of current activity rose to a negative 1.9 in September from a negative 7.1 in August, although a negative reading still indicates a contraction in regional manufacturing activity.

Among individual stocks, shares of Adobe Systems (ADBE) moved notably higher even though the publishing and design software developer reported weaker than expected third quarter revenues and forecast fourth quarter results below analyst estimates.

Denbury Resources (DNR) also posted strong gain after announcing an agreement to sell its Bakken assets in North Dakota and Montana to Exxon Mobil (XOM) for $1.6 billion in cash

Meanwhile, Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) came under pressure after the home furnishings retailer reported second quarter earnings that came in weaker than expected.

Sector News

Many of the major sectors recovered from their early lows, but substantial weakness remained visible among railroad stocks. The Dow Jones Railroads Index tumbled by 4.9 percent, pulling back further off last Friday's record closing high.

Norfolk Southern (NSC) helped to lead the railroad sector lower, with the railroad company plunging by 9.1 after warning of weaker than expected third quarter earnings.

Brokerage stocks also saw considerable weakness on the day, dragging the NYSE Arca Broker/Dealer Index down by 1.8 percent. Jefferies (JEF) turned in one of the sector's worst performances, falling by 7.3 percent despite reporting better than expected third quarter results.

Commercial real estate, airline, and trucking stocks also showed notable moves to the downside. On the other hand, housing stocks saw moderate strength, adding to yesterday's gains.

Friday newspaper round-up
BoE, Spain rescue, BAE
Sir Mervyn King has prepared the ground for George Osborne to abandon a key debt reduction target by saying that it would be “acceptable” to fall short if a global slowdown was responsible. In his first live television interview the Governor of the Bank of England yesterday denied finding the job stressful, said that he had never thought of resigning and rejected suggestions that he had “fired” Bob Diamond as Barclays chief executive. He conceded that there was a “black cloud of uncertainty” hanging over business because of the Eurozone crisis. And admitting that the economy had grown more slowly than predicted, he implied that the Government may miss its target to reduce public debt as a proportion of GDP by 2015. “I am more relaxed about missing targets if it is because the world economy is growing slowly. If it’s because the world economy has grown slowly, so we have in turn grown slowly, then that would be acceptable,” he said, according to The Times.

EU authorities are working behind the scenes to pave the way for a new Spanish rescue programme and unlimited bond buying by the European Central Bank, by helping Madrid craft an economic reform programme that will be unveiled next week. According to officials involved in the discussions, talks between the Spanish government and the European Commission are focusing on measures that would be demanded by international lenders as part of a new rescue programme, ensuring they are in place before a bailout is formally requested. One senior European official said negotiations have been conducted directly with Luis de Guindos, the Spanish finance minister. The plan, due to be unveiled next Thursday, will focus on structural reforms to the Spanish economy long requested by Brussels, rather than new taxes and spending cuts, The Financial Times reports.

The management of the defence giant BAE Systems has so far met with 600 UK staff face-to-face to persuade them of the merits of its proposed £30bn merger with Airbus-owner EADS.Ian King, chief executive, is holding a series of town hall meetings to reassure employees that the tie-up, which would create a European champion capable of taking on the US's Boeing, would create more work in the UK in the future. Critics of the deal have argued that British staff could be most vulnerable in any future jobs culls because of the more stringent labour laws in France and Germany, where so many of Airbus's workers are based. However, BAE has struggled on its own, having been forced to cut 20,000 jobs, many of which were in Britain, over the past five years, The Independent reports.

People watching the £48bn merger expect miner Xstrata to back the revised offer from commodity trader Glencore, in an announcement that could come as soon as Friday morning. The boards of the two FTSE 100 companies were on Thursday said to be locked in separate talks, as they readied for Xstrata to reveal its decision on Glencore’s latest offer. Under the new terms, Glencore is offering 3.05 of its shares for each Xstrata share, handing the Qataris and other Xstrata shareholders more of the combined company. Xstrata’s board have until 7am on Monday under takeover rules to announce their decision, but are expected to make their announcement to shareholders imminently, The Telegraph says.

IG Metall, which represents most of EADS’s 49,000 members in Germany, said that only by pressing ahead with agreed contracts would jobs be preserved. “We want credible pledges from the companies about job security, but we also need credible statements from the governments about military contracts,” said Jürgen Kerner, the union’s defence and aerospace representative. “That will be the only way of keeping plants in use and people in work – in Germany, in the UK and in France,” he said. Both companies have emphasised there is little overlap between defence giant BAE and Airbus owner EADS, suggesting the merger would not result in mass job losses. However, neither company has given definitive assurances on jobs. A combined company would potentially employ 220,000 people worldwide, The Telegraph reports.

Italy’s economy will contract by twice as much as previously forecast this year, hobbling its plans to pare back public borrowing and dealing a blow to the Prime Minister, Mario Monti. Rome yesterday was forced to issue revised predictions showing that gross domestic product will drop by 2.4% in 2012, compared with the 1.2% forecast in April, after the economy performed weakly in the first half of the year. Italian GDP is no longer expected to rebound in 2013, with a further 0.2% slide now pencilled in by official forecasters. Waning growth will eat away at tax revenues and dislodge efforts to cut the budget deficit. Public borrowing will come in at 2.6% this year, up from the 1.7% previously forecast. However, the Economy Minister, Vittorio Grilli, insisted that the country had no plans to ask for European help to pare back its borrowing costs, writes The Times.

The managing director of Carphone Warehouse’s British business has walked out before a restructuring that could result in hundreds of job losses. The Times has learnt that Matt Stringer, a former Marks & Spencer high-flier who took the post last year, has resigned from the company and not lined up a new role. It is the second major departure at the British business within three months. Anthony Hemmerdinger, the retail director, quit to rejoin Sainsbury’s in July after only a year with the mobile phone retailer. The latest departure coincides with a possible restructuring plan, due to be announced early next month, that is expected to result in job cuts at the company’s headquarters in Acton, West London. The offices contain a number of business units such as the fledgling Talk Mobile unit.

Britain’s shale gas reserves could create up to 35,000 jobs and meet 10% of the country’s gas requirements for a century, according to a new report from the Institute of Directors. The publication comes only weeks before ministers are expected to give the go-ahead to more “fracking”, despite growing environmental concerns about the controversial technology. Ed Davey, the energy secretary, gave warning on Thursday that the industry was no “silver bullet” for Britain’s energy needs until more was known about the “scale and costs of shale gas production”. Mr Davey was responding to an article in the Financial Times by Lord Browne, former head of BP, who said fracking offered a “substantial prize” to the UK and could play a “critical role” in terms of energy security, The Financial Times says.


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