Wednesday, October 31, 2012

GATA | THE GATA DISPATCHES -October 31th, 2012-: Iran requires bank approval for gold exports | will German gold clamor ignite gold's skyrocket? | German gold clamor shows distrust...:


Iran starts requiring central bank approval for gold exports

By Yeganeh Torbati
Reuters
Wednesday, October 31, 2012

http://uk.reuters.com/article/2012/10/31/uk-iran-gold-idUKBRE89U0T320121...
DUBAI -- Iranians can no longer export gold without approval by the central bank, an official was quoted as saying on Wednesday, in a new effort by the government to restrict outflows of wealth.
The move follows media reports on Tuesday that Iran had banned the export of some 50 basic goods, as the country moves to secure supplies of essential items in the face of tightening Western sanctions that have destabilised its currency, the rial.

"The export of gold and coins without permission from the central bank has been banned," said customs official Mohammad Reza Naderi, according to the Mehr news agency.


"According to law, (the export of) coins made from precious metals has until now not needed a permit from the central bank, but current economic conditions have resulted in a decision to require a licence from the central bank for the export of these goods."

Naderi said the new policy was adopted because of exchange rate fluctuations and "challenges in the field of foreign trade," Mehr reported without elaborating.

U.S. and European sanctions against Iran's energy and banking sectors, imposed over its controversial nuclear programme, have slashed its oil revenues, which are the major source of its hard currency supplies.
This has triggered a slide in Iran's rial currency, which has lost about two-thirds of its value against the dollar in the open market over the past 15 months as Iranians have scrambled to convert their savings into dollars and euros.

The government has responded by restricting Iranians' access to hard currency, rationing the dollars it supplies to companies and individuals through the central bank and an official foreign exchange centre.
The restriction on gold exports may be designed to prevent Iranians from switching to gold from hard currencies as a way to move their savings out of the country.
It is not known how much gold may have left Iran this year. The country is not a major gold producer or exporter.

The country's gross official reserves, which include foreign currencies and gold, totalled $106 billion at the end of last year, according to the International Monetary Fund. The government does not disclose their size, but some analysts believe they may have shrunk by several tens of billions of dollars this year because of sanctions.

There are signs Iran is building up its gold reserves as the sanctions have made it hard for Tehran to take payment for its oil through bank transfers. Official data from Turkey, a buyer of Iranian oil, suggests nearly $2 billion of gold was sent to Dubai on behalf of Iranian buyers in August.



Will the German gold clamor ignite gold's skyrocket?

10a ET Wednesday, October 31, 2012
Dear Friend of GATA and Gold:
Interviewed today by King World News, Bill Haynes of CMI Gold and Silver wonders whether the clamor over the foreign vaulting of Germany's gold and indications that the gold has been used for surreptitious market intervention will be the trigger for an explosion in the gold price. Maybe, but only if buyers take delivery of real metal, not paper, and remove the metal from the clutches of the banking system and governments. An excerpt from the interview with Haynes is posted at the King World News blog here:

http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2012/10/31_I..

 

Matthew Lynn: German gold clamor shows distrust of central bank market rigging

Why Do the Germans Want Their Gold Back?
There's Something Reassuring about Physical Money
By Matthew Lynn
MarketWatch.com
Wednesday, October 31, 2012

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-do-the-germans-want-their-gold-back...

LONDON -- Where does Germany keep its gold reserves?

It might sound like a silly question. In Germany, of course. Probably in a very deep vault somewhere in Frankfurt, surrounded by the best security systems that Teutonic technical brilliance can create.
As it turns out, however, that is the wrong answer.

Much of the German gold, the second largest national reserves in the world, is held in New York, London, and Paris. Now there is a campaign under way in Germany to bring the metal back home -- and it is gathering strength all the time.

That tells us three things about the global monetary system, none of them especially reassuring.
The German gold reserves are among the most significant in the world. The country controls 3,396 tons of the stuff. That is a lot less than the United States' 8,133 tons, but then Germany is a smaller country, and it has never had the world's reserve currency. It is a lot more than the 2,451 tons held by the Italians or the 2,435 tons held by the French.
Much of it was built up under the old Bretton Woods system that operated from the end of World War II until 1971. Trade deficits and surpluses were settled by central banks in gold, and since Germany regularly ran big surpluses it ended up with a lot of the metal.
But most of it was not held in Germany itself. Much of it was held abroad, mostly in the U.S., U.K., or France. An estimated 66% is held at the New York Federal Reserve, 21% at the Bank of England, and 8% at the Bank of France. The old West Germany was on the front line of the Cold War and if the Russians had ever invaded, their tanks would have headed straight for the bullion vaults. There was no point in leaving such a tempting target open to attack.
With the Cold War a distant memory, many Germans want the gold returned to their own country. A campaign called "Bring Back Our Gold" has gathered significant support. Politicians and the popular press have jumped on the bandwagon.
Earlier this month the German Court of Auditors demanded that the Bundesbank audit its official gold holdings, and called for the repatriation of 150 tons in the next three years so that its quality can be inspected. As anyone who has ever bought some gold jewelry in a market will know, there are all kinds of tricks that an unscrupulous dealer can get up to -- all that glitters is not necessarily gold.
And while it takes a fairly fevered imagination to speculate that staff at the Federal Reserve or the Bank of England have been nipping down to the vaults and replacing the German gold with some ingots they picked up at a souk in Cairo, the hysteria around the issue is growing so intense an audit is now judged necessary.
The Bundesbank doesn't usually give in to popular pressure -- it is not that kind of institution -- but last week it put out a statement attempting to reassure people the gold was safe and promising to check on the stocks held abroad.
The cargo planes are not quite being loaded yet. But within the next five years, it is a fair bet that some new vaults will be needed in Frankfurt and some space will be going spare in New York and London.
What does the campaign tell us about the state of the global economy? Three things.
1) This generation of Germans is far more assertive about their national interest than their parents were. For 50 years most Germans were anxious to show they were citizens of the world. They dealt with post-war guilt by signing up for every international body available. Now they are quite happy to be citizens of Germany, and to stand up for their own interests.
2) Trust in financial institutions is dwindling all the time. Central banks built up a system of debits and credits because it was easier to move gold around on a ledger than to move it around on trucks. There are few more tempting targets for thieves, after all, than a cargo of ingots.
So it made sense for German gold to be stored elsewhere. But now people no longer trust those systems. They are increasingly unhappy with assets that are simply recorded on a bank's balance sheet somewhere; they want something physical they can see and touch. That is true of national gold reserves, but it is increasingly true of other assets as well.
3) Most importantly, German sentiment is hardening against the single currency with each month that passes. After all, what is a whole vault full of gold in the basement of your central bank good for exactly? Starting a new currency, of course. And, er ... that's about it.
There's nothing else you can do with it. In the most extreme circumstances, if the euro broke down chaotically and national currencies were bought back overnight, one of the key things the foreign exchange markets would look at when putting a value on the new deutschemarks, lira, or francs would be the amount of gold the central bank could back it with. That gold would seem a lot more valuable if it was held in your own country rather than a foreign one.
The campaign to bring back the German gold is in reality a campaign to bring back money that people can trust. The political establishment might not have caught up yet. But popular opinion believes it was sold a dog when it joined the euro, and is already looking forward to the day when it escapes responsibility for endless bailouts of its neighbors.
Yet it is hardly confined to Germany. Distrust of central banks rigging the monetary system is spreading from country to country. There will be many staging posts in the long road back to some form of gold-backed money -- and the German campaign is just the beginning.
-----
Matthew Lynn is a financial journalist based in London. He is the author of "Bust: Greece, the Euro, and the Sovereign Debt Crisis" and he writes adventure thrillers under the name Matt Lynn.


CHRIS POWELL, Secretary/Treasurer
Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee Inc.



* * *

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ADVFN III Evening Euro Markets Bulletin -October 31, 2012-.

ADVFN III Evening Euro Markets Bulletin
Daily world financial news

Wednesday, 31 October 2012

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London close: Sandy aftermath and Eurozone concerns sink stocks
Market Movers
  • techMARK 2,082.56 -0.96%
  • FTSE 100 5,782.70 -1.15%
  • FTSE 250 11,934.95 -0.16%
The resumption of trading on Wall Street after a two-day closure and a meeting of Eurozone finance ministers was enough to weigh on London's stock market on Wednesday, not to mention some sharp falls from heavy hitters BG Group and Barclays.

US benchmarks re-opened in the red today after Hurricane Sandy left millions without power and killed dozens on the American East Coast. This was the first time since 1888 that the weather has halted trading for two consecutive days.

Market analyst Craig Erlam from Alpari said this afternoon: "There are no real surprises to what we have seen since the markets opened in the US. Insurance companies are trading lower following the devastating effects of Hurricane Sandy. It is too early to tell at this point what the cost of the damage will be to insurance companies, but early estimates suggest it could be up to $15 billion, severely damaging fourth-quarter profits."

On this side of the Atlantic, Eurozone finance ministers today urged Greek leaders "to solve remaining issues so as to swiftly finalise the negotiations [with the Troika]," according to Eurogroup head and Luxembourg Prime Minister Jean-Claude Juncker.

German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble reportedly said that it is unlikely that the Troika will receive the final report on Greece before the next Eurogroup meeting of finance ministers on November 11-12th. That means that traders will have to wait a little bit longer for any possible solution to the current impasse in Greece.

Meanwhile, in perhaps the most specific reference to the timing of a full bailout request, Spanish government sources have told local radio station SER that a request for international aid should not be expected this year.
FTSE 100: BG dives after slashing production guidance

BG Group shocked the market today by cutting back production guidance as a result of a number of delays to project start-ups. It now expects full-year production will be just 3% higher than in 2011, while 2013 output is not expected to show any growth at all.

The firm also announced that it would be selling 40% of certain interest in its Queensland Curtis LNG project in Australia for $1.93bn, as well as a sale of LNG from its global LNG portfolio. Seymour Pierce analyst Sam Wahab however noted that the group currently has an asset divestment programme to reduce net debt exposure, and thinks the sudden announcement of the disposal "would suggest that the disposal of their Australian LNG interest was forced upon them rather than a strategic decision."

UK banking giant Barclays dropped despite meeting forecasts in the third quarter with strong growth seen in adjusted pre-tax profits, from £1.34bn to £1.73bn. The firm however revealed new "legal and regulatory matters" which include two new probes in the US.

Pharmaceuticals giant GlaxoSmithKline's third-quarter figures came in short of expectations on most fronts, while full-year sales are now expected to be little changed from 2011. Against expectations of earnings per share (EPS) of 28.7p, Glaxo delivered 26.5p, down 13% year-on-year or down 11% on a constant exchange rates (CER) basis.

Meanwhile, shares in oil and gas producer Tullow Oil surged after the firm announced that its Twiga South-1 exploration well onshore Kenya Block 13T has successfully encountered oil. Sector peer Petrofac was also higher.

Life assurance company Standard Life gained after saying inflows across its long-term savings businesses plus a strong performance at Standard Life Investments helped to increase both group assets under administration and Standard Life Investments third party assets to record levels.

International Consolidated Airlines Group (IAG) gained back some of its losses made earlier this week as the passing of Hurricane Sandy made it once again possible to operate trans-Atlantic routes.
FTSE 250: St James's Place rises on FuM increase

Wealth management group St James's Place rose strongly after reporting a 6% increase in funds under management (FuM) in the third quarter as it reported good growth in new business despite the continuing macroeconomic uncertainty.

Energy company Essar was higher after gaining permission to chop down trees close to its Mahan coal block.

Afren, the energy firm focused in Africa and the Middle East, rose after announcing that it has seen the flow of first oil at its Okoro field extension, off the coast of south east Nigeria.

Meanwhile, Go-Ahead Group and National Express were both taking a hit, which may be linked to the numerous reports coming out of the US which state there have been significant disruptions to transport in the hurricane-hit country, where both companies operate. There have been no confirmed reports of either vehicle or equipment damage.

FTSE 100 - Risers
Petrofac Ltd. (PFC) 1,604.00p +3.62%
Standard Life (SL.) 292.00p +2.24%
Resolution Ltd. (RSL) 218.30p +2.15%
Randgold Resources Ltd. (RRS) 7,400.00p +2.07%
International Consolidated Airlines Group SA (CDI) (IAG) 161.30p +1.70%
Tullow Oil (TLW) 1,404.00p +1.59%
Fresnillo (FRES) 1,919.00p +1.48%
Kingfisher (KGF) 289.50p +1.26%
Pearson (PSON) 1,245.00p +1.06%
Melrose (MRO) 241.00p +1.05%

FTSE 100 - Fallers
BG Group (BG.) 1,147.50p -13.69%
Barclays (BARC) 227.50p -4.73%
Croda International (CRDA) 2,201.00p -2.83%
Kazakhmys (KAZ) 709.00p -2.81%
Severn Trent (SVT) 1,606.00p -2.73%
United Utilities Group (UU.) 677.00p -2.59%
GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) 1,386.50p -2.36%
Eurasian Natural Resources Corp. (ENRC) 327.70p -2.03%
Anglo American (AAL) 1,903.00p -1.76%
Royal Bank of Scotland Group (RBS) 276.00p -1.71%

FTSE 250 - Risers
F&C Asset Management (FCAM) 99.00p +4.71%
St James's Place (STJ) 397.00p +4.56%
Ferrexpo (FXPO) 208.90p +4.45%
Essar Energy (ESSR) 136.90p +4.11%
Afren (AFR) 137.70p +3.46%
Kentz Corporation Ltd. (KENZ) 411.50p +3.00%
IP Group (IPO) 118.20p +2.78%
Elementis (ELM) 209.30p +2.50%
Ashtead Group (AHT) 373.00p +2.30%
Atkins (WS) (ATK) 714.00p +2.07%

FTSE 250 - Fallers
New World Resources A Shares (NWR) 256.50p -5.49%
Go-Ahead Group (GOG) 1,298.00p -5.46%
Man Group (EMG) 78.45p -4.50%
Spirent Communications (SPT) 143.70p -4.14%
National Express Group (NEX) 170.20p -4.00%
COLT Group SA (COLT) 110.50p -3.32%
ITE Group (ITE) 193.20p -3.11%
Imagination Technologies Group (IMG) 456.60p -2.85%
Moneysupermarket.com Group (MONY) 134.00p -2.76%
Halfords Group (HFD) 345.60p -2.59%

Europe Market Report
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Europe midday: Stocks waiting on Eurozone finance ministers
-Spanish central government budget deficit falls to 4.39 per cent
-Eurogroup teleconference now in progress
-Eurozone banks tightened lending standards in third quarter -ECB

FTSE-100: -0.14%
Dax-30: 0.60%
Cac-40: 0.31%
FTSE Mibtel 30: 0.98%
Ibex 35: 0.74%
Stoxx 600: 0.20%

For the most part the major European equity benchmarks are now trading moderately higher.

That ahead of what may turn out to be a somewhat haphazard re-start to trading Stateside, a few observers are worrying. In a more positive vein, investors seem to be concentrating on the positive macroeconomic data out today in Germany, which has come alongside some better than expected company results.

Acting as a backdrop we have this afternoon´s result of the conference-call between Eurozone finance ministers to discuss the situation in Greece, which is now in progress. No firm new decisions are expected but the news flow could conceivably influence markets.

Also of interest, according to the European Central Bank´s (ECB) latest bank lending survey a net 15% of the Eurozone´s banks which took part in the survey tightened their criteria for firms to borrow in the third quarter, up from 10% in the second quarter.
Large rises in airline groups
Air France-KLM is jumping 7% higher after Europe's largest airline reported a 27% increase in third- quarter operating profit to €506m (£408m), far ahead of consensus estimates, as did its close rival Air France.

ArcelorMittal is lower after earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) dropped to $1.34bn (£832m) from $2.41bn a year ago, which was actually what was expected by analysts.

From a sector stand-point the best performance on the Stoxx 600 is now to be seen in the following industrial groups: Automobiles (1.18%), Insurance (0.91%) and Telecommunications (0.66%).
Eurozone unemployment at new record
Spain´s current account surplus increased to €1.2bn in August, above the previous month´s reading of €0.5bn.

The Eurozone´s unemployment rate rose by a tenth of a percentage point in September, to 11.6%, from a revised 11.5% in the month before (Consensus: 11.5%).

The Eurozone´s consumer price index for the month of October dropped to 2.5% year-on-year from 2.6% in the previous month.

German retail sales grew by 1.5% month-on-month in September (Consensus: 0.3%), versus last month´s reading of 0.3%.

French producer prices increased at a 0.3% month-on-month pace in September (Consensus: 0.2%).

French consumer spending rose by 0.1% month-on-month in September (Consensus: 0.2%), after a fall of 0.8% in August.

Spanish housing permits dropped by 37.2 month-on-month in August, after an increase of 10.6% in July.

Capital flight from Spain slowed down somewhat in August, by -34.7%, to €247.2bn.
Slight rise in crude futures

The euro/dollar is now up by 0.29% to the 1.3010 mark.

Front month Brent crude futures are rising by 0.493 dollars to the 109.62 dollar level on the ICE.

US Market Report
US open: Stocks off on last day of the year for mutual funds
-Last day of the year today for many mutual funds
-Apple at 200 day moving average support
-Lock-up expiry today on Facebook
-Eurozone news weighing on stocks

Dow Jones Industrial: -0.09%
Nasdaq Comp.: -0.70%
S&P 500: -0.21%

Wall Street has fallen into the red, weighed down by the negative news-flow coming out of the Eurozone and weakness in shares of Apple.

Germany´s Finance Minister has reportedly said that it is unlikely that the Troika of international lenders will receive the final report on Greece before the next Eurogroup meeting of finance ministers on November 11th to 12th. That means that traders will have to wait a little bit longer for any possible solution to the current impasse in Greece.

In parallel, the Aegean nation´s two main labour unions have just called for a nation-wide strike.

While it will take time to return to normality in Big Apple a modicum of it is expected to be achieved today on the trading floors. Nevertheless, and as NYSE-Euronext´s Chief Executive signaled overnight, it would not be realistic to expect a completely normal day.
Apple weighs on all
Apple is off after its Chief Executive today announced a partial re-organization of the company´s top ranks.

GM and Ford have both released better than expected quarterly results. Of interest as well, Home Depot and Lowe´s are expected to do well, in anticipation that they will benefit from repair and reconstruction efforts.

Walt Disney is to acquire Lucasfilm for $4.03bn.

According to some reports Microsoft will finally not be making an offer for Netflix.

Not to be lost sight of either, investors are also keen to see next Friday´s monthly employment report.

Of interest, today is the last day of the month and of the year for some mutual funds, with the next two months being historically quite positive for shares, as funds seek to re-position themselves.
NAPM Chicago below 50

The employment cost index for the third quarter showed a 0.4% quarter-on-quarterly gain in the three months to September, slightly below the 0.5% economists had foreseen.

The Chicago NAPM regional manufacturing sector purchasing managers´ index for the month of October has come in at 49.9 (just below the contractionary level of 50), versus last month´s reading of 49.7 (Consensus: 51). The new orders sub-index however actually moved up, to 50.6 from 47.4 in September.

For economists at Barclays Research: "(…) In our view, current levels of correlation are not consistent with recessionary conditions, and we believe that local trends will play a more prominent role in these regional indices over the medium term." Little movement in other asset classes

10 year US Treasuries are falling by 4/32 dollars this morning, with yields left standing at 1.70%.

Front month West Texas crude futures are rising by 0.72% to the 86.30 dollar level on the NYMEX.

S&P 500 - Risers
Genworth Financial Inc. (GNW) $5.89 +7.48%
Quanta Services Inc. (PWR) $25.14 +6.53%
Ford Motor Co. (F) $10.93 +5.45%
Leggett & Platt Inc. (LEG) $26.75 +5.31%
Federated Investors Inc. (FII) $22.94 +4.13%
Eaton Corp. (ETN) $46.90 +3.95%
Flowserve Corp. (FLS) $135.24 +3.29%
Fastenal Co. (FAST) $44.51 +2.94%
Masco Corp. (MAS) $14.99 +2.67%
Electronic Arts Inc. (EA) $12.22 +2.60%

S&P 500 - Fallers
Western Union Co. (WU) $13.22 -26.27%
CBRE Group Inc (CBG) $17.01 -6.79%
Sears Holdings Corp. (SHLD) $62.19 -6.76%
JDS Uniphase Corp. (JDSU) $9.65 -6.62%
QEP Resources Inc (QEP) $29.56 -6.10%
Cameron International Corp. (CAM) $48.35 -5.64%
VeriSign Inc. (VRSN) $37.65 -4.42%
J.C. Penney Co. Inc. (JCP) $24.43 -4.05%
Biogen Idec Inc. (BIIB) $137.83 -3.57%
Monster Beverage Corp (MNST) $44.24 -3.53%

Dow Jones I.A - Risers
Home Depot Inc. (HD) $61.06 +1.70%
Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) $28.68 +1.67%
International Business Machines Corp. (IBM) $196.14 +1.48%
Bank of America Corp. (BAC) $9.23 +1.21%
Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) $85.05 +0.95%
JP Morgan Chase & Co. (JPM) $41.39 +0.56%
United Technologies Corp. (UTX) $78.63 +0.55%
Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM) $90.96 +0.38%
Coca-Cola Co. (KO) $37.18 +0.37%
Procter & Gamble Co. (PG) $69.59 +0.22%

Dow Jones I.A - Fallers
Walt Disney Co. (DIS) $49.19 -1.78%
Pfizer Inc. (PFE) $25.02 -1.61%
Cisco Systems Inc. (CSCO) $17.06 -1.33%
Intel Corp. (INTC) $21.75 -0.93%
Mondelez International Inc. (MDLZ) $26.41 -0.71%
Chevron Corp. (CVX) $110.40 -0.70%
Travelers Company Inc. (TRV) $71.09 -0.66%
E.I. du Pont de Nemours and Co. (DD) $44.90 -0.62%
Hewlett-Packard Co. (HPQ) $14.01 -0.57%
Boeing Co. (BA) $70.78 -0.46%

Nasdaq 100 - Risers
Fastenal Co. (FAST) $44.51 +2.94%
Electronic Arts Inc. (EA) $12.22 +2.60%
CH Robinson Worldwide Inc (CHRW) $60.83 +2.39%
Research in Motion Ltd. (RIMM) $7.72 +1.92%
Infosys Technologies Ltd. (INFY) $43.40 +1.71%
Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) $28.68 +1.67%
Virgin Media Inc. (VMED) $32.98 +1.45%
Apollo Group Inc. (APOL) $20.00 +1.42%
Netflix Inc. (NFLX) $70.52 +1.35%
Costco Wholesale Corp. (COST) $98.13 +1.23%

Nasdaq 100 - Fallers
Sears Holdings Corp. (SHLD) $62.19 -6.76%
Baidu Inc. (BIDU) $108.66 -4.55%
VeriSign Inc. (VRSN) $37.65 -4.42%
Biogen Idec Inc. (BIIB) $137.83 -3.57%
Monster Beverage Corp (MNST) $44.24 -3.53%
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc. (VRTX) $48.04 -3.07%
Seagate Technology Plc (STX) $27.12 -2.83%
eBay Inc. (EBAY) $48.30 -2.44%
Amazon.Com Inc. (AMZN) $232.86 -2.26%
Apple Inc. (AAPL) $590.61 -2.22%

Broker Tips
Broker tips: Barclays, BG Group, Lonmin
Nomura has maintained its 'reduce' rating and 210p target for UK banking giant Barclays, labelling the firm's third-quarter results as 'underwhelming'.

The broker said in a 'First Look' research report that, given Barclays had pre-announced, the focus was on whether the underlying mix of earnings was better.

"Relative to our expectations, BarCap was weaker and Head Office was better, which we find uninspiring. In terms of group earnings, income and costs were both lower than our expectations (a function of our higher BarCap expectations) and LLPs were better."

Seymour Pierce has said that oil and gas firm BG Group's third-quarter results on the whole represent a "mixed bag of contradictory statements and transactions".

Whilst Seymour Pierce does not have a rating and target for BG Group, analyst Sam Wahab said: "In view of BP's consensus beating Q3 results this week, the market may see their shares as representing better value than BG's going forward."

Credit Suisse has upgraded its rating for platinum miner Lonmin from 'underperform' to 'neutral' after the 800m-dollar fully underwritten rights issue.

Following Tuesday's rights issue news, the broker said: "we believe that the company will remain well capitalised for the next three years on both spot and base case forecasts." Credit Suisse says that the stock is "no longer a sell" given Lonmin's "significant operational leverage to a potentially tightening platinum market".

ADVFN III Morning Euro Markets Bulletin -October 31, 2012-.

ADVFN III Morning Euro Markets Bulletin
Daily world financial news

Wednesday, 31 October 2012

London Market Report
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London open: Stocks rise but Barclays limits gains
Market Movers
  • techMARK 2,107.26 +0.22%
  • FTSE 100 5,851.56 +0.03%
  • FTSE 250 11,976.77 +0.19%
- Barclays falls after unveiling two new US probes
- US stock market expected to open today
- Asian data lifts the mood

UK stock markets edged higher in early trading on Wednesday despite some poorly-received third-quarter figures from Barclays and Next early on,

The New York Stock Exchange is expected to open as usual this afternoon, following a two-day closure due to safety concerns as a result of Hurricane Sandy, which has killed dozens of people and left millions without power on the American East Coast.

"We have a green light," the NYSE Euronext's Chief Operating Officer, Larry Leibowitz, said in an interview with Reuters.

Economic data from Asia was lifting sentiment this morning: South Korean industrial output improved for the first time in four months; Taiwan swung back to growth in the most recent quarter; while the unemployment rate in Singapore declined.

Markus Huber, the head of German HNW trading at ETX Capital, said this morning: "Overall equities are expected to maintain their momentum possibly even pushing towards the higher end of the current trading however some profit taking is likely as the most recent move to the upside has taken place under relatively low volume and the general picture especially what Spain and Greece is concerned hasn't changed much still leaving plenty of uncertainty to be dealt with."
FTSE 100: Barclays hit by two new US probes
UK banking giant Barclays dropped early on despite meeting forecasts in the third quarter with strong growth seen in adjusted pre-tax profits, from £1.34bn to £1.73bn. The firm however revealed new "legal and regulatory matters" which include two new probes in the US.

High Street fashion and homewares retailer Next also fell after admitting that its sales performance was "volatile" in the third quarter with stronger sales in late September and early October offsetting an unusually quiet start to August.

Life assurance company Standard Life gained after saying inflows across its long-term savings businesses plus a strong performance at Standard Life Investments helped to increase both group assets under administration and Standard Life Investments third party assets to record levels.

Higher production at its Esperanza mine helped Chilean copper miner Antofagasta increase output in the third quarter, seeing shares rise early on.

Mobile phone networks giant Vodafone was in demand after announcing that its NZ$840m (£429m) acquisition of TelstraClear, the New Zealand business of Australian telecoms group Telstra, has now gone through.
FTSE 250: St James's Place rises after Q3 update
Wealth management group St James's Place rose strongly after reporting a 6% increase n funds under management (FuM) in the third quarter as it reported good growth in new business despite the continuing macroeconomic uncertainty.

Energy company Essar was higher after gaining permission to chop down trees close to its Mahan coal block.

Soft drinks giants AG Barr and Britvic were out of favour this morning after extending the deadline for the conclusion of merger talks.

UK Event Calendar
Wednesday October 31

INTERIMS
Volex

INTERIM DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
Amiad Water Systems Ltd, Foresight Solar VCT, Wynnstay Group

INTERIM EX-DIVIDEND DATE
APR Energy, Bloomsbury Publishing, Booker Group, C&C Group, Development Securities, Downing Planned Exit VCT 2 'C' Shares, Downing Planned Exit VCT 2 'D' Shares , Downing Planned Exit VCT 2 'F' Shares, Downing Planned Exit VCT 2011 (General Shares), Downing Planned Exit VCT 2011 (Low Carbon Shares), Downing Planned Exit VCT 2011 (Structured Shares), Downing Planned Exit VCT 3 'C' Shares, Downing Planned Exit VCT 3 'D' Shares , Downing Planned Exit VCT 3 F Shares, Hargreave Hale AIM VCT 2, Hilton Food Group, Howden Joinery Group, Intertek Group, ITV, Laird, Lombard Risk Management, Lookers, M&C Saatchi, Moss Bros Group, Provident Financial, Restore

QUARTERLY PAYMENT DATE
F&C Commercial Property Trust Ltd., JP Morgan Chase & Co, Middlefield Canadian Income PCC, Schroder Income Growth Fund

QUARTERLY EX-DIVIDEND DATE
JPMorgan Claverhouse Inv Trust

INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS
Chicago PMI (US) (13:45)
Crude Oil Inventories (US) (15:30)
GFK Consumer Confidence (GER) (07:00)
International Reserves (EU) (11:00)
MBA Mortgage Applications (US) (12:00)
Retail Sales (GER) (07:00)

Q3
First Quantum Minerals Ltd., GlaxoSmithKline

FINALS
Neos Resources, Tracsis

ANNUAL REPORT
Aquarius Platinum Ltd.

IMSS
Aegis Group, Barclays, Logica, Mondi, Next, Phoenix Group Holdings (DI), St James's Place, Standard Life

SPECIAL EX-DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
IndigoVision Group

EGMS
OSJC Center for Cargo Container Traffic Transcontainer GDR (Reg S)

AGMS
Ashmore Group, Carpathian, Coburg Group, Greenko Group, Ideagen, Pacific Horizon Inv Trust, Tricor

FINAL DIVIDEND PAYMENT DATE
Abbey, Alumasc Group, Haynes Publishing Group, Rank Group

FINAL EX-DIVIDEND DATE
Abcam, AIREA, Allocate Software, El Oro Ltd, Go-Ahead Group, IndigoVision Group, JPMorgan Global Markets Emerging Income Trust

Europe Market Report
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European Stocks To Open On Quiet Note

European stocks may open slightly higher on Wednesday, following a rally in the previous session as signs of improvement in the U.S. housing market and positive industrial output data out of South Korea perked up investor appetite for riskier assets. Asian markets are turning in a mixed performance, while crude and copper are modestly higher after both NYSE and Nasdaq said they plan to resume trading Wednesday. With Hurricane Sandy's winds and rains subsiding, the task of calculating the economic impact has begun.

South Korea's industrial output increased a seasonally adjusted 0.8 percent from the previous month in September, Statistics Korea said today - rising for the first time in four months. The headline figure was in line with forecasts after falling 0.7 percent in August. On a yearly basis, industrial production improved 0.7 percent after rising 0.3 percent in the previous month, also matching expectations.

In the forex market, the Japanese yen is trading in a tight range against the dollar following the Bank of Japan's latest announcement of fresh monetary easing steps.

In economic releases, British consumer confidence declined to a six-month low in October with households turning more worried over their own financial situation over the next 12 months, a survey by GfK NOP showed. The consumer confidence index declined to -30 in October from -28 in September, marking its weakest reading since April when the index scored -31. Inflation and unemployment data from Eurozone are due later in the European session.

Meanwhile, Eurozone finance ministers will hold a conference call today, with the discussion likely to focus on the next loan disbursement worth EUR 31.5 billion to Greece. Reports suggest that the Greek government will be able to push through further austerity measures amounting to EUR 13.5 billion, though some of the coalition partners reportedly objected to proposals regarding labor reforms.

Across the Atlantic, investors await ADP numbers, Chicago PMI data and the report on weekly jobless claims before the influential non-farms payroll data on Friday. With the long campaign drawing to a close between President Barack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney, investors are waiting for the results of next week's presidential election for near-term directional cues.

In domestic corporate news, Italian car maker Fiat Group posted a profit for the third quarter from a loss last year, reflecting a strong performance by its U.S. unit Chrysler LLC and growth in Brazil. Nevertheless, the company remains pessimistic on the European conditions, and now expects full-year 2012 profit at the lower end of its guidance range.

Central European Media Enterprises reported a narrower loss for the third quarter, but reduced its forecasts of free cash flow for the fourth quarter, citing a significant decline in demand for television advertising across markets compared to previous expectations.

European stocks rose sharply on Tuesday boosted by better than expected earnings reports from companies such as Allianz, Deutsche Bank and BP as well as a successful Italian bond auction. However, trading volume remained thin in the wake of suspension of trading in the U.S. for a second day running.

The Euro Stoxx 50 index of Eurozone bluechip stocks rose 1.5 percent and the Stoxx Europe 50 index, which includes some major U.K. companies, added a percent. Around Europe, Switzerland's SMI rose half a percent, the U.K.'s FTSE 100 added a percent, the German DAX advanced 1.1 percent and France's CAC 40 rallied 1.5 percent.

US Market Report
NYSE Euronext has announced that it will close all its trading venues on Tuesday, in coordination with all US equities, bonds, options and derivatives markets.

The above comes as 85 mile-per-hour winds from Hurricane Sandy hone in on New York city, thus paralysing capital markets, with flooding expected in lower Manhattan, precisely where the financial district is concentrated.

Nevertheless, NYSE has indicated that it intends to reopen on Wednesday, October 31st, conditions permitting.

FX and Commodities round-up
FX round-up: Euro up against dollar and yen
The euro gained against the safe haven dollar and yen on Tuesday as investors cheered data that showed Spain's economy contracted less than expected in the third quarter.

The single currency was also boosted by a decline in Italy's borrowing costs following its latest debt sale.

The euro rose to a session high of $1.2983, in lighter than usual trading, before trading at around $1.2959 later in the session.

Meanwhile US trading desks remained thinly staffed as hurricane Sandy battered the US.

The ICE dollar index, which measures the US dollar against a basket of six other major currencies, tumbled to a low of 79.827 before later trading at around 79.943 later in the session.

The Japanese yen firmed against the greenback after the Bank of Japan's monetary easing steps disappointed. Investors had hoped the central bank would take more aggressive asset purchases.

Sterling rallied against the dollar after figures showed stronger-than-expected UK retail sales in October.
Commodities: Crude inches higher
Crude oil futures rose on Tuesday, as normal floor trading remained closed for a second day as hurricane Sandy hit the East Coast of America.

Crude for December delivery climbed 14 cents to settle at $85.68 a barrel as the New York based CME Group's New York Mercantile Exchange remained closed.

Markets are widely anticipating that normal trading will resume on Wednesday however no confirmation has been given.

Gasoline futures registered a slight loss on Tuesday despite fears of a steep drop in output. Gasoline for December delivery fell almost 3 cents at $2.73 a gallon.

Focus mid week is likely to fall on the Energy Information Administration's stockpile report however data will be released a day later than usual as it assesses the storm damage and supply delays.

Elsewhere among precious metals gold settled with gains on Tuesday after Monday's decline.

Gold for December delivery advanced $3.40 to $1,712.10 an ounce as normal floor trading remained closed on the New York Mercantile Exchange after Monday's evacuation of the New York offices.

Tuesday, October 30, 2012

ADVFN III World Daily Markets Bulletin -October 30th, 2012-.

ADVFN III World Daily Markets Bulletin  
Daily world financial news

Tuesday, 30 October 2012

US Market
Stocks Seeing Modest Strength On Upbeat GDP Data
10/26/2012 10:03 AM ET
With traders reacting positively to upbeat U.S. economic data, stocks have moved modestly higher in early trading on Friday. The major averages have climbed into positive territory, adding to the slim gains posted in the previous session.
The major averages have pulled back off their highs for the young session but currently remain positive. The Dow is up 11.25 points or 0.1 percent at 13,114.93, the Nasdaq is up 10.72 points or 0.4 percent at 2,996.84 and the S&P 500 is up 1.48 points or 0.1 percent at 1,414.45.
The early strength on Wall Street comes on the heels of the release of a report from the Commerce Department showing stronger than expected U.S. GDP growth in the third quarter.
The report showed that U.S. gross domestic product rose by 2.0 percent in the third quarter following a 1.3 percent increase in the second quarter. Economists had been expecting third quarter GDP to increase by about 1.8 percent.
The stronger than expected GDP growth reflected positive contributions from consumer spending, federal government spending, and residential fixed investment.
However, disappointing earnings news from Apple is limiting the upside for the markets, as the iPad and iPhone maker reported weaker than expected fiscal fourth quarter earnings despite reporting stronger than expected revenue growth. Apple also issued downbeat guidance for its fiscal first quarter.
Online retailer Amazon reported a third quarter loss that was wider than analysts had expected. The company's net sales also trailed expectations.
Merck reported better than expected third quarter earnings, although the drug giant's revenues fell by more than analysts had anticipated. Looking Ahead, Merck said 2012 revenues are still projected to be at or near 2011 levels on a constant currency basis.
Most of the major sectors are showing only modest moves in early trading, although strength is visible among telecom, networking, and semiconductor stocks.
In overseas trading, stock markets across the Asia-Pacific region came under pressure during trading on Friday. Japan's Nikkei 225 Index fell by 1.4 percent, while Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index ended the day down by 1.2 percent.
Meanwhile, the major European markets have moved to the upside over the course of the trading day. While the U.K.'s FTSE 100 Index is up by 0.1 percent, the German DAX Index is up by 0.7 percent and the French CAC 40 Index is up by 0.8 percent.
In the bond market, treasuries are regaining some ground after coming under pressure in the previous session. Subsequently, the yield on the benchmark ten-year note, which moves opposite of its price, is down by 3.7 basis points at 1.791 percent.

Canadian Market
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After hovering around the unchanged line in early trading, Canadian stocks moved up Tuesday morning even as traders were keen to know when normality will return to the Wall Street. Traders speculate that the widespread damage might prompt the U.S. Federal Reserve to ease monetary policy further to rev up the economy.
Reports suggest economic toll would be in excess of $20 billion after the biggest Atlantic storm slammed the U.S., with insured losses of about $7 billion to $8 billion.
The S&P/TSX Composite Index rose 64.15 points or 0.52 percent to 12, 376.90, after adding just over 100 points or 1 percent in the past three sessions.
The price of crude oil edged up Tuesday morning as traders await information on damages after Hurricane Sandy hit the U.S. and shut East Coast refineries. Crude for December added $0.49 to $86.03 a barrel.
In the oil patch, Petrobakken Energy (PBN.TO) soared 9 percent after announcing corporate reorganization plans.
MEG Energy (MEG.TO), Baytex Energy Corp. (BTE.TO) and Suncor Energy (SU.TO) were up around 1 percent each.
Crude oil and natural gas company  Canadian Oil Sands (COS.TO) rose nearly 3 percent after reporting that its third-quarter net income increased to C$338 million or C$0.70 per share from C$242 million or C$0.50 per share in the third quarter of 2011.
Natural gas transportation company TransCanada Corp. (TRP.TO) was trading flat after reporting that its third-quarter net income was C$369 million or C$0.52 per share down from C$386 million or C$0.55 per share in third quarter 2011.
Upstream oil and gas company Talisman Energy (TLM.TO) slipped into the red in third quarter, reporting net loss of $731 million or $0.71 per share versus net income of $521 million or $0.24 per share last year. Analysts were expecting the company to earn $0.06 per share on revenues of $1.73 billion for the quarter. The stock was down 1.50 percent
The price of gold was paring recent losses Tuesday morning as the U.S. dollar turned weak versus a basket of currencies. Gold for December edged up $2.60 to $1,711.30 an ounce.
Among gold plays, Royal Gold (RGL.TO) and Barrick Gold (ABX.TO) were up around 1 percent each.
International gold miner Yamana Gold (YRI.TO) edged up 1 percent even after reporting a much lower third-quarter net earnings at $59.97 million or $0.08 per share, compared with net earnings of $115.77 million or $0.16 per share in the year ago quarter. However, adjusted earnings were $178 million or $0.24 per share compared to $190 million or $0.26 per share. Analysts were expecting the company to report $0.23 per share for the quarter.
Insurer Sunlife Financial (SLF.TO) gathered over 1 percent, while Bank of Montreal (BMO.TO) was losing about 1 percent.
In economic news, Statistics Canada said the Industrial Product Price Index was up 0.5 percent in September compared with August, mainly due to higher prices for primary metal products and petroleum and coal products. Meanwhile, the Raw Materials Price Index rose 1.3 percent in September, mainly because of higher prices for non-ferrous metals.
Elsewhere, euro zone economic confidence dropped less than expected in October, monthly survey from the European Commission showed. The corresponding index came in at 84.5, down from 85.2 in the prior month. Economists had forecast the index to drop to 84.4. The marked decreases in industry and construction outweighed the improvement in the retail trade sector.
Germany's unemployment increased by 20,000 in October from a month ago, data from the Federal Labor Agency showed. It follows an increase of 12,000 each in September and August. Economists were expecting a monthly increase of 10,000 for October.

European Market
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European Markets Extended Losses Amidst Earnings Disappointment
10/23/2012 11:55 AM ET
The European markets finished to the downside again Tuesday, extending the weakness from the previous session. The markets continued to be impacted by disappointing corporate earnings, both in Europe and the United States. Concerns over Spain's debt problems also persisted Tuesday, following Moody's credit rating downgrade of five Regions in Spain overnight.
The Spanish economy has likely contracted at a steady pace in the third quarter, a report from the Bank of Spain showed Tuesday. The central bank's quarterly bulletin said that gross domestic product declined 0.4 percent sequentially in the third quarter, similar to the contraction seen in the second quarter.
Meanwhile, Spain's short-term debt auction received mixed response, with yields on six-month debt easing slightly, while borrowing costs edged up for three-month bonds, amid lingering uncertainty over the timing of Spain's bailout request.
The euro Stoxx 50 index of Eurozone bluechip stocks declined by 2.08 percent and the Stoxx Europe 50 index, which includes some major U.K. companies, lost 1.71 percent.
The DAX of Germany dropped by 2.11 percent and the CAC of France finished lower by 2.20 percent. The FTSE 100 of the U.K. decreased by 1.41 percent and the SMI of Switzerland fell by 1.78 percent.
In Frankfurt, Commerzbank lost 2.50 percent. The lender is reportedly considering selling its custodian business.
BMW fell by 1.69 percent, after announcing that it plans to build a new plant in Brazil, with the goal to commence production in 2014.
In Paris, Michelin gained 3.22 percent. The company announced that third quarter revenues increased by 5.7 percent.
In London, ARM Holdings increased by 7.50 percent, after the company's better than expected third quarter earnings report.
Experian rose by 3.92 percent, after it increased its stake in Brazilian credit bureau Serasa SA.
Mulberry Group sank by 22.12 percent, after the company warned of lower full year earnings and revenues. Burberry Group also lost 3.33 percent.
Syngenta climbed by 0.64 percent in Zurich. The agribusiness company posted a 6 percent rise in third-quarter group sales on a constant currency basis, led by an excellent performance in Latin America.
French industrial confidence deteriorated to the lowest level in more than three years in October as weakening external demand, especially in the crisis-stricken Eurozone, continued to weigh on the country's exports, latest data showed Tuesday.
The industrial confidence index dropped to 85 in October, after stabilizing at 90 in September, statistical office Insee said. The latest reading was the lowest since August 2009, and far below the long-term average of 100. Economists had forecast the index to remain unchanged In October.
The number of mortgage approvals for house purchases in the United Kingdom increased more than economists expected in September, data released by the British Bankers' Association (BBA) showed Tuesday.
The number of mortgage approvals for the purchase of residential properties increased to 31,175 in September from 30,683 in August. Economists had forecast approvals to rise to 30,870.

Asia Market
Asian Markets In Positive Territory Amid Cautious Trades
10/29/2012 11:17 PM ET
Asian stock markets are trading in positive territory amid selective buying on Tuesday. However, gains are just modest in most of the markets in the region as the mood remains cautious due to a lack of triggers following the U.S. markets remaining shut on Monday due to the threat posed by Hurricane Sandy. Investors are mostly seen tracking regional economic and earnings data for direction.
In the Australian market, healthcare stocks, which had a few weak sessions recently, are currently trading higher. Energy, financial and telecommunications stocks are also finding support. Mining, energy and consumer discretionary stocks are trading mixed.
The benchmark S&P/ASX 200 index, which surged to 4,498.9, is currently trading at 4,490.2, up 13.3 points or 0.3 percent from its previous close. The broader All Ordinaries index is up 10.9 points or 0.2 percent at 4,510.3, off the day's high of 4,518.9.
Among bank stocks, ANZ Bank , Commonwealth Bank of Australia and Westpac are up 0.4 to 0.8 percent, while National Australia Bank is up marginally. Bendigo & Adelaide Bank is adding 1.4 percent, while Bank of Queensland is up nearly a percent.
Among top miners, BHP Billiton (BHP, BBL) is up 0.6 percent, while Rio Tinto (RIO, RIO.L) is trading 0.3 percent down.
In the energy sector, Woodside Petroleum is up 0.6 percent, Origin Energy is gaining about 0.6 percent and Caltex Australia is up nearly 2 percent, while Santos and Oil Search are trading weak.
Downer EDI, Fortescue Metals and Caltex Australia are up 2 to 2.4 percent. Lynas Corporation, Primary Healthcare, Aurora Oil & Gas, WorleyParsons, Panaust and Fairfax Media are trading higher by 1.2 to 1.8 percent.
Meanwhile, Boart Longyear, Aristocrat Leisure, Perseus Mining, Paladin Energy, Duet Group and Iluka Resources are down 1.6 to 2 percent. Suncorp Group, Seek, Computershare and Myer Holdings are also trading notably lower.
Virgin Australia has made an A$98.7 million takeover offer for regional carrier Skywest. Virgin said its cash and scrip offer for Skywest, which operates in regional Australia and south east Asia, was worth 46.88 cents per Skywest share.
Virgin has also announced that it has bought a 60 percent stake in low cost carrier Tiger Airways Australia for A$35 million. Singapore Airlines also announced it had bought a 10 percent stake in Virgin Australia for A$105 million. Tiger and Virgin said they would spend up to $62.5 million on Tiger Australia to increase its fleet from 11 aircraft to 35 by 2018.
Shares of Skywest shot up by over 50 percent in early trades, while Virgin Australia gained more than 6 percent.
After opening marginally higher, the Japanese market surged ahead in early trades before paring some gains due to lack of support.
Still, with several front line stocks holding firm amid a slew of economic data, the market remains in positive territory with modest gains. The mood is somewhat cautious with investors eying the central bank's decision on interest rates.
The benchmark Nikkei 225 index, which rose to around 8,996, is currently trading at 8,966, up 32.7 points or 0.4 percent from its previous close.
Shares from automobile, pharmaceuticals, rubber, steel and non-ferrous metals sections opened higher but gave up some gains subsequently. Railway, shipbuilding, pulp & paper and manufacturing stocks are trading mixed.
Shares of IHI Corp. plunged on weaker than expected first half pretax profit, extending its decline for the third successive session. Mitsumi Electric is trading sharply lower on reports of a likely net loss for financial year 2012.
Nomura Holdings is trading higher on impressive results for the July-September quarter. Sharp Corp. is up on reports the company is in tie-up talks with three U.S. firms.
In economic news, industrial output in Japan declined a seasonally adjusted 4.1 percent on month in September, the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry said in Tuesday's preliminary reading. That missed expectations for a contraction of 3.1 percent following the 1.6 percent decline in August.
On a yearly basis, industrial production plummeted 8.1 percent - also missing forecasts for a fall of 7.1 percent after shedding 4.6 percent in the previous month.
According to a report from the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications, the unemployment rate in Japan was a seasonally adjusted 4.2 percent in September - in line with expectations and unchanged from the previous month. The participation rate was 59.3 percent, also matching expectations and easing from 59.4 percent in August.
The number of employed persons in September was 63.08 million, down 130,000 or 0.2 percent from the previous year. The number of unemployed persons in September was 2.75 million, down 20,000 or 0.7 percent from the previous year.
Meanwhile, average household spending in Japan was down 0.9 percent on year in September, at 266,705 yen, another report from the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications revealed. That was well shy of forecasts for an increase of 0.8 percent following the 1.8 percent gain in August.
The average of monthly income for workers' household was up 0.1 percent on year to 422,046 yen, while consumption expenditures added an annual 0.6 percent to 299,821 yen.
In the currency market, the U.S. dollar traded in the upper 79 yen range in early deals in Tokyo. The yen is currently trading at 79.90 to the dollar.
Among other markets in the Asia-Pacific region, South Korea and Taiwan are trading notably higher. Shanghai, Malaysia and Singapore are up marginally, while New Zealand and Hong Kong are trading flat.
The U.S. markets were closed on Monday and will remain closed for Tuesday as well, in view of the impending hurricane.
Major European markets ended weak on Monday. While the U.K.'s FTSE 100 index ended 0.2 percent down, the French CAC 40 Index and the German DAX index lost 0.8 percent and 0.4 percent, respectively.
U.S. Crude oil settled lower on Monday on demand concerns on the threat posed by Hurricane Sandy, with a number of refineries on reduced operation or having shut down production in anticipation of the event. A stronger dollar too contributed to oil's decline.
The New York Mercantile Exchange trading floor remained closed to facilitate mandatory evacuation due to the threat posed by Hurricane Sandy, but electronic trading continued its regular course. Crude for December delivery dropped $0.74 or 0.9 percent to close at $85.54 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

Commodities
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10/30/2012 7:14 AM ET 
The price of crude oil edged up Tuesday morning as traders await information on damages after Hurricane Sandy hit the U.S. and shut East Coast refineries.
Light Sweet Crude Oil (WTI) futures for December delivery, added $0.53 to $86.07 a barrel. Yesterday, oil settled lower on demand concerns on the threat posed by Hurricane Sandy with a number of refineries on reduced operation or have shut down production in anticipation of the event. The dollar also strengthened against a basket of major currencies, with investors finding it a safe haven even as the hurricane nears landfall.
This morning, the U.S. dollar was easing from its 2-week high versus the euro and ticking lower against sterling. The buck continued to slip from its 4-month high versus the yen and trading lower against the Swiss franc.
In economic news, euro zone economic confidence dropped less than expected in October, monthly survey from the European Commission showed. The corresponding index came in at 84.5, down from 85.2 in the prior month. Economists had forecast the index to drop to 84.4. The marked decreases in industry and construction outweighed the improvement in the retail trade sector.
Germany's unemployment increased by 20,000 in October from a month ago, data from the Federal Labor Agency showed. It follows an increase of 12,000 each in September and August. Economists were expecting a monthly increase of 10,000 for October.
Traders will look to the release of S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices for the month of August from the Standard & Poor's at 9.00 a.m ET. Economists expect the reading to have risen to 1.9 percent from the last month's 1.2 percent.
Today after the market hours, the API will release its US crude oil inventories report for the weekended October 26.

ADVFN III Evening Markets Bulletin -October 30th, 2012-.

ADVFN III Evening Euro Markets Bulletin  
Daily world financial news

Tuesday, 30 October 2012

London Market Report
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London close: Markets rebound on low volumes
Market Movers
  • techMARK 2,102.68 +0.54%
  • FTSE 100 5,849.90 +0.95%
  • FTSE 250 11,954.25 +0.28%
With US stock markets remaining closed for a second straight day as Hurricane Sandy continues to batter the shores of America's East Coast, equities across the Pond rebounded as investors celebrated decent results from a number of heavy hitters across Europe.

"Trading remained thin today as the NYSE's decision to keep shut, the first time weather has halted trading for two straight days since 1888, put off many investors from engaging in risk-on assets and instead many investors opted to await news regarding the impact of Hurricane Sandy," said financial trader Shavaz Dhalla from Spreadex.

"However, the few investors still willing to trade the markets were clearly bullish as the remaining open markets traded positively. Thus, it seems these scarce investors have preferred to build on positive news from European stocks, including BP which has today announced a big dividend increase, instead of focusing on the potential financial consequences of Hurricane Sandy," Dhalla said. Heavyweights including ENI, Deutsche Bank, Bayer and Imperial Tobacco also lifted sentiment today.

Markets were also focusing on some key macroeconomic indicators in the Eurozone today: Spanish gross domestic product (GDP) figures showed that the country remained in recession in the third quarter, contracting by 0.3% quarter-on-quarter but better than the 0.4% decline expected; meanwhile German unemployment gained for a seventh consecutive month in September despite the jobless rate remaining stable at 6.9% - unemployment increased by 20,000, double the 10,000 gain expected.

In other news, Greek Prime Minister Antonis Samaras has announced that a deal has been reached for a €13.5bn austerity package and negotiations with the 'Troika' have concluded. The austerity deal was a necessary step so that Greece can receive its next tranche from its bailout programme with international creditors.

The Bank of Japan has expanded its asset-purchase programme for the second consecutive month. Markus Huber, the head of German HNW trading at ETX Capital, said this morning that the news was "less well-received as many had hoped for much more aggressive easing to counteract renewed weakness seen in the Japanese economy."
FTSE 100: BP jumps after Q3 beat and raised dividend
Oil giant BP gained nearly 5% today after profits came in well ahead of forecasts in the third quarter and the company moved early on a dividend increase to nine cents per share (up 12.5%). In its first quarterly announcement since the recent deal with Rosneft, BP reported a clean net income of $5,170m on an underlying replacement cost (RC) basis, well ahead of Investec's $4,020m estimate.

Imperial Tobacco rose after profits came in broadly in line with expectations in the year to the end of September, helping the firm to raise its payout ratio and increase its full-year dividend by over a tenth.

Insurance stocks were surprisingly making gains today in spite of the dreadful weather Stateside as markets get ready for the UK insurance and life assurance nine-month results season, which kicks off tomorrow with statements due out from Standard Life, St James's Place and Phoenix. UBS lifted targets across the sector today but said that its preferred life stocks remain Aviva and Prudential.

Resolution was also rated as a 'buy' by the Swiss broker "based on valuation, and given improving governance, its own restructuring momentum, and underperformance year to date."

Banking stocks were mixed with Barclays and Lloyds making gains whilst Standard Chartered disappointed with its third-quarter results. Nomura said that StanChart's results were broadly in line but a "touch below if we are nit picking". StanChart said that third-quarter ALM income was slightly down on the first half run rate due to lower reinvestment yields; Nomura highlighted this this would be a "negative read-across for BSM at HSBC" whose shares finished flat.

Airline group IAG was being dampened after having to cancel flights as a result of Hurricane Sandy. Meanwhile, it was being reported that the firm could add more wide-body planes at Gatwick in a review of capacity at a base dominated by ageing single-aisle jets that generate lower profit margins than operations at its main Heathrow hub, one of the company's Managing Directors has told Bloomberg.
FTSE 250: Centamin plummets on Sukari concerns
Centamin tanked shortly before trading in the shares was suspended on concerns that it could lose its flagship Sukari gold mine in Egypt. According to media reports, an Egyptian court has said that the gold miner's contract to mine Sukari has been withdrawn, after a decision in 2005 to award the company the contact was over-ruled. However, the company responded today that mining operations are still ongoing and no official written judgement on the concession has been given.

Lonmin shareholders saw their shares jump after the platinum producer announced a chunky $800m rights issue to improve its chances of passing banking covenant tests. On top of that work at Lonmin's Saffy mine in South Africa was back up and running after striking workers bowed to a deadline to go bad to work.

Regus also had a good day after it announced plans to open more offices this year than originally expected in order to meet growing demand for flexible and mobile working.

FTSE 100 - Risers
BP (BP.) 442.85p +4.20%
Barclays (BARC) 238.80p +3.35%
Resolution Ltd. (RSL) 213.70p +3.14%
GKN (GKN) 210.10p +2.74%
Weir Group (WEIR) 1,764.00p +2.56%
CRH (CRH) 1,147.00p +2.41%
Kazakhmys (KAZ) 729.50p +2.39%
Amec (AMEC) 1,058.00p +2.32%
Wood Group (John) (WG.) 848.00p +2.05%
Rio Tinto (RIO) 3,142.50p +2.03%

FTSE 100 - Fallers
United Utilities Group (UU.) 695.00p -2.66%
Randgold Resources Ltd. (RRS) 7,250.00p -1.16%
Standard Chartered (STAN) 1,483.50p -0.93%
National Grid (NG.) 702.50p -0.78%
British Sky Broadcasting Group (BSY) 712.50p -0.49%
Schroders (SDR) 1,520.00p -0.46%
British American Tobacco (BATS) 3,112.50p -0.43%
Pennon Group (PNN) 724.50p -0.41%
Polymetal International (POLY) 1,116.00p -0.27%
Tullow Oil (TLW) 1,382.00p -0.22%

FTSE 250 - Risers
Lonmin (LMI) 513.50p +6.98%
Man Group (EMG) 82.15p +4.72%
Regus (RGU) 102.70p +4.26%
Kenmare Resources (KMR) 39.00p +3.53%
Playtech Ltd. (PTEC) 415.90p +2.69%
Morgan Crucible Co (MGCR) 251.90p +2.57%
Ferrexpo (FXPO) 200.00p +2.51%
FirstGroup (FGP) 191.70p +2.19%
Filtrona PLC (FLTR) 580.50p +2.02%
Premier Oil (PMO) 357.40p +2.00%

FTSE 250 - Fallers
Centamin (DI) (CEY) 63.83p -35.40%
IP Group (IPO) 115.00p -3.36%
COLT Group SA (COLT) 114.30p -3.30%
New World Resources A Shares (NWR) 271.40p -2.93%
Anite (AIE) 142.00p -2.41%
African Barrick Gold (ABG) 431.40p -2.40%
Rathbone Brothers (RAT) 1,271.00p -2.38%
Computacenter (CCC) 364.50p -2.33%
Restaurant Group (RTN) 373.50p -2.23%
Stobart Group Ltd. (STOB) 110.10p -2.13% 

Europe Market Report
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FTSE 100EuronextDax perfCAC 40
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Europe midday: Germany and Greece working on Greek solution
-Moscovici: Greece to be discussed tomorrow
-Italian DMO head says current bond yield levels manageable
-PIMCO (Balls) says Spain will ask for aid relatively shortly -Bbg
-PIMCO (Balls) says no longer underweight Spanish debt

FTSE-100: 0.86%
Dax-30: 1.06%
Cac-40: 1.40%
FTSE Mibtel 30: 0.98%
Ibex 35: 1.31%
Stoxx 600: 0.81%

The main European equity benchmarks are now registering a strong bounce-back, more than reversing yesterday´s price action. That as New York equity futures resumed trading overnight, and actually turned positive.

More important, of course, millions have been left without power in the Mid-Atlantic and North-Eastern United States, but the floodwaters have receded from the streets of New York City. Nevertheless, the New York City Metropolitan Transit System may take weeks to return to normalcy and remains flooded, according to some reports. Even so, insurers are now amongst the best performers on the Continent, in apparent relief. As an aside, but worth monitoring, some of the first estimates available are putting the cost of the storm at approximately $20bn.

Acting as a back-drop, overnight the Bank of Japan approved a ninth consecutive increase in the size of its asset repurchase program. That following the release of very weak data on industrial production, consumer spending and the labour market.

Markets, however, had apparently been expecting firmer actions analysts say. Hence today´s fall in the benchmark Nikkei-225 and rise in the Yen.

According to the French Finance Minister, Pierre Moscovici, his country and Germany are working towards a complete solution of the Greek situation with November´s Eurogroup meeting in mind as the target date, although Greece´s plight will also be discussed at tomorrow´s summit.
Strong results out of Deutsche Bank
Shares of Deutsche Bank are now rising after reporting third quarter net profits of €747m, which came in well ahead of the €564m consensus forecast.

Shares of UBS are this morning tacking on another 5% after confirming plans to pursue cost cutting measures with an aim to lifting its return on equity –or on the funds its shareholders have invested- to at least 15% by 2015.

Allianz has raised its full-year operating profit target.

Denmark´s largest lender, Danske Bank, has announced its intention to sell $1.2bn (£745bn) in new shares.

From a sector stand-point the best performance can now be seen in the following industrial groups: Oil (1.95%), Automobiles (1.48%) and Insurance (1.45%).
German unemployment rises for first time in 3 years

German unemployment increased by 20,000 in October, ahead of consensus forecasts for a rise of 10,000. The unemployment rate came in at 6.9%, as expected, but the previous month´s level was revised up by a tenth of a percentage point. Last month´s increase was the first in three years.

Spanish gross domestic product contracted at a 0.3% quarter-on-quarter rate in the third quarter, less than the 0.4% contraction that had been foreseen.

The European Commission´s economic sentiment indicator for the Eurozone in the month of October fell to a three year low, at 84.5 points, after 85.2 for September (Consensus: 84.4). Single currency holding above 1.29

The euro/dollar is now is now rising by 0.40% to the 1.2960 dollar mark.

Front month Brent crude futures are down by 0.45 dollars to the 108.95 dollar level.
US Market Report
NYSE Euronext has announced that it will close all its trading venues on Tuesday, in coordination with all US equities, bonds, options and derivatives markets. 

The above comes as 85 mile-per-hour winds from Hurricane Sandy hone in on New York city, thus paralysing capital markets, with flooding expected in lower Manhattan, precisely where the financial district is concentrated. 

Nevertheless, NYSE has indicated that it intends to reopen on Wednesday, October 31st, conditions permitting. 

Broker Tips
Broker tips: BP, StanChart, Premier Foods
Investec has reiterated its bullish stance on oil giant BP, saying that the company's third-quarter results were 'much strong than we and the market anticipated'.

The broker said: "Overall, we have seen a much better result than the poor Q2 and the company has moved early on a dividend increase to 9c/share (+12.5%)."

A 'buy' rating and 460p target for the stock has been retained.

Emerging markets lender Standard Chartered's third-quarter results were broadly in line with expectations, according to Nomura, but 'a touch below if we are nit picking'.

Nevertheless, the broker has maintained its 'buy' rating and 1,600p target for the shares, saying that the business is "motoring away as expected".

Panmure Gordon says that the recent disposals at Premier Foods do not rule out further divestments in the future.

Panmure maintained its 'hold' rating and 90p target for the stock, saying even after these disposals, the business will remain highly geared with a very large pension deficit "which has to be serviced from a smaller cash generative base".